Mallorca Vs Levante

Basic Data

Lineups

Predictions

In this article I will analyze the game between Mallorca and Levante for La Liga (Spain).
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based on expected goals equations calculation are :

Team Home Draw Away Over Under
Book 2.19 3.37 3.52 2.17 1.73
Estim 1.91 4.07 4.33 1.96 2.04
Value % 6.69 -5.1 -5.31 4.94 -8.78



Basic Data and latest results


Mallorca basic data

Gms Ws Ds Ls Pt% Sc Con Ov Un
Last 6 2 1 3 39 4 3 2 4
Last 3 0 1 2 11 2 2 2 1
At Home 1 2 1 42 3 2 1 3




Mallorca latest results

Date Versus At Sc Con Res OU Gg
26 Sep Osasuna H 2 3 L O Gg
22 Sep Real Madrid A 1 6 L O Gg
19 Sep Villarreal H 0 0 D U Ng
11 Sep Ath Bilbao A 0 2 L U Ng
27 Aug Espanol H 1 0 W U Ng
21 Aug Alaves A 1 0 W U Ng
14 Aug Betis H 1 1 D U Gg
NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA



Levante basic data

Gms Ws Ds Ls Pt% Sc Con Ov Un
Last 6 0 3 3 17 3 6 2 4
Last 3 0 1 2 11 1 3 1 2
At Away 0 2 2 17 2 4 1 3




Levante latest results

Date Versus At Sc Con Res OU Gg
26 Sep Barcelona A 0 3 L O Ng
21 Sep Celta H 0 2 L U Ng
18 Sep Elche A 1 1 D U Gg
11 Sep Vallecano H 1 1 D U Gg
28 Aug Sociedad A 0 1 L U Ng
22 Aug Real Madrid H 3 3 D O Gg
14 Aug Cadiz A 1 1 D U Gg
NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA






Lineups and team news


The possible lineups for the game are:


Mallorca (4-2-3-1) Levante (4-4-2)
Player Pos Player Pos
Manolo Reina GK Aitor Fern?ndez GK
Jaume Costa DL Carlos Clerc DL
Brian Oliv?n DC Rober Pier DC
Martin Valjent DC R?ben Vezo DC
Joan Sastre DR Jorge Miram?n DR
Iddrisu Baba DMC Gonzalo Melero ML
I?igo Ruiz de Galarreta DMC Nemanja Radoja MC
Amath Ndiaye AML Pablo Mart?nez MC
Dani Rodr?guez AMC Jorge de Frutos MR
Lee Kang-In AMR Roger Mart? FW
Fernando Ni?o FW Jos? Luis Morales FW




Basic Data

Predictions

Mallorca news and injuries


Right-back Pablo Maffeo is still struggling from an injury strain, and Take Kubo also remains out. .
Former Valencia starlet Lee Kang-in has impressed and is expected to keep his place. Aleksander Sedlar is out, while Antonio Raillo is another absentee ankle issue.


Injured player Status
Antonio Ra?llo Out
Aleksander Sedlar Out
Takefusa Kubo Out
Pablo Maffeo Doubtful



Levante news and injuries


Key midfielder Jose Campana remains out here, though, as do Mickael Malsa and Dani Cardenas. Roberto Soldado is finally nearing a return having missed the season so far, while Enis Bardhi is also close to returning. .
Ruben Vezo and Rober Pier are expected to return to the heart of defence after a poor showing from Las Granotas at the back last time out.


Injured player Status
Jos? Campa?a Out
Micka?l Malsa Out
Roberto Soldado Doubtful
Enis Bardhi Doubtful
Dani Cardenas Doubtful




Basic Data

Lineups

Betting information and prediction


Betting facts


  • Levante have failed to win their last 15 matches (LaLiga).
  • Mallorca have seen under 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 6 home matches against Levante in all competitions.



Desicive betting factors


  • The form score for the Mallorca is -0.259 and for the Levante is -0.533.
  • The home dynamic for the Mallorca is -0.059 and the dynamic as a guest for the Levante is -0.52.
  • The offensive ability for the Mallorca is 0.067 and for the Levante is -0.505.
  • Finally, the defensive ability for the Mallorca is 0.056 and for the Levante is -1.





Optimal equations estimations


Expected game result


The following table presents for probability of each team to score exactly 0-1-2 or 3+ goals.


Team No-G 1 gl 2 gls 3+ gls
Mallorca 21% 27% 29% 23%
Levante 38% 34% 18% 10%



According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Mallorca to score 1.35 goals and Levante to score 0.97 goals.
So, they expect a total of 2.32 goals in the game and the home team Mallorca to win by 0.38 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Mallorca to score 1.55 goals and Levante to score 1 goals.
So, we expect a total of 2.55 goals in the game and the home team Mallorca to win by 0.55 goals margin on average.


Expected total goals number


The following table presents the “fair” odds for various goals scenarios.


Goals Odds Goals Odds
0 12.66 0-1 3.97
1 5.78 2-3 2.01
2 4.15 4+ 3.97
3 3.89 Ov 1.5 1.33
4 6.33 Un 1.5 3.97
5 14.08 Ov 2.5 1.96
6+ 43.48 Un 2.5 2.03
Gg 2.03 Ov 3.5 3.97
NoG 1.96 Un 3.5 1.33


Various goals scenarios


The following table presents the “fair” odds for the game result in various goals scenarios. For example, if you believe that both teams will score, or that the game will have less than 3 goals you can find if a specific result is a value bet.


If game ends with -1- -X- -2-
0-1 goals 2.45 3.19 3.6
2-3 goals 1.67 5.41 4.65
4+ goals 2.07 3.32 4.67
Ov 1.5 1.78 4.46 4.66
Un 1.5 2.45 3.19 3.6
Ov 2.5 1.64 6.7 4.14
Un 2.5 2.3 2.88 4.56
Ov 3.5 2.07 3.32 4.67
Un 3.5 1.87 4.39 4.24
Goal-Goal 2.23 2.93 4.78
No Goal 1.68 6.46 3.98
G-G+Ov 2.5 1.81 5.26 3.88
NG+Un 2.5 1.87 6.46 3.71



Basic Data

Lineups

Predictions










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