2021 05 22 France’s LNB Pro A



BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

In this article we will analyse the following games:

Pau-Lacq-Orthez vs ASVEL at 22 May 2021
Limoges vs Monaco at 22 May 2021
Metropolitans 92 vs Dijon at 22 May 2021
Roanne vs Nanterre at 22 May 2021
Boulazac Dordogne Pro vs Orleans at 22 May 2021
Le Portel vs JL Bourg-en-Bresse at 22 May 2021
Strasbourg vs Gravelines at 22 May 2021

Before continue, please read the disclaimer.



Pau-Lacq-Orthez vs ASVEL at 22 May 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Pau-Lacq-Orthez and ASVEL for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 22 May 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Pau-Lacq-Orthez

5.2

7.33

ASVEL

1.18

1.16

Pau-Lacq-Orthez HC

+10.5

10.00

ASVEL HC

-10.5

-10.00

Point Line

167.5

168.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Pau-Lacq-Orthez are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

May 20

A

Nanterre

L

77

115

9

17

L 1

76

113

May 9

A

Cholet

W

78

75

9

16

W 2

76

74

May 4

H

Dijon

W

79

54

8

16

W 1

86

55

May 1

A

Le Mans

L

78

88

7

16

L 1

76

84

Apr 27

H

Le Portel

W

90

68

7

15

W 1

90

74

Apr 20

A

ASVEL

L

90

106

6

15

L 2

93

94

Apr 17

H

Paris Levallois

L

93

98

6

14

L 1

99

99

Apr 13

A

Roanne

W

80

72

6

13

W 2

78

73

The latest results and the adjusted scores of ASVEL are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

May 20

H

Strasbourg

W

87

75

19

6

W 8

89

74

May 17

A

JL Bourg

W

79

70

18

6

W 7

80

66

May 15

H

Monaco

W

92

68

17

6

W 6

100

65

May 12

H

Le Mans

W

89

75

16

6

W 5

87

72

May 9

H

Boulazac

W

96

80

15

6

W 4

89

84

May 7

A

Le Portel

W

99

69

14

6

W 3

99

75

May 4

H

Roanne

W

101

93

13

6

W 2

99

94

Apr 30

H

Elan Chalon

W

102

75

12

6

W 1

96

76

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Pau-Lacq-Orthez and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by ASVEL.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by ASVEL and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Pau-Lacq-Orthez.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Pau-Lacq-Orthez (in the first graph) and by ASVEL in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Pau-Lacq-Orthez will expected to score 80 points and the ASVEL 88 points. The total points line estimated to be at 168.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Pau-Lacq-Orthez

ASVEL

FG%

0.55

0.61

ASS

16.80

20.00

DRB

21.40

21.60

AST-TO

1.07

1.53

TRB

28.80

29.40

FTM

13.80

16.20

BL

1.90

3.80

FTA

17.70

20.10

PF-Fewer

21.70

21.80

ST

7.50

7.40

TO-Fewer

15.70

13.10

Ftper

0.78

0.80

ORBper

0.34

0.36

ORB

7.30

7.80


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Limoges vs Monaco at 22 May 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Limoges and Monaco for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 22 May 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Limoges

3.45

3.26

Monaco

1.34

1.44

Limoges HC

+6.5

5.50

Monaco HC

-6.5

-5.50

Point Line

156.5

158.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Limoges are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

May 20

A

Dijon

L

70

75

13

12

L 1

76

76

May 17

H

Chalons-Reims

W

73

66

13

11

W 1

69

66

May 12

H

Orleans Loiret

L

74

82

12

11

L 1

74

78

May 8

H

Elan Chalon

W

96

90

12

10

W 3

90

91

May 4

A

Elan Chalon

W

96

95

11

10

W 2

90

96

Apr 27

A

Nanterre

W

88

66

10

10

W 1

87

65

Apr 20

H

Strasbourg

L

68

81

9

10

L 1

69

80

Apr 18

A

JL Bourg

W

69

66

9

9

W 1

70

62

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Monaco are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

May 20

A

Le Mans

W

86

71

19

4

W 2

84

68

May 17

H

Nanterre

W

90

67

18

4

W 1

89

66

May 15

A

ASVEL

L

68

92

17

4

L 2

70

81

May 12

A

Dijon

L

83

86

17

3

L 1

90

87

May 9

H

BCM Gravelines

W

122

69

17

2

W 6

120

74

Apr 23

A

Strasbourg

W

82

70

16

2

W 5

84

69

Apr 20

A

Paris Levallois

W

85

78

15

2

W 4

90

79

Apr 14

A

Elan Chalon

W

86

78

14

2

W 3

81

79

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Limoges and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Monaco.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Monaco and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Limoges.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Limoges (in the first graph) and by Monaco in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Limoges will expected to score 76 points and the Monaco 82 points. The total points line estimated to be at 158.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Limoges

Monaco

FG%

0.55

0.54

ASS

19.80

17.60

DRB

20.10

20.90

AST-TO

1.43

1.47

TRB

26.80

31.40

FTM

13.50

15.60

BL

1.40

2.30

FTA

17.30

21.70

PF-Fewer

18.50

22.00

ST

5.90

9.80

TO-Fewer

13.80

12.00

Ftper

0.78

0.72

ORBper

0.33

0.50

ORB

6.70

10.50


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Metropolitans 92 vs Dijon at 22 May 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Metropolitans 92 and Dijon for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 22 May 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Metropolitans 92

1.75

1.56

Dijon

2.12

2.79

Metropolitans 92 HC

-1.5

-4.50

Dijon HC

+1.5

4.50

Point Line

152.5

154.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Metropolitans 92 are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

May 8

A

Orleans Loiret

L

79

90

16

10

L 2

79

86

May 5

A

JL Bourg

L

77

86

16

9

L 1

78

81

Apr 30

H

Chalons-Reims

W

77

71

16

8

W 3

73

71

Apr 27

A

Boulazac

W

91

85

15

8

W 2

84

89

Apr 23

H

Le Mans

W

101

92

14

8

W 1

98

88

Apr 20

H

Monaco

L

78

85

13

8

L 1

84

81

Apr 17

A

Elan Bearnais

W

98

93

13

7

W 3

93

95

Apr 11

H

Orleans Loiret

W

87

65

12

7

W 2

87

62

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Dijon are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

May 20

H

Limoges

W

75

70

22

5

W 4

77

75

May 17

H

Orleans Loiret

W

74

71

21

5

W 3

74

68

May 15

A

Le Mans

W

86

80

20

5

W 2

84

76

May 12

H

Monaco

W

86

83

19

5

W 1

93

79

May 4

A

Elan Bearnais

L

54

79

18

5

L 1

51

81

Apr 30

H

Cholet

W

89

81

18

4

W 6

87

80

Apr 27

A

Chalons-Reims

W

90

80

17

4

W 5

85

80

Apr 20

H

Nanterre

W

78

67

16

4

W 4

78

66

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Metropolitans 92 and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Dijon.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Dijon and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Metropolitans 92.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Metropolitans 92 (in the first graph) and by Dijon in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Metropolitans 92 will expected to score 77 points and the Dijon 78 points. The total points line estimated to be at 155.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Metropolitans 92

Dijon

FG%

0.57

0.58

ASS

19.50

18.80

DRB

21.30

20.50

AST-TO

1.52

1.52

TRB

29.30

27.10

FTM

12.70

12.20

BL

3.20

2.00

FTA

17.50

15.80

PF-Fewer

21.10

19.70

ST

7.30

7.50

TO-Fewer

12.80

12.40

Ftper

0.73

0.77

ORBper

0.38

0.33

ORB

8.00

6.70


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Roanne vs Nanterre at 22 May 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Roanne and Nanterre for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 22 May 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Roanne

2.22

1.93

Nanterre

1.7

2.08

Roanne HC

+2.5

-1.50

Nanterre HC

-2.5

1.50

Point Line

167.5

163.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Roanne are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

May 17

H

Le Portel

L

74

77

9

18

L 7

74

84

May 15

A

Chalons-Reims

L

81

83

9

17

L 6

77

84

May 12

H

Boulazac

L

91

94

9

16

L 5

84

99

May 4

A

ASVEL

L

93

101

9

15

L 4

96

89

May 1

H

Orleans Loiret

L

91

95

9

14

L 3

91

90

Apr 27

A

Cholet

L

72

83

9

13

L 2

70

82

Apr 25

A

Strasbourg

L

74

87

9

12

L 1

75

85

Apr 20

H

Chalons-Reims

W

98

83

9

11

W 1

93

84

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Nanterre are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

May 20

H

Elan Bearnais

W

115

77

11

15

W 1

109

79

May 17

A

Monaco

L

67

90

10

15

L 2

73

86

May 15

H

BCM Gravelines

L

67

72

10

14

L 1

66

77

May 12

A

Elan Chalon

W

97

87

10

13

W 3

92

88

May 4

H

Le Portel

W

76

75

9

13

W 2

76

82

May 1

A

BCM Gravelines

W

102

81

8

13

W 1

100

86

Apr 27

H

Limoges

L

66

88

7

13

L 1

68

94

Apr 23

A

Orleans Loiret

W

98

89

7

12

W 1

98

85

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Roanne and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Nanterre.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Nanterre and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Roanne.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Roanne (in the first graph) and by Nanterre in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Roanne will expected to score 82 points and the Nanterre 83 points. The total points line estimated to be at 165.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Roanne

Nanterre

FG%

0.54

0.54

ASS

16.20

15.50

DRB

20.20

21.40

AST-TO

1.16

1.29

TRB

29.00

30.20

FTM

15.60

14.20

BL

2.80

2.30

FTA

22.00

18.40

PF-Fewer

19.40

21.00

ST

7.90

6.80

TO-Fewer

14.00

12.00

Ftper

0.71

0.77

ORBper

0.44

0.41

ORB

8.80

8.80


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Boulazac Dordogne Pro vs Orleans at 22 May 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Boulazac Dordogne Pro and Orleans for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 22 May 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Boulazac Dordogne Pro

2.8

7.38

Orleans

1.47

1.16

Boulazac Dordogne Pro HC

+4.5

10.00

Orleans HC

-4.5

-10.00

Point Line

167.5

166.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Boulazac Dordogne Pro are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

May 19

H

Elan Chalon

L

87

88

3

22

L 2

82

89

May 14

A

JL Bourg

L

86

92

3

21

L 1

88

87

May 12

A

Roanne

W

94

91

3

20

W 1

92

92

May 9

A

ASVEL

L

80

96

2

20

L 10

82

85

May 4

A

Orleans Loiret

L

68

91

2