Football England – Championship

Championship
In this article we will analyse the following games: (with blue color are the value bets as estimated by the optimal equations method).
TeamsDateHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Fulham - Bournemouth03-Dec1.843.684.271.891.96
Middlesbrough - Swansea04-Dec2.023.513.712.171.72
Coventry - West Brom04-Dec3.13.262.382.131.74
Reading - Hull04-Dec2.443.243.032.091.77
Millwall - Birmingham04-Dec2.173.213.612.431.57
Bristol City - Derby04-Dec2.513.212.952.261.65
Blackpool - Luton04-Dec2.83.162.662.221.69
Nott'm Forest - Peterboro04-Dec1.783.674.792.081.79
Cardiff - Sheffield United04-Dec3.213.362.271.951.89
Blackburn - Preston04-Dec2.243.393.232.011.83
Barnsley - Huddersfield04-Dec2.733.192.72.31.65
QPR - Stoke05-Dec2.393.33.032.041.8

Click here to view the mathematical predictions for today!


Fulham vs Bournemouth at 03 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Fulham and Bournemouth for Championship (England).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book1.843.684.271.891.96
Ours2.183.73.682.081.93
Value %-8.48-0.153.75-4.830.79

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Away, Under (3.75 %, 0.79 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Fulham
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6420785233
Last 3120562212
At Home721779564
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovPrestonA11DUGg
24 NovDerbyH00DUNg
20 NovBarnsleyH41WOGg
06 NovPeterboroA10WUNg
03 NovBlackburnA70WONg
30 OctWest BromH30WONg
24 OctNott'm ForestA40WONg
20 OctCardiffH20WUNg
Bournemouth
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6222446442
Last 3021223321
At Away631708328
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovCoventryH22DOGg
24 NovMillwallA11DUGg
21 NovDerbyA23LOGg
06 NovSwanseaH40WONg
03 NovPrestonH12LOGg
30 OctReadingA20WUNg
23 OctHuddersfieldH30WONg
19 OctStokeA10WUNg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsFulhamBournemouth
Form Score0.587-0.022
Home/Away form0.4770.689
Off ability0.4741
Def ability0.478-0.407


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Fulham20%38%24%18%
Bournemouth33%36%22%9%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Fulham and the red line for guest team, Bournemouth.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Fulham to score 1.67 goals and Bournemouth to score 0.91 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.58 goals in the game and the home team Fulham to win by 0.76 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Fulham to score 1.41 goals and Bournemouth to score 1.07 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.48 goals in the game and the home team Fulham to win by 0.34 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
015.380-13.83
15.12-31.98
23.884+4.29
34.03Ov 1.51.35
46.54Un 1.53.83
515.87Ov 2.52.08
6+58.82Un 2.51.93
Gg1.86Ov 3.54.29
NoG2.16Un 3.51.3
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.094.023.68
2-3 goals2.243.723.51
4+ goals2.163.384.16
Ov 1.52.213.63.69
Un 1.52.094.023.68
Ov 2.51.896.973.06
Un 2.52.542.584.55
Ov 3.52.163.384.16
Un 3.52.193.823.57
Goal-Goal2.772.623.87
No Goal1.747.113.5
G-G+Ov 2.52.075.832.89
NG+Un 2.51.887.113.36

Go to Top


Middlesbrough vs Swansea at 04 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Middlesbrough and Swansea for Championship (England).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.023.513.712.171.72
Ours2.173.653.752.131.88
Value %-3.42-1.09-0.290.87-4.95

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Over (0.87 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Middlesbrough
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6123285633
Last 3111443321
At Home424479746
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovHuddersfieldA21WOGg
23 NovPrestonH12LOGg
20 NovMillwallH11DUGg
06 NovWest BromA11DUGg
02 NovLutonA13LOGg
30 OctBirminghamH02LUNg
23 OctCardiffA20WUNg
20 OctBarnsleyH20WUNg
Swansea
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6312565442
Last 3111443212
At Away325378773
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovReadingH23LOGg
24 NovBarnsleyA20WUNg
20 NovBlackpoolH11DUGg
06 NovBournemouthA04LONg
02 NovCoventryA21WOGg
30 OctPeterboroH30WONg
23 OctBirminghamA12LOGg
20 OctWest BromH21WOGg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsMiddlesbroughSwansea
Form Score-0.3650.111
Home/Away form-0.037-0.156
Off ability0.6110.626
Def ability-1-0.356


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Middlesbrough21%36%26%17%
Swansea32%40%18%10%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Middlesbrough and the red line for guest team, Swansea.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Middlesbrough to score 1.41 goals and Swansea to score 0.91 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.32 goals in the game and the home team Middlesbrough to win by 0.5 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Middlesbrough to score 1.4 goals and Swansea to score 1.05 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.45 goals in the game and the home team Middlesbrough to win by 0.35 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
014.710-13.76
15.052-31.97
23.84+4.44
34.1Ov 1.51.37
46.62Un 1.53.76
517.54Ov 2.52.13
6+58.82Un 2.51.89
Gg1.87Ov 3.54.44
NoG2.16Un 3.51.29
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.313.913.2
2-3 goals2.093.64.12
4+ goals2.233.463.81
Ov 1.52.133.554.02
Un 1.52.313.913.2
Ov 2.51.87.223.26
Un 2.52.662.534.37
Ov 3.52.233.463.81
Un 3.52.163.73.75
Goal-Goal2.622.594.31
No Goal1.826.823.29
G-G+Ov 2.51.936.053.17
NG+Un 2.51.956.823.21

Go to Top


Coventry vs West Brom at 04 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Coventry and West Brom for Championship (England).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book3.13.262.382.131.74
Ours2.223.823.472.081.93
Value %12.79-4.5-13.21.13-5.66

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Over (12.79 %, 1.13 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Coventry
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6231504333
Last 3030331112
At Home721779664
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovBournemouthA22DOGg
23 NovBirminghamH00DUNg
20 NovSheffield UnitedA00DUNg
06 NovBristol CityH32WOGg
02 NovSwanseaH12LOGg
30 OctHullA10WUNg
23 OctDerbyH11DUGg
20 OctPrestonA12LOGg
West Brom
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6132332315
Last 3021220103
At Away334406755
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
26 NovNott'm ForestH00DUNg
23 NovBlackpoolA00DUNg
20 NovHuddersfieldA01LUNg
06 NovMiddlesbroughH11DUGg
03 NovHullH10WUNg
30 OctFulhamA03LONg
23 OctBristol CityH30WONg
20 OctSwanseaA12LOGg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsCoventryWest Brom
Form Score0.087-0.163
Home/Away form0.361-0.044
Off ability-0.021-0.626
Def ability0.1570.059


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Coventry26%29%26%19%
West Brom35%35%19%12%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Coventry and the red line for guest team, West Brom.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Coventry to score 1.06 goals and West Brom to score 1.28 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.34 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is -0.22 on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Coventry to score 1.38 goals and West Brom to score 1.08 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.46 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.3 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
011.240-13.6
15.292-32.07
24.174+4.18
34.13Ov 1.51.39
46.67Un 1.53.6
514.93Ov 2.52.08
6+45.45Un 2.51.93
Gg2.06Ov 3.54.18
NoG1.95Un 3.51.32
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.783.123.12
2-3 goals1.944.823.62
4+ goals2.343.323.68
Ov 1.52.054.193.64
Un 1.52.783.123.12
Ov 2.51.856.683.23
Un 2.52.712.743.75
Ov 3.52.343.323.68
Un 3.52.184.023.42
Goal-Goal2.52.824.08
No Goal25.783.06
G-G+Ov 2.51.985.353.24
NG+Un 2.52.195.783.03

Go to Top


Reading vs Hull at 04 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Reading and Hull for Championship (England).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.443.243.032.091.77
Ours2.093.83.862.111.9
Value %6.86-4.55-7.1-0.45-3.87

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home (6.86 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Reading
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6213393624
Last 3111442312
At Home424478855
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovSwanseaA32WOGg
23 NovSheffield UnitedH01LUNg
20 NovNott'm ForestH11DUGg
06 NovBirminghamA21WOGg
02 NovMillwallA01LUNg
30 OctBournemouthH02LUNg
23 OctBlackburnA02LUNg
20 OctBlackpoolH23LOGg
Hull
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6402674315
Last 33001003112
At Away316333719
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovMillwallH21WOGg
24 NovCardiffA10WUNg
20 NovBirminghamH20WUNg
06 NovBarnsleyA20WUNg
03 NovWest BromA01LUNg
30 OctCoventryH01LUNg
23 OctLutonA01LUNg
20 OctPeterboroH12LOGg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsReadingHull
Form Score-0.190.43
Home/Away form-0.087-0.563
Off ability-0.3370.33
Def ability-10.037


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Reading22%32%28%18%
Hull35%38%17%10%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Reading and the red line for guest team, Hull.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Reading to score 1.28 goals and Hull to score 1.1 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.38 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.18 on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Reading to score 1.42 goals and Hull to score 1.03 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.45 goals in the game and the home team Reading to win by 0.39 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
013.160-13.7
15.152-31.99
23.914+4.41
34.07Ov 1.51.37
46.71Un 1.53.7
516.67Ov 2.52.11
6+55.56Un 2.51.9
Gg1.97Ov 3.54.41
NoG2.04Un 3.51.3
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.433.553.25
2-3 goals1.884.184.37
4+ goals2.273.393.78
Ov 1.51.993.94.17
Un 1.52.433.553.25
Ov 2.51.767.063.45
Un 2.52.522.684.35
Ov 3.52.273.393.78
Un 3.52.043.943.9
Goal-Goal2.472.724.42
No Goal1.816.463.43
G-G+Ov 2.51.885.793.37
NG+Un 2.51.946.463.36

Go to Top


Millwall vs Birmingham at 04 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Millwall and Birmingham for Championship (England).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.173.213.612.431.57
Ours2.083.74.032.21.83
Value %1.99-4.13-2.894.3-9.05

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Over (1.99 %, 4.3 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Millwall
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6132335515
Last 3021223312
At Home442539837
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovHullA12LOGg
24 NovBournemouthH11DUGg
20 NovMiddlesbroughA11DUGg
06 NovDerbyH11DUGg
02 NovReadingH10WUNg
30 OctHuddersfieldA01LUNg
23 OctStokeH21WOGg
19 OctSheffield UnitedA21WOGg
Birmingham
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6312564224
Last 3111441103
At Away334404528
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovBlackpoolH10WUNg
23 NovCoventryA00DUNg
20 NovHullA02LUNg
06 NovReadingH12LOGg
02 NovBristol CityH30WONg
30 OctMiddlesbroughA20WUNg
23 OctSwanseaH21WOGg
20 OctHuddersfieldA00DUNg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsMillwallBirmingham
Form Score-0.270.148
Home/Away form0.1290.007
Off ability0.6110.157
Def ability-0.6520.333


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Millwall23%33%22%21%
Birmingham36%41%12%11%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Millwall and the red line for guest team, Birmingham.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Millwall to score 1.25 goals and Birmingham to score 0.88 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.13 goals in the game and the home team Millwall to win by 0.37 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Millwall to score 1.41 goals and Birmingham to score 0.97 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.38 goals in the game and the home team Millwall to win by 0.44 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
011.90-13.33
14.632-32.09
24.084+4.52
34.29Ov 1.51.43
46.71Un 1.53.33
520Ov 2.52.2
6+45.45Un 2.51.83
Gg2.04Ov 3.54.52
NoG1.96Un 3.51.29
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.483.573.16
2-3 goals1.933.515.09
4+ goals1.974.513.68
Ov 1.51.943.784.54
Un 1.52.483.573.16
Ov 2.51.639.273.6
Un 2.52.72.484.43
Ov 3.51.974.513.68
Un 3.52.113.544.12
Goal-Goal2.412.644.84
No Goal1.836.073.45
G-G+Ov 2.51.747.23.5
NG+Un 2.52.026.073.33

Go to Top


Bristol City vs Derby at 04 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Bristol City and Derby for Championship (England).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.513.212.952.261.65
Ours2.293.623.472.21.83
Value %3.83-3.53-5.081.21-5.96

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Over (3.83 %, 1.21 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Bristol City
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6213394533
Last 3111442203
At Home253377828
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
28 NovSheffield UnitedA02LUNg
24 NovStokeH10WUNg
20 NovBlackburnH11DUGg
06 NovCoventryA23LOGg
02 NovBirminghamA03LONg
30 OctBarnsleyH21WOGg
23 OctWest BromA03LONg
19 OctNott'm ForestH12LOGg
Derby
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6123285542
Last 3111442221
At Away154275628
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
29 NovQPRH12LOGg
24 NovFulhamA00DUNg
21 NovBournemouthH32WOGg
06 NovMillwallA11DUGg
03 NovBarnsleyA12LOGg
30 OctBlackburnH12LOGg
23 OctCoventryA11DUGg
19 OctLutonH22DOGg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsBristol CityDerby
Form Score-0.27-0.311
Home/Away form-0.386-0.296
Off ability0.0210.565
Def ability-0.565-0.63


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Bristol City26%36%17%21%
Derby35%37%16%12%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Bristol City and the red line for guest team, Derby.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Bristol City to score 1.18 goals and Derby to score 1.06 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.24 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.12 on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Bristol City to score 1.34 goals and Derby to score 1.05 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.39 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.29 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
010.990-13.21
14.522-32.17
24.274+4.37
34.42Ov 1.51.45
46.71Un 1.53.21
518.18Ov 2.52.2
6+40Un 2.51.83
Gg2.07Ov 3.54.37
NoG1.93Un 3.51.3
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.523.433.22
2-3 goals2.33.483.59
4+ goals2.034.323.63
Ov 1.52.23.723.61
Un 1.52.523.433.22
Ov 2.51.818.583.03
Un 2.52.952.453.96
Ov 3.52.034.323.63
Un 3.52.383.463.43
Goal-Goal2.712.614.05
No Goal25.73.07
G-G+Ov 2.51.976.62.94
NG+Un 2.52.245.73

Go to Top


Blackpool vs Luton at 04 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Blackpool and Luton for Championship (England).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.83.162.662.221.69
Ours2.433.693.152.161.86
Value %5.44-4.55-5.851.25-5.41

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Over (5.44 %, 1.25 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Blackpool
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6132333406
Last 3021221203
At Home424475628
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovBirminghamA01LUNg
23 NovWest BromH00DUNg
20 NovSwanseaA11DUGg
06 NovQPRH11DUGg
03 NovStokeH01LUNg
30 OctSheffield UnitedA10WUNg
23 OctPrestonH20WUNg
20 OctReadingA32WOGg
Luton
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6114222524
Last 3012111212
At Away244337746
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovCardiffH12LOGg
23 NovNott'm ForestA00DUNg
19 NovQPRA02LUNg
06 NovStokeH01LUNg
02 NovMiddlesbroughH31WOGg
30 OctPrestonA02LUNg
23 OctHullH10WUNg
19 OctDerbyA22DOGg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsBlackpoolLuton
Form Score-0.294-0.519
Home/Away form-0.112-0.081
Off ability-0.505-0.539
Def ability-0.243-0.63


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Blackpool26%36%19%19%
Luton34%34%21%12%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Blackpool and the red line for guest team, Luton.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Blackpool to score 1.12 goals and Luton to score 1.16 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.28 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is -0.04 on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Blackpool to score 1.3 goals and Luton to score 1.11 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.41 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.19 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
011.240-13.36
14.782-32.12
24.184+4.33
34.29Ov 1.51.42
46.85Un 1.53.36
516.13Ov 2.52.16
6+43.48Un 2.51.86
Gg2.04Ov 3.54.33
NoG1.96Un 3.51.3
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.483.353.35
2-3 goals2.483.92.93
4+ goals2.263.733.45
Ov 1.52.413.843.08
Un 1.52.483.353.35
Ov 2.52.037.482.68
Un 2.52.932.563.73
Ov 3.52.263.733.45
Un 3.52.483.673.08
Goal-Goal2.952.683.48
No Goal2.085.742.9
G-G+Ov 2.52.225.952.62
NG+Un 2.52.275.742.89

Go to Top


Nott'm Forest vs Peterboro at 04 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Nott'm Forest and Peterboro for Championship (England).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book1.783.674.792.081.79
Ours1.813.975.151.992.01
Value %-0.93-2.06-1.462.17-6.11

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Over (2.17 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Nott'm Forest
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6150444315
Last 3030331103
At Home235307864
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
26 NovWest BromA00DUNg
23 NovLutonH00DUNg
20 NovReadingA11DUGg
06 NovPrestonH30WONg
02 NovSheffield UnitedH11DUGg
29 OctQPRA11DUGg
24 OctFulhamH04LONg
19 OctBristol CityA21WOGg
Peterboro
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6024111524
Last 3012110212
At Away1091031073
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovBarnsleyH00DUNg
24 NovBlackburnA04LONg
20 NovStokeA02LUNg
06 NovFulhamH01LUNg
02 NovHuddersfieldH11DUGg
30 OctSwanseaA03LONg
23 OctQPRH21WOGg
20 OctHullA21WOGg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsNott'm ForestPeterboro
Form Score0.103-0.652
Home/Away form-0.585-0.57
Off ability-0.084-1
Def ability0.278-0.607


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Nott'm Forest15%31%33%21%
Peterboro35%42%16%7%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Nott'm Forest and the red line for guest team, Peterboro.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Nott'm Forest to score 1.6 goals and Peterboro to score 0.79 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.39 goals in the game and the home team Nott'm Forest to win by 0.81 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Nott'm Forest to score 1.59 goals and Peterboro to score 0.95 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.54 goals in the game and the home team Nott'm Forest to win by 0.64 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
018.870-14.42
15.782-31.85
23.694+4.31
33.69Ov 1.51.29
46.17Un 1.54.42
517.86Ov 2.51.99
6+71.43Un 2.52.01
Gg1.81Ov 3.54.31
NoG2.23Un 3.51.3
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.074.263.53
2-3 goals1.674.146.3
4+ goals1.933.465.16
Ov 1.51.743.915.91
Un 1.52.074.263.53
Ov 2.51.527.514.75
Un 2.52.222.75.58
Ov 3.51.933.465.16
Un 3.51.774.175.12
Goal-Goal2.142.785.8
No Goal1.528.474.49
G-G+Ov 2.51.636.274.42
NG+Un 2.51.638.474.11

Go to Top


Cardiff vs Sheffield United at 04 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Cardiff and Sheffield United for Championship (England).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book3.213.362.271.951.89
Ours2.743.612.792.221.82
Value %5.34-2.06-8.21-6.242.04

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Under (5.34 %, 2.04 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Cardiff
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6312564642
Last 3201672321
At Home2172341046
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovLutonA21WOGg
24 NovHullH01LUNg
20 NovPrestonA21WOGg
06 NovHuddersfieldH21WOGg
03 NovQPRH01LUNg
30 OctStokeA33DOGg
23 OctMiddlesbroughH02LUNg
20 OctFulhamA02LUNg
Sheffield United
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6222444315
Last 3210782003
At Away334406755
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
28 NovBristol CityH20WUNg
23 NovReadingA10WUNg
20 NovCoventryH00DUNg
06 NovBlackburnA13LOGg
02 NovNott'm ForestA11DUGg
30 OctBlackpoolH01LUNg
24 OctBarnsleyA32WOGg
19 OctMillwallH12LOGg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsCardiffSheffield United
Form Score0.1430.089
Home/Away form-0.834-0.052
Off ability0.0530.278
Def ability-10.111


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Cardiff28%40%17%15%
Sheffield United30%33%23%13%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Cardiff and the red line for guest team, Sheffield United.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Cardiff to score 1.1 goals and Sheffield United to score 1.41 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.51 goals in the game and the guest team Sheffield United to win by 0.31 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Cardiff to score 1.2 goals and Sheffield United to score 1.18 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.38 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.02 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
011.760-13.34
14.672-32.07
23.984+4.59
34.33Ov 1.51.43
47.04Un 1.53.34
517.54Ov 2.52.23
6+52.63Un 2.51.82
Gg2Ov 3.54.59
NoG2.01Un 3.51.28
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.473.523.22
2-3 goals3.073.622.51
4+ goals2.533.633.03
Ov 1.52.883.632.65
Un 1.52.473.523.22
Ov 2.52.367.482.26
Un 2.53.162.523.48
Ov 3.52.533.633.03
Un 3.52.813.582.74
Goal-Goal3.482.63.05
No Goal2.265.862.58
G-G+Ov 2.52.566.132.24
NG+Un 2.52.45.862.64

Go to Top


Blackburn vs Preston at 04 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Blackburn and Preston for Championship (England).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.243.393.232.011.83
Ours2.063.793.981.962.04
Value %3.9-3.11-5.831.27-5.63

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Over (3.9 %, 1.27 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Blackburn
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6411725442
Last 3210783112
At Home622679782
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovStokeA10WUNg
24 NovPeterboroH40WONg
20 NovBristol CityA11DUGg
06 NovSheffield UnitedH31WOGg
03 NovFulhamH07LONg
30 OctDerbyA21WOGg
23 OctReadingH20WUNg
19 OctQPRA01LUNg
Preston
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6312565542
Last 3111443321
At Away235305864
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovFulhamH11DUGg
23 NovMiddlesbroughA21WOGg
20 NovCardiffH12LOGg
06 NovNott'm ForestA03LONg
03 NovBournemouthA21WOGg
30 OctLutonH20WUNg
23 OctBlackpoolA02LUNg
20 OctCoventryH21WOGg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsBlackburnPreston
Form Score0.50.133
Home/Away form0.062-0.244
Off ability0.5790.626
Def ability-0.104-0.726


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Blackburn18%31%34%17%
Preston32%37%23%8%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Blackburn and the red line for guest team, Preston.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Blackburn to score 1.38 goals and Preston to score 1.06 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.45 goals in the game and the home team Blackburn to win by 0.32 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Blackburn to score 1.49 goals and Preston to score 1.08 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.57 goals in the game and the home team Blackburn to win by 0.41 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
016.950-14.44
16.022-31.89
23.794+4.07
33.77Ov 1.51.29
46.06Un 1.54.44
514.93Ov 2.51.96
6+71.43Un 2.52.04
Gg1.8Ov 3.54.07
NoG2.25Un 3.51.33
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.33.813.31
2-3 goals1.844.644.13
4+ goals2.462.74.47
Ov 1.523.784.23
Un 1.52.33.813.31
Ov 2.51.835.623.62
Un 2.52.372.834.45
Ov 3.52.462.74.47
Un 3.51.964.363.85
Goal-Goal2.472.714.44
No Goal1.717.543.53
G-G+Ov 2.51.964.853.53
NG+Un 2.51.827.543.41

Go to Top


Barnsley vs Huddersfield at 04 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Barnsley and Huddersfield for Championship (England).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.733.192.72.31.65
Ours2.723.622.812.251.8
Value %0.13-3.72-1.450.97-5.05

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Over (0.13 %, 0.97 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Barnsley
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6114223533
Last 3012111212
At Home226275837
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovPeterboroA00DUNg
24 NovSwanseaH02LUNg
20 NovFulhamA14LOGg
06 NovHullH02LUNg
03 NovDerbyH21WOGg
30 OctBristol CityA12LOGg
24 OctSheffield UnitedH23LOGg
20 OctMiddlesbroughA02LUNg
Huddersfield
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6213395424
Last 3102332212
At Away235306855
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovMiddlesbroughH12LOGg
24 NovQPRA01LUNg
20 NovWest BromH10WUNg
06 NovCardiffA12LOGg
02 NovPeterboroA11DUGg
30 OctMillwallH10WUNg
23 OctBournemouthA03LONg
20 OctBirminghamH00DUNg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsBarnsleyHuddersfield
Form Score-0.611-0.237
Home/Away form-0.419-0.104
Off ability-0.5470.565
Def ability-0.539-0.385


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Barnsley32%34%17%17%
Huddersfield34%32%19%15%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Barnsley and the red line for guest team, Huddersfield.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Barnsley to score 1.11 goals and Huddersfield to score 1.12 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.23 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is -0.01 on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Barnsley to score 1.18 goals and Huddersfield to score 1.15 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.33 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.03 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
09.170-13.05
14.572-32.21
24.374+4.57
34.46Ov 1.51.49
47.3Un 1.53.05
517.54Ov 2.52.26
6+40Un 2.51.8
Gg2.23Ov 3.54.57
NoG1.81Un 3.51.28
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.883.013.12
2-3 goals2.74.122.59
4+ goals2.553.782.92
Ov 1.52.6542.69
Un 1.52.883.013.12
Ov 2.52.257.642.36
Un 2.53.262.543.34
Ov 3.52.553.782.92
Un 3.52.773.572.79
Goal-Goal3.182.673.21
No Goal2.435.062.56
G-G+Ov 2.52.45.842.42
NG+Un 2.52.615.062.68

Go to Top


QPR vs Stoke at 05 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between QPR and Stoke for Championship (England).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.393.33.032.041.8
Ours2.113.863.761.962.04
Value %5.55-4.4-6.412-6.54

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Over (5.55 %, 2 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

QPR
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6420786315
Last 33001003112
At Home6317010537
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
29 NovDerbyA21WOGg
24 NovHuddersfieldH10WUNg
19 NovLutonH20WUNg
06 NovBlackpoolA11DUGg
03 NovCardiffA10WUNg
29 OctNott'm ForestH11DUGg
23 OctPeterboroA12LOGg
19 OctBlackburnH10WUNg
Stoke
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6312564315
Last 3102331203
At Away325377755
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovBlackburnH01LUNg
24 NovBristol CityA01LUNg
20 NovPeterboroH20WUNg
06 NovLutonA10WUNg
03 NovBlackpoolA10WUNg
30 OctCardiffH33DOGg
23 OctMillwallA12LOGg
19 OctBournemouthH01LUNg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsQPRStoke
Form Score0.6830.096
Home/Away form0.228-0.185
Off ability10.104
Def ability0.191-0.037


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
QPR22%29%29%20%
Stoke32%37%21%10%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, QPR and the red line for guest team, Stoke.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) QPR to score 1.31 goals and Stoke to score 1.11 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.42 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.2 on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) QPR to score 1.47 goals and Stoke to score 1.08 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.55 goals in the game and the home team QPR to win by 0.39 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
014.290-14.1
15.752-32
24.054+3.94
33.94Ov 1.51.32
46.13Un 1.54.1
514.08Ov 2.51.97
6+50Un 2.52.04
Gg1.89Ov 3.53.94
NoG2.13Un 3.51.34
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.573.493.09
2-3 goals1.894.683.88
4+ goals2.213.144.38
Ov 1.51.994.024.04
Un 1.52.573.493.09
Ov 2.51.786.273.6
Un 2.52.62.773.93
Ov 3.52.213.144.38
Un 3.52.074.213.58
Goal-Goal2.392.814.41
No Goal1.856.713.22
G-G+Ov 2.51.915.213.52
NG+Un 2.52.036.713.07

Go to Top