Bournemouth Vs Sheffield United

Basic Data

Lineups

Predictions

In this article I will analyze the game between Bournemouth and Sheffield United for Championship (England).
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based on expected goals equations calculation are :

Team Home Draw Away Over Under
Book 2 3.43 3.87 2.09 1.77
Estim 1.81 4.05 5.03 2 2
Value % 5.25 -4.46 -5.96 2.15 -6.5



Basic Data and latest results


Bournemouth basic data

Gms Ws Ds Ls Pt% Sc Con Ov Un
Last 6 4 2 0 78 4 2 3 3
Last 3 2 1 0 78 2 1 1 2
At Home 3 2 0 73 5 4 5 0




Bournemouth latest results

Date Versus At Sc Con Res OU Gg
29 Sep Peterboro A 0 0 D U Ng
25 Sep Luton H 2 1 W O Gg
18 Sep Cardiff A 1 0 W U Ng
14 Sep QPR H 2 1 W O Gg
11 Sep Barnsley H 3 0 W O Ng
28 Aug Hull A 0 0 D U Ng
21 Aug Blackpool H 2 2 D O Gg
18 Aug Birmingham A 2 0 W U Ng



Sheffield United basic data

Gms Ws Ds Ls Pt% Sc Con Ov Un
Last 6 3 2 1 61 4 4 3 3
Last 3 2 0 1 67 2 2 1 2
At Away 1 2 2 33 1 3 2 3




Sheffield United latest results

Date Versus At Sc Con Res OU Gg
28 Sep Middlesbrough A 0 2 L U Ng
25 Sep Derby H 1 0 W U Ng
18 Sep Hull A 3 1 W O Gg
14 Sep Preston H 2 2 D O Gg
11 Sep Peterboro H 6 2 W O Gg
28 Aug Luton A 0 0 D U Ng
21 Aug Huddersfield H 1 2 L O Gg
18 Aug West Brom A 0 4 L O Ng






Lineups and team news


The possible lineups for the game are:


Bournemouth (4-3-3) Sheffield United (4-2-3-1)
Player Pos Player Pos
Mark Travers GK Robin Olsen GK
Jordan Zemura DL Rhys Norrington-Davies DL
Lloyd Kelly DC John Egan DC
Gary Cahill DC Ben Davies DC
Adam Smith DR George Baldock DR
Jefferson Lerma MC John Fleck DMC
Philip Billing MC Conor Hourihane DMC
Ben Pearson MC Ben Osborn AML
Jaidon Anthony FWL Iliman Ndiaye AMC
Dominic Solanke FW Morgan Gibbs-White AMR
David Brooks FWR Billy Sharp FW




Basic Data

Predictions

Bournemouth news and injuries


Junior Stanislas and Lewis Cook are the home side’s only confirmed absentees. Scott Parker made changes in midweek so expect the likes of Ben Pearson and Jaidon Anthony to return to the starting XI for this trickier clash.
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Injured player Status
Lewis Cook Out
Junior Stanislas Out



Sheffield United news and injuries



. David McGoldrick returned to action in midweek but midfielder Sander Berge remains a doubt. Slavisa Jokanovic could make two changes for the trip to Dorset this weekend with Rhys Norrington-Davies and Conor Hourihane both in contention for recalls.


Injured player Status
Jack O’Connell Out
Lys Mousset Out
Sander Berge Doubtful




Basic Data

Lineups

Betting information and prediction


Betting facts


  • There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Bournemouth’s last 5 home games (Championship).
  • Bournemouth have been winning at both half time and full time in their last 3 home matches (Championship).
  • Bournemouth are undefeated in their last 10 matches (Championship).
  • Bournemouth have scored at least 2 goals in their last 5 home matches (Championship).
  • Sheff Utd have won 5 of their last 6 matches against Bournemouth in all competitions.
  • Bournemouth have seen under 2.5 goals in their last 3 home matches against Sheff Utd in all competitions.



Desicive betting factors


  • The form score for the Bournemouth is 0.667 and for the Sheffield United is 0.311.
  • The home dynamic for the Bournemouth is 0.639 and the dynamic as a guest for the Sheffield United is -0.208.
  • The offensive ability for the Bournemouth is 0.067 and for the Sheffield United is 0.053.
  • Finally, the defensive ability for the Bournemouth is 0.519 and for the Sheffield United is -0.253.





Optimal equations estimations


Expected game result


The following table presents for probability of each team to score exactly 0-1-2 or 3+ goals.


Team No-G 1 gl 2 gls 3+ gls
Bournemouth 17% 30% 32% 21%
Sheffield United 37% 40% 16% 8%



According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Bournemouth to score 1.46 goals and Sheffield United to score 0.92 goals.
So, they expect a total of 2.38 goals in the game and the home team Bournemouth to win by 0.54 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Bournemouth to score 1.58 goals and Sheffield United to score 0.94 goals.
So, we expect a total of 2.52 goals in the game and the home team Bournemouth to win by 0.64 goals margin on average.


Expected total goals number


The following table presents the “fair” odds for various goals scenarios.


Goals Odds Goals Odds
0 16.39 0-1 4.22
1 5.68 2-3 1.89
2 3.8 4+ 4.29
3 3.75 Ov 1.5 1.31
4 6.29 Un 1.5 4.22
5 17.24 Ov 2.5 2
6+ 62.5 Un 2.5 2
Gg 1.9 Ov 3.5 4.29
NoG 2.11 Un 3.5 1.3


Various goals scenarios


The following table presents the “fair” odds for the game result in various goals scenarios. For example, if you believe that both teams will score, or that the game will have less than 3 goals you can find if a specific result is a value bet.


If game ends with -1- -X- -2-
0-1 goals 2.15 3.89 3.59
2-3 goals 1.63 4.45 6.16
4+ goals 1.94 3.53 4.96
Ov 1.5 1.71 4.12 5.74
Un 1.5 2.15 3.89 3.59
Ov 2.5 1.53 7.58 4.67
Un 2.5 2.19 2.78 5.43
Ov 3.5 1.94 3.53 4.96
Un 3.5 1.76 4.26 5.05
Goal-Goal 2.12 2.85 5.61
No Goal 1.54 7.75 4.5
G-G+Ov 2.5 1.65 6.18 4.34
NG+Un 2.5 1.67 7.75 4.14



Basic Data

Lineups

Predictions










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