Ionikos Vs Volos NFC

Basic Data

Lineups

Predictions

In this article I will analyze the game between Ionikos and Volos NFC for Super League (Greece).
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based on expected goals equations calculation are :

Team Home Draw Away Over Under
Book 2.6 3.29 2.74 2.21 1.71
Estim 2.46 3.23 3.53 2.73 1.58
Value % 2.19 0.56 -8.17 -8.62 4.81



Basic Data and latest results


Ionikos basic data

Gms Ws Ds Ls Pt% Sc Con Ov Un
Last 6 2 2 2 44 4 2 2 4
Last 3 1 0 2 33 3 2 2 1
At Home 1 1 1 44 2 1 1 2




Ionikos latest results

Date Versus At Sc Con Res OU Gg
23 Oct Atromitos A 2 0 W U Ng
16 Oct Panathinaikos A 1 4 L O Gg
03 Oct Lamia H 1 2 L O Gg
27 Sep Apollon A 0 0 D U Ng
23 Sep Giannina H 0 0 D U Ng
17 Sep Aris H 1 0 W U Ng
12 Sep AEK A 0 3 L O Ng
NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA



Volos NFC basic data

Gms Ws Ds Ls Pt% Sc Con Ov Un
Last 6 3 1 2 56 6 5 6 0
Last 3 1 1 1 44 3 3 3 0
At Away 1 1 1 44 3 3 3 0




Volos NFC latest results

Date Versus At Sc Con Res OU Gg
24 Oct AEK H 1 3 L O Gg
17 Oct PAOK A 4 4 D O Gg
02 Oct Asteras Tripolis H 2 1 W O Gg
26 Sep Panathinaikos A 1 5 L O Gg
23 Sep Atromitos H 3 0 W O Ng
19 Sep Apollon A 3 1 W O Gg
12 Sep Lamia H 2 1 W O Gg
NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA






Desicive betting factors


  • The form score for the Ionikos is -0.035 and for the Volos NFC is 0.096.
  • The home dynamic for the Ionikos is -0.171 and the dynamic as a guest for the Volos NFC is -0.004.
  • The offensive ability for the Ionikos is 0.278 and for the Volos NFC is 1.
  • Finally, the defensive ability for the Ionikos is 0.821 and for the Volos NFC is -0.648.





Optimal equations estimations


Expected game result


The following table presents for probability of each team to score exactly 0-1-2 or 3+ goals.



Team No-G 1 gl 2 gls 3+ gls
Ionikos 12% 65% 17% 5%
Volos NFC 36% 33% 27% 4%



According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Ionikos to score 1.17 goals and Volos NFC to score 1.13 goals.
So, they expect a total of 2.29 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.04 on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Ionikos to score 1.16 goals and Volos NFC to score 0.98 goals.
So, we expect a total of 2.14 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.18 on average.


Expected total goals number


The following table presents the “fair” odds for various goals scenarios.


Goals Odds Goals Odds
0 22.22 0-1 3.12
1 3.62 2-3 1.76
2 3.19 4+ 9.09
3 3.91 Ov 1.5 1.47
4 11.36 Un 1.5 3.12
5 50 Ov 2.5 2.73
6+ 500 Un 2.5 1.58
Gg 1.79 Ov 3.5 9.09
NoG 2.27 Un 3.5 1.12


Various goals scenarios


The following table presents the “fair” odds for the game result in various goals scenarios. For example, if you believe that both teams will score, or that the game will have less than 3 goals you can find if a specific result is a value bet.


If game ends with -1- -X- -2-
0-1 goals 1.37 7.13 7.83
2-3 goals 4.06 2.62 2.68
4+ goals 3.44 2.24 3.79
Ov 1.5 3.95 2.55 2.82
Un 1.5 1.37 7.13 7.83
Ov 2.5 3.36 7.47 1.76
Un 2.5 2.13 2.42 8.57
Ov 3.5 3.44 2.24 3.79
Un 3.5 2.37 3.4 3.52
Goal-Goal 6.22 2.11 2.75
No Goal 1.39 9.78 5.64
G-G+Ov 2.5 3.81 7 1.68
NG+Un 2.5 1.4 9.78 5.64



Basic Data

Lineups

Predictions










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