Bromley Vs Torquay

Basic Data

Lineups

Predictions

In this article I will analyze the game between Bromley and Torquay for Conference (England).
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based on expected goals equations calculation are :

Team Home Draw Away Over Under
Book 2.38 3.36 2.78 1.82 1.97
Estim 1.81 4.26 4.74 1.97 2.03
Value % 13.23 -6.29 -14.87 -4.18 -1.5



Basic Data and latest results


Bromley basic data

Gms Ws Ds Ls Pt% Sc Con Ov Un
Last 6 4 1 1 72 6 3 4 2
Last 3 3 0 0 100 3 1 2 1
At Home 4 0 1 80 5 2 4 1




Bromley latest results

Date Versus At Sc Con Res OU Gg
05 Oct Weymouth H 3 0 W O Ng
28 Sep Grimsby H 3 1 W O Gg
25 Sep Dover Athletic A 1 0 W U Ng
18 Sep Barnet H 2 0 W U Ng
11 Sep Boreham Wood H 2 3 L O Gg
04 Sep Chesterfield A 2 2 D O Gg
30 Aug Eastleigh H 3 0 W O Ng
28 Aug Dag and Red A 2 4 L O Gg



Torquay basic data

Gms Ws Ds Ls Pt% Sc Con Ov Un
Last 6 2 1 3 39 5 4 4 2
Last 3 1 1 1 44 2 2 2 1
At Away 1 2 2 33 4 5 3 2




Torquay latest results

Date Versus At Sc Con Res OU Gg
05 Oct Boreham Wood A 0 2 L U Ng
02 Oct Wealdstone H 5 0 W O Ng
25 Sep Chesterfield A 2 2 D O Gg
18 Sep Southend H 1 0 W U Ng
14 Sep Solihull A 1 2 L O Gg
11 Sep Grimsby H 1 3 L O Gg
04 Sep Maidenhead A 4 3 W O Gg
30 Aug Woking H 0 4 L O Ng






Desicive betting factors


  • The form score for the Bromley is 0.858 and for the Torquay is -0.189.
  • The home dynamic for the Bromley is 0.656 and the dynamic as a guest for the Torquay is -0.213.
  • The offensive ability for the Bromley is 1 and for the Torquay is 0.433.
  • Finally, the defensive ability for the Bromley is 0.227 and for the Torquay is 0.265.





Optimal equations estimations


Expected game result


The following table presents for probability of each team to score exactly 0-1-2 or 3+ goals.



Team No-G 1 gl 2 gls 3+ gls
Bromley 25% 20% 27% 28%
Torquay 40% 37% 16% 6%



According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Bromley to score 1.38 goals and Torquay to score 1.24 goals.
So, they expect a total of 2.62 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.14 on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Bromley to score 1.59 goals and Torquay to score 0.89 goals.
So, we expect a total of 2.48 goals in the game and the home team Bromley to win by 0.7 goals margin on average.


Expected total goals number


The following table presents the “fair” odds for various goals scenarios.


Goals Odds Goals Odds
0 10.1 0-1 3.7
1 5.85 2-3 2.06
2 4.5 4+ 4.07
3 3.8 Ov 1.5 1.37
4 6.13 Un 1.5 3.7
5 15.62 Ov 2.5 1.96
6+ 52.63 Un 2.5 2.03
Gg 2.21 Ov 3.5 4.07
NoG 1.82 Un 3.5 1.32


Various goals scenarios


The following table presents the “fair” odds for the game result in various goals scenarios. For example, if you believe that both teams will score, or that the game will have less than 3 goals you can find if a specific result is a value bet.


If game ends with -1- -X- -2-
0-1 goals 3.42 2.73 2.93
2-3 goals 1.5 6.55 5.51
4+ goals 1.62 3.9 7.94
Ov 1.5 1.54 5.34 6.14
Un 1.5 3.42 2.73 2.93
Ov 2.5 1.39 8.08 6.44
Un 2.5 2.63 2.84 3.73
Ov 3.5 1.62 3.9 7.94
Un 3.5 1.88 4.36 4.19
Goal-Goal 1.79 3.31 7.19
No Goal 1.82 5.54 3.7
G-G+Ov 2.5 1.5 6.02 6.02
NG+Un 2.5 2.24 5.54 3.17



Basic Data

Lineups

Predictions










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