Football England – League Two

League Two
In this article we will analyse the following games: (with blue color are the value bets as estimated by the optimal equations method).
TeamsDateHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Colchester - Newport County26-Nov3.383.32.182.21.68
Salford - Oldham27-Nov1.733.574.821.931.9
Tranmere - Stevenage27-Nov2.063.273.742.391.59
Swindon - Harrogate27-Nov2.083.613.371.842.02
Scunthorpe - Bradford27-Nov3.763.362.022.011.81
Rochdale - Exeter27-Nov2.483.372.771.931.89
Northampton - Leyton Orient27-Nov2.553.22.822.261.66
Forest Green - Bristol Rvs27-Nov1.743.784.511.841.97
Crawley Town - Mansfield27-Nov2.553.342.691.991.83
Carlisle - Walsall27-Nov2.553.262.762.11.75
Port Vale - Hartlepool27-Nov1.813.614.331.991.83
Sutton - Barrow27-Nov2.073.363.512.051.78

Click here to view the mathematical predictions for today!


Colchester vs Newport County at 26 Nov 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Colchester and Newport County for League Two (England).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book3.383.32.182.21.68
Ours2.783.62.762.271.79
Value %6.39-2.53-9.64-1.4-3.66

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home (6.39 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Colchester
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6213394642
Last 3201672321
At Home324416836
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
23 NovExeterH31WOGg
20 NovStevenageA01LUNg
30 OctScunthorpeH21WOGg
26 OctSuttonH13LOGg
23 OctPort ValeA03LONg
19 OctBristol RvsH11DUGg
16 OctHarrogateH10WUNg
08 OctTranmereA02LUNg
Newport County
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6321616551
Last 3111443321
At Away433509873
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
23 NovCrawley TownA11DUGg
20 NovSwindonH12LOGg
12 NovHartlepoolA21WOGg
30 OctStevenageH50WONg
23 OctBristol RvsA31WOGg
19 OctCarlisleH22DOGg
16 OctExeterA22DOGg
09 OctBradfordH00DUNg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsColchesterNewport County
Form Score-0.1260.417
Home/Away form-0.462-0.139
Off ability0.0671
Def ability-1-0.631


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Colchester31%33%23%12%
Newport County30%36%22%12%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Colchester and the red line for guest team, Newport County.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Colchester to score 0.96 goals and Newport County to score 1.32 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.28 goals in the game and the guest team Newport County to win by 0.36 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Colchester to score 1.17 goals and Newport County to score 1.17 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.34 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
010.750-13.29
14.742-32.04
23.894+4.81
34.31Ov 1.51.43
47.3Un 1.53.29
517.86Ov 2.52.27
6+66.67Un 2.51.78
Gg2.07Ov 3.54.81
NoG1.93Un 3.51.26
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals3.043.272.74
2-3 goals2.574.112.72
4+ goals2.933.152.93
Ov 1.52.673.772.78
Un 1.53.043.272.74
Ov 2.52.36.672.4
Un 2.53.32.653.13
Ov 3.52.933.152.93
Un 3.52.733.742.73
Goal-Goal3.142.613.35
No Goal2.55.572.38
G-G+Ov 2.52.365.522.53
NG+Un 2.52.65.572.47

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Salford vs Oldham at 27 Nov 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Salford and Oldham for League Two (England).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book1.733.574.821.931.9
Ours2.333.723.312.11.91
Value %-14.89-1.139.46-4.19-0.28

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Away (9.46 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Salford
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6132335424
Last 3120563203
At Home352477537
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
23 NovBristol RvsH11DUGg
20 NovHarrogateA20WUNg
13 NovScunthorpeA11DUGg
30 OctExeterH12LOGg
23 OctForest GreenA13LOGg
19 OctRochdaleH00DUNg
16 OctHartlepoolH20WUNg
09 OctWalsallA12LOGg
Oldham
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6114225551
Last 3102333330
At Away225305654
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
23 NovNorthamptonA12LOGg
20 NovPort ValeH32WOGg
13 NovExeterA12LOGg
30 OctSwindonH13LOGg
23 OctCarlisleA00DUNg
19 OctWalsallH13LOGg
16 OctStevenageH30WONg
09 OctMansfieldA00DUNg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsSalfordOldham
Form Score-0.126-0.433
Home/Away form0.185-0.07
Off ability0.6170.641
Def ability-0.233-0.657


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Salford25%32%28%16%
Oldham32%36%21%11%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Salford and the red line for guest team, Oldham.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Salford to score 1.7 goals and Oldham to score 0.82 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.52 goals in the game and the home team Salford to win by 0.88 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Salford to score 1.34 goals and Oldham to score 1.11 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.45 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.23 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
012.660-13.7
15.242-32
23.944+4.33
34.08Ov 1.51.37
46.67Un 1.53.7
515.87Ov 2.52.1
6+55.56Un 2.51.91
Gg1.95Ov 3.54.33
NoG2.05Un 3.51.3
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.73.422.97
2-3 goals2.14.343.42
4+ goals2.543.083.55
Ov 1.52.223.843.46
Un 1.52.73.422.97
Ov 2.51.976.352.99
Un 2.52.82.73.66
Ov 3.52.543.083.55
Un 3.52.283.963.24
Goal-Goal2.682.693.91
No Goal2.056.182.85
G-G+Ov 2.52.085.293.03
NG+Un 2.52.196.182.86

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Tranmere vs Stevenage at 27 Nov 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Tranmere and Stevenage for League Two (England).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.063.273.742.391.59
Ours2.363.793.192.061.95
Value %-6.17-4.24.616.7-11.61

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Away, Over (4.61 %, 6.7 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Tranmere
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6123283633
Last 3111442321
At Home603676527
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
23 NovBradfordH21WOGg
20 NovBristol RvsA22DOGg
13 NovSuttonH01LUNg
30 OctMansfieldA02LUNg
23 OctNorthamptonH02LUNg
19 OctHarrogateA22DOGg
16 OctCarlisleA10WUNg
08 OctColchesterH20WUNg
Stevenage
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6123283442
Last 3111443221
At Away126194763
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
23 NovRochdaleA22DOGg
20 NovColchesterH10WUNg
13 NovMansfieldH12LOGg
30 OctNewport CountyA05LONg
23 OctLeyton OrientH00DUNg
19 OctNorthamptonA03LONg
16 OctOldhamA03LONg
09 OctExeterH22DOGg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsTranmereStevenage
Form Score-0.281-0.215
Home/Away form0.277-0.409
Off ability-0.347-0.076
Def ability-1-0.227


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Tranmere27%26%32%14%
Stevenage31%36%21%12%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Tranmere and the red line for guest team, Stevenage.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Tranmere to score 1.3 goals and Stevenage to score 0.86 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.16 goals in the game and the home team Tranmere to win by 0.44 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Tranmere to score 1.34 goals and Stevenage to score 1.14 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.48 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.2 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
011.90-13.82
15.622-32
23.974+4.2
34.03Ov 1.51.36
46.58Un 1.53.82
514.49Ov 2.52.06
6+58.82Un 2.51.95
Gg1.98Ov 3.54.2
NoG2.02Un 3.51.31
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals3.283.122.67
2-3 goals1.925.323.42
4+ goals2.872.773.45
Ov 1.52.154.13.43
Un 1.53.283.122.67
Ov 2.525.653.1
Un 2.52.862.893.29
Ov 3.52.872.773.45
Un 3.52.244.283.12
Goal-Goal2.532.84.03
No Goal2.215.92.64
G-G+Ov 2.52.064.773.28
NG+Un 2.52.335.92.69

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Swindon vs Harrogate at 27 Nov 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Swindon and Harrogate for League Two (England).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.083.613.371.842.02
Ours2.323.63.442.21.83
Value %-4.970.08-0.6-8.895.14

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Draw, Under (0.08 %, 5.14 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Swindon
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6411726660
Last 33001003330
At Home233386553
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
23 NovHartlepoolH31WOGg
20 NovNewport CountyA21WOGg
30 OctOldhamA31WOGg
23 OctBradfordH13LOGg
19 OctSuttonA21WOGg
16 OctRochdaleH22DOGg
09 OctForest GreenA20WUNg
02 OctBristol RvsA31WOGg
Harrogate
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6213394533
Last 3201672212
At Away513597754
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
23 NovCarlisleA20WUNg
20 NovSalfordH02LUNg
13 NovWalsallA31WOGg
30 OctBristol RvsH01LUNg
23 OctHartlepoolA23LOGg
19 OctTranmereH22DOGg
16 OctColchesterA01LUNg
09 OctScunthorpeH61WOGg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsSwindonHarrogate
Form Score0.541-0.045
Home/Away form-0.3950.104
Off ability10.166
Def ability-1-0.545


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Swindon23%38%21%18%
Harrogate33%37%20%10%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Swindon and the red line for guest team, Harrogate.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Swindon to score 1.55 goals and Harrogate to score 1.09 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.63 goals in the game and the home team Swindon to win by 0.46 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Swindon to score 1.33 goals and Harrogate to score 1.07 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.4 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.26 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
013.160-13.5
14.762-32.02
23.884+4.57
34.24Ov 1.51.4
46.9Un 1.53.5
517.54Ov 2.52.2
6+58.82Un 2.51.84
Gg1.94Ov 3.54.57
NoG2.07Un 3.51.28
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.313.763.33
2-3 goals2.43.53.36
4+ goals2.173.653.78
Ov 1.52.323.553.48
Un 1.52.313.763.33
Ov 2.51.927.582.88
Un 2.52.82.514.09
Ov 3.52.173.653.78
Un 3.52.363.593.35
Goal-Goal2.872.573.82
No Goal1.926.363.1
G-G+Ov 2.52.086.252.78
NG+Un 2.52.086.363.03

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Scunthorpe vs Bradford at 27 Nov 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Scunthorpe and Bradford for League Two (England).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book3.763.362.022.011.81
Ours2.723.582.822.31.77
Value %10.17-1.83-14.04-6.271.25

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Under (10.17 %, 1.25 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Scunthorpe
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6132336633
Last 3021223312
At Home234336836
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
23 NovLeyton OrientH11DUGg
20 NovMansfieldA13LOGg
13 NovSalfordH11DUGg
30 OctColchesterA12LOGg
23 OctCrawley TownH21WOGg
19 OctBarrowA11DUGg
16 OctForest GreenH02LUNg
09 OctHarrogateA16LOGg
Bradford
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6132336633
Last 3021223312
At Away234335745
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
23 NovTranmereA12LOGg
20 NovNorthamptonH11DUGg
13 NovPort ValeA11DUGg
30 OctForest GreenH11DUGg
23 OctSwindonA31WOGg
19 OctHartlepoolH13LOGg
16 OctBristol RvsH22DOGg
09 OctNewport CountyA00DUNg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsScunthorpeBradford
Form Score-0.2-0.109
Home/Away form-0.336-0.27
Off ability11
Def ability-1-1


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Scunthorpe31%32%24%12%
Bradford31%36%22%12%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Scunthorpe and the red line for guest team, Bradford.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Scunthorpe to score 0.95 goals and Bradford to score 1.48 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.44 goals in the game and the guest team Bradford to win by 0.53 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Scunthorpe to score 1.17 goals and Bradford to score 1.15 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.32 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.02 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
010.420-13.26
14.742-32.04
23.884+4.88
34.33Ov 1.51.44
47.41Un 1.53.26
518.18Ov 2.52.29
6+66.67Un 2.51.77
Gg2.1Ov 3.54.88
NoG1.91Un 3.51.26
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals3.13.22.74
2-3 goals2.484.222.78
4+ goals2.933.063.01
Ov 1.52.63.792.84
Un 1.53.13.22.74
Ov 2.52.266.512.48
Un 2.53.272.673.14
Ov 3.52.933.063.01
Un 3.52.693.752.76
Goal-Goal3.062.613.46
No Goal2.55.462.4
G-G+Ov 2.52.315.392.62
NG+Un 2.52.65.462.49

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Rochdale vs Exeter at 27 Nov 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Rochdale and Exeter for League Two (England).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.483.372.771.931.89
Ours2.593.582.982.251.8
Value %-1.71-1.74-2.54-7.372.65

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Under (2.65 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Rochdale
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6240564442
Last 3030332221
At Home243376745
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
23 NovStevenageH22DOGg
20 NovWalsallA00DUNg
13 NovLeyton OrientH22DOGg
30 OctBarrowA21WOGg
23 OctSuttonH32WOGg
19 OctSalfordA00DUNg
16 OctSwindonA22DOGg
09 OctCrawley TownH01LUNg
Exeter
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6501836660
Last 3201673330
At Away342487763
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
23 NovColchesterA13LOGg
20 NovCarlisleH21WOGg
13 NovOldhamH21WOGg
30 OctSalfordA21WOGg
23 OctMansfieldH21WOGg
19 OctCrawley TownA31WOGg
16 OctNewport CountyH22DOGg
09 OctStevenageA22DOGg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsRochdaleExeter
Form Score0.3110.757
Home/Away form-0.2020.043
Off ability0.0981
Def ability-0.233-1


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Rochdale28%35%23%14%
Exeter31%36%21%12%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Rochdale and the red line for guest team, Exeter.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Rochdale to score 1.31 goals and Exeter to score 1.21 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.52 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.1 on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Rochdale to score 1.22 goals and Exeter to score 1.13 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.35 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.09 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
011.360-13.36
14.762-32.04
23.894+4.74
34.27Ov 1.51.42
47.19Un 1.53.36
517.86Ov 2.52.25
6+62.5Un 2.51.8
Gg2.02Ov 3.54.74
NoG1.98Un 3.51.27
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.763.392.92
2-3 goals2.473.932.94
4+ goals2.673.253.15
Ov 1.52.533.693
Un 1.52.763.392.92
Ov 2.52.166.852.56
Un 2.53.082.613.43
Ov 3.52.673.253.15
Un 3.52.573.72.93
Goal-Goal3.032.63.5
No Goal2.275.752.59
G-G+Ov 2.52.265.682.62
NG+Un 2.52.395.752.65

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Northampton vs Leyton Orient at 27 Nov 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Northampton and Leyton Orient for League Two (England).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.553.22.822.261.66
Ours2.463.643.142.271.79
Value %1.43-3.78-3.61-0.19-4.38

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home (1.43 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Northampton
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6411726342
Last 3111443321
At Home612708445
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
23 NovOldhamH21WOGg
20 NovBradfordA11DUGg
13 NovBristol RvsA12LOGg
30 OctCarlisleH30WONg
23 OctTranmereA20WUNg
19 OctStevenageH30WONg
16 OctMansfieldH20WUNg
09 OctHartlepoolA12LOGg
Leyton Orient
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6240565433
Last 3120563321
At Away171378845
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
23 NovScunthorpeA11DUGg
20 NovSuttonH41WOGg
13 NovRochdaleA22DOGg
30 OctHartlepoolH50WONg
23 OctStevenageA00DUNg
19 OctForest GreenH11DUGg
16 OctWalsallH00DUNg
09 OctBarrowA11DUGg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsNorthamptonLeyton Orient
Form Score0.4670.474
Home/Away form0.1850.009
Off ability10.641
Def ability0.057-0.288


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Northampton29%30%28%13%
Leyton Orient32%37%20%10%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Northampton and the red line for guest team, Leyton Orient.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Northampton to score 1.16 goals and Leyton Orient to score 1.08 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.25 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.08 on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Northampton to score 1.25 goals and Leyton Orient to score 1.08 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.33 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.17 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
010.530-13.33
14.882-32.01
23.854+4.9
34.22Ov 1.51.43
47.35Un 1.53.33
518.18Ov 2.52.27
6+76.92Un 2.51.79
Gg2.09Ov 3.54.9
NoG1.91Un 3.51.25
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals3.093.162.78
2-3 goals2.114.523.29
4+ goals2.682.913.52
Ov 1.52.253.893.35
Un 1.53.093.162.78
Ov 2.51.996.32.96
Un 2.52.992.733.33
Ov 3.52.682.913.52
Un 3.52.393.893.08
Goal-Goal2.672.664.02
No Goal2.275.512.64
G-G+Ov 2.52.065.263.09
NG+Un 2.52.415.512.68

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Forest Green vs Bristol Rvs at 27 Nov 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Forest Green and Bristol Rvs for League Two (England).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book1.743.784.511.841.97
Ours2.123.723.862.031.97
Value %-10.30.433.73-5.090

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Draw, Away (0.43 %, 3.73 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Forest Green
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6420786424
Last 3210783212
At Home512675535
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
23 NovBarrowH20WUNg
20 NovHartlepoolA31WOGg
30 OctBradfordA11DUGg
23 OctSalfordH31WOGg
19 OctLeyton OrientA11DUGg
16 OctScunthorpeA20WUNg
09 OctSwindonH02LUNg
02 OctCarlisleA20WUNg
Bristol Rvs
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6231506533
Last 3120563321
At Away243378845
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
23 NovSalfordA11DUGg
20 NovTranmereH22DOGg
13 NovNorthamptonH21WOGg
30 OctHarrogateA10WUNg
23 OctNewport CountyH13LOGg
19 OctColchesterA11DUGg
16 OctBradfordA22DOGg
09 OctCarlisleH30WONg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsForest GreenBristol Rvs
Form Score0.6810.296
Home/Away form0.168-0.191
Off ability11
Def ability-0.207-0.631


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Forest Green18%40%19%23%
Bristol Rvs33%37%20%10%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Forest Green and the red line for guest team, Bristol Rvs.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Forest Green to score 1.74 goals and Bristol Rvs to score 0.87 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.61 goals in the game and the home team Forest Green to win by 0.87 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Forest Green to score 1.47 goals and Bristol Rvs to score 1.07 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.54 goals in the game and the home team Forest Green to win by 0.4 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
016.950-13.88
15.032-32.03
24.024+4.05
34.1Ov 1.51.35
46.21Un 1.53.88
515.62Ov 2.52.04
6+45.45Un 2.51.97
Gg1.82Ov 3.54.05
NoG2.23Un 3.51.33
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals1.954.373.85
2-3 goals2.363.313.65
4+ goals1.94.054.41
Ov 1.52.183.523.87
Un 1.51.954.373.85
Ov 2.51.788.053.19
Un 2.52.62.444.87
Ov 3.51.94.054.41
Un 3.52.23.613.72
Goal-Goal2.722.614.01
No Goal1.677.613.71
G-G+Ov 2.51.986.562.92
NG+Un 2.51.847.613.44

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Crawley Town vs Mansfield at 27 Nov 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Crawley Town and Mansfield for League Two (England).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.553.342.691.991.83
Ours2.423.613.232.261.8
Value %2.11-2.24-6.21-60.91

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Under (2.11 %, 0.91 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Crawley Town
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6114225533
Last 3111443212
At Home333447863
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
23 NovNewport CountyH11DUGg
20 NovBarrowA10WUNg
30 OctPort ValeH14LOGg
23 OctScunthorpeA12LOGg
19 OctExeterH13LOGg
16 OctSuttonH01LUNg
09 OctRochdaleA10WUNg
02 OctTranmereA12LOGg
Mansfield
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6312565533
Last 3201672321
At Away125214735
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
23 NovSuttonA02LUNg
20 NovScunthorpeH31WOGg
13 NovStevenageA21WOGg
30 OctTranmereH20WUNg
23 OctExeterA12LOGg
19 OctPort ValeH11DUGg
16 OctNorthamptonA02LUNg
09 OctOldhamH00DUNg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsCrawley TownMansfield
Form Score-0.430.279
Home/Away form-0.034-0.591
Off ability0.6170.525
Def ability-0.559-0.631


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Crawley Town28%32%26%14%
Mansfield32%37%20%10%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Crawley Town and the red line for guest team, Mansfield.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Crawley Town to score 1.25 goals and Mansfield to score 1.2 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.46 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.05 on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Crawley Town to score 1.27 goals and Mansfield to score 1.08 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.35 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.19 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
011.240-13.37
14.812-32.01
23.834+4.83
34.24Ov 1.51.42
47.25Un 1.53.37
518.18Ov 2.52.26
6+71.43Un 2.51.79
Gg2.04Ov 3.54.83
NoG1.96Un 3.51.26
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.83.342.91
2-3 goals2.24.113.31
4+ goals2.523.143.51
Ov 1.52.293.763.37
Un 1.52.83.342.91
Ov 2.51.986.712.9
Un 2.52.942.663.53
Ov 3.52.523.143.51
Un 3.52.393.783.15
Goal-Goal2.752.623.92
No Goal2.175.742.75
G-G+Ov 2.52.075.592.95
NG+Un 2.52.35.742.77

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Carlisle vs Walsall at 27 Nov 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Carlisle and Walsall for League Two (England).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.553.262.762.11.75
Ours3.243.722.372.111.9
Value %-8.35-3.795.96-0.23-4.51

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Away (5.96 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Carlisle
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6033172433
Last 3012111212
At Home153303627
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
23 NovHarrogateH02LUNg
20 NovExeterA12LOGg
13 NovBarrowH00DUNg
30 OctNorthamptonA03LONg
23 OctOldhamH00DUNg
19 OctNewport CountyA22DOGg
16 OctTranmereH01LUNg
09 OctBristol RvsA03LONg
Walsall
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6321615333
Last 3111442112
At Away333446636
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
23 NovPort ValeA10WUNg
20 NovRochdaleH00DUNg
13 NovHarrogateH13LOGg
30 OctSuttonA10WUNg
23 OctBarrowH22DOGg
19 OctOldhamA31WOGg
16 OctLeyton OrientA00DUNg
09 OctSalfordH21WOGg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsCarlisleWalsall
Form Score-0.5410.441
Home/Away form-0.261-0.339
Off ability-0.8960.552
Def ability-0.2330.262


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Carlisle34%32%23%12%
Walsall22%37%25%15%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Carlisle and the red line for guest team, Walsall.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Carlisle to score 1.21 goals and Walsall to score 1.15 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.36 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.06 on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Carlisle to score 1.13 goals and Walsall to score 1.33 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.46 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is -0.2 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
013.330-13.69
15.12-32.01
23.944+4.31
34.12Ov 1.51.37
46.67Un 1.53.69
515.62Ov 2.52.11
6+55.56Un 2.51.9
Gg1.94Ov 3.54.31
NoG2.07Un 3.51.3
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals3.823.612.17
2-3 goals3.014.212.32
4+ goals3.183.052.8
Ov 1.53.063.762.45
Un 1.53.823.612.17
Ov 2.52.556.252.23
Un 2.54.272.722.51
Ov 3.53.183.052.8
Un 3.53.253.982.27
Goal-Goal3.222.663.19
No Goal3.256.451.86
G-G+Ov 2.52.495.242.46
NG+Un 2.53.316.451.95

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Port Vale vs Hartlepool at 27 Nov 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Port Vale and Hartlepool for League Two (England).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book1.813.614.331.991.83
Ours2.043.8541.962.04
Value %-6.23-1.731.910.77-5.63

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Away, Over (1.91 %, 0.77 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Port Vale
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6222445533
Last 3012112312
At Home432566545
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
23 NovWalsallH01LUNg
20 NovOldhamA23LOGg
13 NovBradfordH11DUGg
30 OctCrawley TownA41WOGg
23 OctColchesterH30WONg
19 OctMansfieldA11DUGg
16 OctBarrowH31WOGg
09 OctSuttonA34LOGg
Hartlepool
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6204335660
Last 300303330
At Away117153845
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
23 NovSwindonA13LOGg
20 NovForest GreenH13LOGg
12 NovNewport CountyH12LOGg
30 OctLeyton OrientA05LONg
23 OctHarrogateH32WOGg
19 OctBradfordA31WOGg
16 OctSalfordA02LUNg
09 OctNorthamptonH21WOGg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsPort ValeHartlepool
Form Score-0.074-0.377
Home/Away form0.361-0.626
Off ability0.4510.614
Def ability-0.648-1


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Port Vale19%34%26%22%
Hartlepool33%37%20%10%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Port Vale and the red line for guest team, Hartlepool.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Port Vale to score 1.6 goals and Hartlepool to score 0.86 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.46 goals in the game and the home team Port Vale to win by 0.74 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Port Vale to score 1.51 goals and Hartlepool to score 1.06 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.57 goals in the game and the home team Port Vale to win by 0.45 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
016.130-14.12
15.522-31.99
24.034+3.92
33.94Ov 1.51.32
46.02Un 1.54.12
514.71Ov 2.51.96
6+47.62Un 2.52.04
Gg1.83Ov 3.53.92
NoG2.2Un 3.51.34
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.173.923.52
2-3 goals23.984.02
4+ goals2.023.494.55
Ov 1.52.013.84.18
Un 1.52.173.923.52
Ov 2.51.746.973.56
Un 2.52.512.614.59
Ov 3.52.023.494.55
Un 3.52.053.963.84
Goal-Goal2.472.744.36
No Goal1.77.343.64
G-G+Ov 2.51.95.743.35
NG+Un 2.51.867.343.41

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Sutton vs Barrow at 27 Nov 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Sutton and Barrow for League Two (England).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.073.363.512.051.78
Ours2.253.683.522.141.88
Value %-3.86-2.59-0.08-2.05-2.99

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at ( %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Sutton
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6303505433
Last 3201673112
At Home503627553
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
23 NovMansfieldH20WUNg
20 NovLeyton OrientA14LOGg
13 NovTranmereA10WUNg
30 OctWalsallH01LUNg
26 OctColchesterA31WOGg
23 OctRochdaleA23LOGg
19 OctSwindonH12LOGg
16 OctCrawley TownA10WUNg
Barrow
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6033173524
Last 3012110203
At Away234336645
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
23 NovForest GreenA02LUNg
20 NovCrawley TownH01LUNg
13 NovCarlisleA00DUNg
30 OctRochdaleH12LOGg
23 OctWalsallA22DOGg
19 OctScunthorpeH11DUGg
16 OctPort ValeA13LOGg
09 OctLeyton OrientH11DUGg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsSuttonBarrow
Form Score0.037-0.498
Home/Away form0.008-0.087
Off ability0.554-0.345
Def ability-0.119-0.597


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Sutton23%35%24%18%
Barrow33%37%20%10%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Sutton and the red line for guest team, Barrow.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Sutton to score 1.42 goals and Barrow to score 0.98 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.4 goals in the game and the home team Sutton to win by 0.44 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Sutton to score 1.37 goals and Barrow to score 1.07 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.44 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.3 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
013.330-13.64
152-32.01
23.894+4.42
34.15Ov 1.51.38
46.71Un 1.53.64
516.67Ov 2.52.14
6+58.82Un 2.51.88
Gg1.93Ov 3.54.42
NoG2.08Un 3.51.29
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.393.673.24
2-3 goals2.193.83.56
4+ goals2.223.423.9
Ov 1.52.23.683.66
Un 1.52.393.673.24
Ov 2.51.877.083.09
Un 2.52.742.584.03
Ov 3.52.223.423.9
Un 3.52.263.753.44
Goal-Goal2.72.634.02
No Goal1.916.413.12
G-G+Ov 2.52.025.863
NG+Un 2.52.076.413.04

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