Solihull Vs Yeovil

Basic Data

Lineups

Predictions

In this article I will analyze the game between Solihull and Yeovil for Conference (England).
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based on expected goals equations calculation are :

Team Home Draw Away Over Under
Book 1.78 3.69 4.04 1.86 1.99
Estim 2.18 3.86 3.53 1.99 2.01
Value % -10.31 -1.19 3.58 -3.51 -0.5



Basic Data and latest results


Solihull basic data

Gms Ws Ds Ls Pt% Sc Con Ov Un
Last 6 4 1 1 72 5 2 2 4
Last 3 3 0 0 100 3 1 1 2
At Home 4 2 1 67 7 5 4 3




Solihull latest results

Date Versus At Sc Con Res OU Gg
26 Oct Altrincham A 2 1 W O Gg
23 Oct Halifax H 1 0 W U Ng
09 Oct King’s Lynn A 1 0 W U Ng
05 Oct Wealdstone A 0 0 D U Ng
02 Oct Southend H 2 0 W U Ng
25 Sep Dag and Red A 1 5 L O Gg
21 Sep Dover Athletic A 0 0 D U Ng
18 Sep Boreham Wood H 3 1 W O Gg



Yeovil basic data

Gms Ws Ds Ls Pt% Sc Con Ov Un
Last 6 1 2 3 28 3 4 1 5
Last 3 1 1 1 44 2 2 0 3
At Away 2 0 2 50 3 3 3 1




Yeovil latest results

Date Versus At Sc Con Res OU Gg
26 Oct Woking H 2 0 W U Ng
23 Oct Grimsby A 0 2 L U Ng
12 Oct Altrincham H 1 1 D U Gg
09 Oct Notts County H 0 2 L U Ng
05 Oct Maidenhead H 0 0 D U Ng
25 Sep Boreham Wood A 1 2 L O Gg
18 Sep Chesterfield H 0 2 L U Ng
11 Sep Stockport A 3 0 W O Ng






Desicive betting factors


  • The form score for the Solihull is 0.667 and for the Yeovil is -0.281.
  • The home dynamic for the Solihull is 0.085 and the dynamic as a guest for the Yeovil is -0.057.
  • The offensive ability for the Solihull is 0.626 and for the Yeovil is -0.142.
  • Finally, the defensive ability for the Solihull is 0.895 and for the Yeovil is -0.181.





Optimal equations estimations


Expected game result


The following table presents for probability of each team to score exactly 0-1-2 or 3+ goals.



Team No-G 1 gl 2 gls 3+ gls
Solihull 24% 29% 25% 22%
Yeovil 32% 36% 21% 11%



According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Solihull to score 1.68 goals and Yeovil to score 0.92 goals.
So, they expect a total of 2.61 goals in the game and the home team Solihull to win by 0.76 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Solihull to score 1.44 goals and Yeovil to score 1.1 goals.
So, we expect a total of 2.54 goals in the game and the home team Solihull to win by 0.34 goals margin on average.


Expected total goals number


The following table presents the “fair” odds for various goals scenarios.


Goals Odds Goals Odds
0 12.66 0-1 3.85
1 5.52 2-3 2.07
2 4.24 4+ 3.89
3 4.03 Ov 1.5 1.35
4 6.17 Un 1.5 3.85
5 13.89 Ov 2.5 1.98
6+ 43.48 Un 2.5 2.02
Gg 1.95 Ov 3.5 3.89
NoG 2.05 Un 3.5 1.34


Various goals scenarios


The following table presents the “fair” odds for the game result in various goals scenarios. For example, if you believe that both teams will score, or that the game will have less than 3 goals you can find if a specific result is a value bet.


If game ends with -1- -X- -2-
0-1 goals 2.8 3.29 2.95
2-3 goals 2 4.65 3.51
4+ goals 2.09 3.38 4.43
Ov 1.5 2.03 4.12 3.78
Un 1.5 2.8 3.29 2.95
Ov 2.5 1.78 6.64 3.48
Un 2.5 2.85 2.71 3.57
Ov 3.5 2.09 3.38 4.43
Un 3.5 2.22 4.07 3.29
Goal-Goal 2.4 2.85 4.31
No Goal 2 6.18 2.96
G-G+Ov 2.5 1.91 5.38 3.44
NG+Un 2.5 2.25 6.18 2.82



Basic Data

Lineups

Predictions










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