2021 05 22 German BBL



BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

In this article we will analyse the following games:

Alba Berlin vs Hamburg Towers at 22 May 2021
Oldenburg vs Ratiopharm Ulm at 22 May 2021
Crailsheim Merlins vs Bayern Munchen at 23 May 2021
Brose Bamberg vs Ludwigsburg at 23 May 2021
Ratiopharm Ulm vs Oldenburg at 24 May 2021
Hamburg Towers vs Alba Berlin at 24 May 2021

Before continue, please read the disclaimer.



Alba Berlin vs Hamburg Towers at 22 May 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Alba Berlin and Hamburg Towers for German BBL, which will take place on 22 May 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Alba Berlin

1.15

1.51

Hamburg Towers

5.9

2.96

Alba Berlin HC

-11.5

-5.00

Hamburg Towers HC

+11.5

5.00

Point Line

161.5

159.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Alba Berlin are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

May 20

H

Hamburg Towers

W

82

59

29

6

86

59

May 8

A

BV Chemnitz 99

W

91

81

28

6

87

86

May 4

H

MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg

W

79

78

27

6

86

74

May 2

A

s.Oliver Baskets

W

99

79

26

6

95

85

Apr 30

A

SC Rasta Vechta

W

82

81

25

6

79

85

Apr 25

A

Bayern Munich

W

100

62

24

6

106

60

Apr 22

H

Basketball Lowen Braunschweig

L

82

87

23

6

79

87

Apr 13

A

Giessen 46ers

W

102

96

23

5

90

94

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Hamburg Towers are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

May 20

A

ALBA Berlin

L

59

82

21

14

65

80

May 8

A

Fraport Skyliners

L

89

96

20

14

90

104

May 4

H

BG Goettingen

W

93

91

20

13

86

90

May 2

A

HARKO Merlins Crailsheim

L

79

85

19

13

81

83

Apr 29

A

Medi Bayreuth

L

83

90

19

12

83

90

Apr 23

H

s.Oliver Baskets

W

95

83

19

11

91

90

Apr 19

A

BV Chemnitz 99

L

97

98

18

11

93

104

Apr 14

H

EWE Baskets Oldenburg

W

80

74

18

10

80

67

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Alba Berlin and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Hamburg Towers.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Hamburg Towers and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Alba Berlin.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Alba Berlin (in the first graph) and by Hamburg Towers in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Alba Berlin will expected to score 83 points and the Hamburg Towers 80 points. The total points line estimated to be at 163.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Alba Berlin

Hamburg Towers

FG%

0.56

0.54

ASS

22.20

18.60

DRB

24.30

21.20

AST-TO

1.69

1.66

TRB

33.70

29.90

FTM

12.90

14.50

BL

2.80

1.80

FTA

16.00

19.50

PF-Fewer

17.50

20.70

ST

7.60

8.90

TO-Fewer

13.10

11.20

Ftper

0.80

0.74

ORBper

0.39

0.41

ORB

9.40

8.70


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Oldenburg vs Ratiopharm Ulm at 22 May 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Oldenburg and Ratiopharm Ulm for German BBL, which will take place on 22 May 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Oldenburg

1.78

1.60

Ratiopharm Ulm

2.1

2.66

Oldenburg HC

-1.5

-4.00

Ratiopharm Ulm HC

+1.5

4.00

Point Line

172.5

172.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Oldenburg are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

May 20

H

Ratiopharm Ulm

L

88

93

25

10

94

88

May 11

H

BG Goettingen

W

98

77

25

9

91

77

May 8

A

Mitteldeutscher BC

W

87

72

24

9

81

73

May 5

H

HARKO Merlins Crailsheim

L

73

90

23

9

74

88

May 2

A

Fraport Skyliners

W

82

59

23

8

83

64

Apr 24

H

Ratiopharm Ulm

L

75

93

22

8

80

88

Apr 19

H

Brose Baskets Bamberg

W

100

99

22

7

102

99

Apr 14

A

Hamburg Towers

L

74

80

21

7

78

80

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Ratiopharm Ulm are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

May 20

A

EWE Baskets Oldenburg

W

93

88

24

11

93

79

May 8

A

Telekom Baskets Bonn

W

94

81

23

11

93

83

May 7

A

Bayern Munich

W

98

64

22

11

103

62

May 2

A

BV Chemnitz 99

W

85

70

21

11

82

74

Apr 29

H

HARKO Merlins Crailsheim

W

93

78

20

11

95

76

Apr 24

A

EWE Baskets Oldenburg

W

93

75

19

11

93

68

Apr 13

A

Medi Bayreuth

W

99

93

18

11

98

93

Apr 10

H

Giessen 46ers

W

109

79

17

11

96

78

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Oldenburg and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Ratiopharm Ulm.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Ratiopharm Ulm and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Oldenburg.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Oldenburg (in the first graph) and by Ratiopharm Ulm in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Oldenburg will expected to score 85 points and the Ratiopharm Ulm 86 points. The total points line estimated to be at 171.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Oldenburg

Ratiopharm Ulm

FG%

0.60

0.60

ASS

22.10

18.50

DRB

22.90

21.60

AST-TO

2.01

1.43

TRB

30.10

28.40

FTM

15.00

19.70

BL

1.90

2.30

FTA

18.40

23.30

PF-Fewer

20.70

19.60

ST

7.50

7.30

TO-Fewer

11.00

12.90

Ftper

0.81

0.85

ORBper

0.32

0.31

ORB

7.30

6.80


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Crailsheim Merlins vs Bayern Munchen at 23 May 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Crailsheim Merlins and Bayern Munchen for German BBL, which will take place on 23 May 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Crailsheim Merlins

3.7

3.34

Bayern Munchen

1.3

1.43

Crailsheim Merlins HC

+8.5

6.00

Bayern Munchen HC

-8.5

-6.00

Point Line

166.5

166.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Crailsheim Merlins are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

May 21

A

Bayern Munich

L

79

83

24

12

83

81

May 19

A

Bayern Munich

L

66

86

24

11

70

84

May 8

A

Brose Baskets Bamberg

W

77

70

24

10

78

70

May 5

A

EWE Baskets Oldenburg

W

90

73

23

10

90

66

May 2

H

Hamburg Towers

W

85

79

22

10

89

79

Apr 29

A

Ratiopharm Ulm

L

78

93

21

10

84

88

Apr 24

H

SC Rasta Vechta

W

98

81

21

9

94

85

Apr 14

A

BV Chemnitz 99

W

85

73

20

9

82

77

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Bayern Munchen are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

May 21

H

HARKO Merlins Crailsheim

W

83

79

26

10

85

77

May 19

H

HARKO Merlins Crailsheim

W

86

66

25

10

88

64

May 8

A

MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg

L

77

91

24

10

84

86

May 7

H

Ratiopharm Ulm

L

64

98

24

9

68

93

May 2

A

BG Goettingen

W

102

90

24

8

95

90

Apr 25

H

ALBA Berlin

L

62

100

23

8

68

97

Apr 13

A

Telekom Baskets Bonn

W

89

71

23

7

88

72

Apr 11

H

Basketball Lowen Braunschweig

L

83

85

22

7

80

85

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Crailsheim Merlins and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Bayern Munchen.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Bayern Munchen and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Crailsheim Merlins.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Crailsheim Merlins (in the first graph) and by Bayern Munchen in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Crailsheim Merlins will expected to score 82 points and the Bayern Munchen 84 points. The total points line estimated to be at 166.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Crailsheim Merlins

Bayern Munchen

FG%

0.56

0.56

ASS

18.70

18.90

DRB

22.00

22.30

AST-TO

1.30

1.55

TRB

30.50

31.00

FTM

16.80

16.60

BL

2.10

3.30

FTA

22.00

20.70

PF-Fewer

22.30

21.80

ST

7.50

7.30

TO-Fewer

14.40

12.20

Ftper

0.76

0.80

ORBper

0.39

0.39

ORB

8.50

8.70


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Brose Bamberg vs Ludwigsburg at 23 May 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Brose Bamberg and Ludwigsburg for German BBL, which will take place on 23 May 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Brose Bamberg

2.52

1.89

Ludwigsburg

1.55

2.13

Brose Bamberg HC

+3.5

-2.00

Ludwigsburg HC

-3.5

2.00

Point Line

164.5

165.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Brose Bamberg are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

May 21

A

MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg

L

83

86

17

19

90

81

May 19

A

MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg

L

69

83

17

18

75

78

May 8

H

HARKO Merlins Crailsheim

L

70

77

17

17

72

75

May 7

H

BG Goettingen

L

84

106

17

16

78

106

May 4

H

Giessen 46ers

W

99

90

17

15

88

88

May 2

A

Basketball Lowen Braunschweig

L

75

85

16

15

72

85

Apr 30

H

MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg

W

94

93

16

14

102

88

Apr 21

A

s.Oliver Baskets

L

78

82

15

14

75

88

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Ludwigsburg are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

May 21

H

Brose Baskets Bamberg

W

86

83

32

4

88

83

May 19

H

Brose Baskets Bamberg

W

83

69

31

4

84

69

May 8

H

Bayern Munich

W

91

77

30

4

96

75

May 4

A

ALBA Berlin

L

78

79

29

4

86

77

May 2

H

Telekom Baskets Bonn

W

89

73

29

3

88

74

Apr 30

A

Brose Baskets Bamberg

L

93

94

27

3

95

94

Apr 27

H

Fraport Skyliners

W

106

69

28

2

108

75

Apr 24

A

Giessen 46ers

W

89

80

27

2

79

79

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Brose Bamberg and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Ludwigsburg.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Ludwigsburg and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Brose Bamberg.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Brose Bamberg (in the first graph) and by Ludwigsburg in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Brose Bamberg will expected to score 81 points and the Ludwigsburg 85 points. The total points line estimated to be at 166.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Brose Bamberg

Ludwigsburg

FG%

0.56

0.55

ASS

20.20

17.40

DRB

22.70

21.50

AST-TO

1.46

1.64

TRB

31.80

31.20

FTM

13.60

15.10

BL

2.70

2.40

FTA

17.10

19.80

PF-Fewer

19.30

19.80

ST

5.70

8.30

TO-Fewer

13.80

10.60

Ftper

0.80

0.76

ORBper

0.40

0.45

ORB

9.10

9.70


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Ratiopharm Ulm vs Oldenburg at 24 May 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Ratiopharm Ulm and Oldenburg for German BBL, which will take place on 24 May 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Ratiopharm Ulm

1.52

2.66

Oldenburg

2.6

1.60

Ratiopharm Ulm HC

-3.5

4.00

Oldenburg HC

+3.5

-4.00

Point Line

168.5

169.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Ratiopharm Ulm are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

May 20

A

EWE Baskets Oldenburg

W

93

88

24

11

93

79

May 8

A

Telekom Baskets Bonn

W

94

81

23

11

93

83

May 7

A

Bayern Munich

W

98

64

22

11

103

62

May 2

A

BV Chemnitz 99

W

85

70

21

11

82

74

Apr 29

H

HARKO Merlins Crailsheim