Huddersfield Vs West Brom

Basic Data

Lineups

Predictions

In this article I will analyze the game between Huddersfield and West Brom for Championship (England).
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based on expected goals equations calculation are :

Team Home Draw Away Over Under
Book 3.77 3.3 2.08 2.23 1.67
Estim 2.48 3.75 3.04 2.13 1.89
Value % 13.8 -3.64 -15.18 2.11 -6.97



Basic Data and latest results


Huddersfield basic data

Gms Ws Ds Ls Pt% Sc Con Ov Un
Last 6 2 2 2 44 4 3 2 4
Last 3 1 1 1 44 3 2 1 2
At Home 5 1 2 67 6 3 3 5




Huddersfield latest results

Date Versus At Sc Con Res OU Gg
06 Nov Cardiff A 1 2 L O Gg
02 Nov Peterboro A 1 1 D U Gg
30 Oct Millwall H 1 0 W U Ng
23 Oct Bournemouth A 0 3 L O Ng
20 Oct Birmingham H 0 0 D U Ng
16 Oct Hull H 2 0 W U Ng
02 Oct Luton A 0 0 D U Ng
28 Sep Blackburn H 3 2 W O Gg



West Brom basic data

Gms Ws Ds Ls Pt% Sc Con Ov Un
Last 6 3 1 2 56 5 3 3 3
Last 3 1 1 1 44 2 2 1 2
At Away 3 2 3 46 6 6 5 3




West Brom latest results

Date Versus At Sc Con Res OU Gg
06 Nov Middlesbrough H 1 1 D U Gg
03 Nov Hull H 1 0 W U Ng
30 Oct Fulham A 0 3 L O Ng
23 Oct Bristol City H 3 0 W O Ng
20 Oct Swansea A 1 2 L O Gg
15 Oct Birmingham H 1 0 W U Ng
01 Oct Stoke A 0 1 L U Ng
28 Sep Cardiff A 4 0 W O Ng






Desicive betting factors


  • The form score for the Huddersfield is -0.052 and for the West Brom is 0.256.
  • The home dynamic for the Huddersfield is 0.235 and the dynamic as a guest for the West Brom is 0.125.
  • The offensive ability for the Huddersfield is 0.112 and for the West Brom is 0.586.
  • Finally, the defensive ability for the Huddersfield is 0.056 and for the West Brom is 0.13.





Optimal equations estimations


Expected game result


The following table presents for probability of each team to score exactly 0-1-2 or 3+ goals.



Team No-G 1 gl 2 gls 3+ gls
Huddersfield 29% 30% 26% 16%
West Brom 34% 31% 22% 13%



According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Huddersfield to score 0.9 goals and West Brom to score 1.36 goals.
So, they expect a total of 2.26 goals in the game and the guest team West Brom to win by 0.46 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Huddersfield to score 1.28 goals and West Brom to score 1.14 goals.
So, we expect a total of 2.42 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.14 on average.


Expected total goals number


The following table presents the “fair” odds for various goals scenarios.


Goals Odds Goals Odds
0 10.31 0-1 3.47
1 5.24 2-3 2.09
2 4.12 4+ 4.29
3 4.24 Ov 1.5 1.4
4 6.94 Un 1.5 3.47
5 14.71 Ov 2.5 2.13
6+ 47.62 Un 2.5 1.88
Gg 2.12 Ov 3.5 4.29
NoG 1.89 Un 3.5 1.3


Various goals scenarios


The following table presents the “fair” odds for the game result in various goals scenarios. For example, if you believe that both teams will score, or that the game will have less than 3 goals you can find if a specific result is a value bet.


If game ends with -1- -X- -2-
0-1 goals 2.88 2.97 3.16
2-3 goals 2.17 5.15 2.9
4+ goals 2.81 3.03 3.19
Ov 1.5 2.34 4.19 2.99
Un 1.5 2.88 2.97 3.16
Ov 2.5 2.16 6.09 2.68
Un 2.5 2.84 2.79 3.45
Ov 3.5 2.81 3.03 3.19
Un 3.5 2.39 4.04 3
Goal-Goal 2.87 2.77 3.44
No Goal 2.2 5.45 2.76
G-G+Ov 2.5 2.3 4.91 2.76
NG+Un 2.5 2.34 5.45 2.84



Basic Data

Lineups

Predictions










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