Football England – National League

National League
In this article we will analyse the following games: (with blue color are the value bets as estimated by the optimal equations method).
TeamsDateHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Bromley - Wealdstone04-Dec1.484.345.781.72.15
Weymouth - Torquay04-Dec3.383.551.991.712.1
Solihull - Woking04-Dec2.193.523.111.891.95
Dag and Red - Grimsby04-Dec2.63.52.541.881.94
Barnet - Maidenhead04-Dec1.963.663.411.732.07
Aldershot - Altrincham04-Dec2.453.612.641.742.13
Dover Athletic - Wrexham04-Dec7.474.541.371.782.02

Click here to view the mathematical predictions for today!


Bromley vs Wealdstone at 04 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Bromley and Wealdstone for Conference (England).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book1.484.345.781.72.15
Ours1.84.244.831.952.05
Value %-12.010.543.4-7.542.27

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Draw, Away, Under (0.54 %, 3.4 %, 2.27 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Bromley
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6222444424
Last 3102332321
At Home612708463
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovWrexhamA02LUNg
23 NovYeovilH12LOGg
20 NovKing’s LynnH32WOGg
13 NovStockportA11DUGg
02 NovWokingA20WUNg
30 OctHalifaxH00DUNg
26 OctNotts CountyA11DUGg
23 OctAldershotA32WOGg
Wealdstone
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6321615324
Last 3111442221
At Away233385644
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovStockportH14LOGg
23 NovDover AthleticA32WOGg
20 NovWrexhamA00DUNg
13 NovBarnetH10WUNg
26 OctGrimsbyH10WUNg
23 OctWeymouthA11DUGg
09 OctEastleighH12LOGg
05 OctSolihullH00DUNg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsBromleyWealdstone
Form Score-0.1350.296
Home/Away form0.527-0.03
Off ability0.0530.591
Def ability-0.33-0.037


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Bromley22%23%27%28%
Wealdstone39%37%17%7%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Bromley and the red line for guest team, Wealdstone.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Bromley to score 2.04 goals and Wealdstone to score 0.75 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.79 goals in the game and the home team Bromley to win by 1.29 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Bromley to score 1.61 goals and Wealdstone to score 0.91 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.52 goals in the game and the home team Bromley to win by 0.7 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
011.490-13.86
15.812-32.04
24.394+4.02
33.8Ov 1.51.35
46.06Un 1.53.86
515.38Ov 2.51.95
6+52.63Un 2.52.05
Gg2.12Ov 3.54.02
NoG1.9Un 3.51.33
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.882.983.16
2-3 goals1.555.785.46
4+ goals1.653.897.32
Ov 1.51.584.975.97
Un 1.52.882.983.16
Ov 2.51.4285.89
Un 2.52.482.834.09
Ov 3.51.653.897.32
Un 3.51.854.364.36
Goal-Goal1.883.176.56
No Goal1.726.063.93
G-G+Ov 2.51.546.055.38
NG+Un 2.52.056.063.38

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Weymouth vs Torquay at 04 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Weymouth and Torquay for Conference (England).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book3.383.551.991.712.1
Ours2.343.793.242.011.99
Value %13.15-1.78-19.39-8.732.63

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Under (13.15 %, 2.63 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Weymouth
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6213395433
Last 300302330
At Home234338845
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
23 NovWokingH23LOGg
20 NovAltrinchamH14LOGg
13 NovChesterfieldA04LONg
30 OctKing’s LynnH10WUNg
26 OctAldershotA20WUNg
23 OctWealdstoneH11DUGg
09 OctHalifaxA02LUNg
05 OctBromleyA03LONg
Torquay
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6213395533
Last 300302321
At Away135226945
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovHalifaxH23LOGg
23 NovAldershotA01LUNg
20 NovBarnetA12LOGg
13 NovDover AthleticH21WOGg
30 OctWrexhamA11DUGg
23 OctKing’s LynnH20WUNg
09 OctBromleyA02LUNg
05 OctBoreham WoodA02LUNg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsWeymouthTorquay
Form Score-0.333-0.259
Home/Away form-0.303-0.378
Off ability0.5050.565
Def ability-0.278-0.726


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Weymouth26%30%24%19%
Torquay31%36%22%12%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Weymouth and the red line for guest team, Torquay.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Weymouth to score 1.12 goals and Torquay to score 1.64 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.76 goals in the game and the guest team Torquay to win by 0.52 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Weymouth to score 1.38 goals and Torquay to score 1.15 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.53 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.23 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
012.660-13.8
15.432-32.07
24.184+3.95
34.1Ov 1.51.36
46.29Un 1.53.8
514.08Ov 2.52.01
6+43.48Un 2.51.99
Gg1.94Ov 3.53.95
NoG2.07Un 3.51.34
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.833.332.89
2-3 goals2.184.473.16
4+ goals2.283.293.89
Ov 1.52.213.983.38
Un 1.52.833.332.89
Ov 2.51.936.453.07
Un 2.52.992.683.41
Ov 3.52.283.293.89
Un 3.52.373.993.06
Goal-Goal2.62.783.9
No Goal2.126.132.73
G-G+Ov 2.52.065.293.08
NG+Un 2.52.356.132.68

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Solihull vs Woking at 04 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Solihull and Woking for Conference (England).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.193.523.111.891.95
Ours2.383.763.172.011.99
Value %-3.65-1.81-0.61-3.16-1.03

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at ( %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Solihull
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6312563315
Last 3102331203
At Home532608646
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
23 NovGrimsbyH20WUNg
20 NovChesterfieldH02LUNg
13 NovNotts CountyA02LUNg
30 OctYeovilH00DUNg
26 OctAltrinchamA21WOGg
23 OctHalifaxH10WUNg
09 OctKing’s LynnA10WUNg
05 OctWealdstoneA00DUNg
Woking
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6303505542
Last 3102333330
At Away504567763
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovBarnetH12LOGg
23 NovWeymouthA32WOGg
20 NovStockportH12LOGg
13 NovSouthendA20WUNg
02 NovBromleyH02LUNg
30 OctAltrinchamH32WOGg
26 OctYeovilA02LUNg
23 OctMaidenheadA23LOGg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsSolihullWoking
Form Score0.063-0.037
Home/Away form0.2450.007
Off ability-0.4740.652
Def ability0.157-0.681


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Solihull25%32%24%19%
Woking30%35%22%12%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Solihull and the red line for guest team, Woking.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Solihull to score 1.45 goals and Woking to score 1.12 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.57 goals in the game and the home team Solihull to win by 0.33 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Solihull to score 1.37 goals and Woking to score 1.16 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.53 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.21 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
013.330-13.85
15.412-32.06
24.154+3.95
34.1Ov 1.51.36
46.29Un 1.53.85
514.08Ov 2.52.01
6+43.48Un 2.52
Gg1.91Ov 3.53.95
NoG2.11Un 3.51.34
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.713.472.92
2-3 goals2.264.293.09
4+ goals2.363.293.67
Ov 1.52.293.883.27
Un 1.52.713.472.92
Ov 2.526.452.91
Un 2.52.962.663.48
Ov 3.52.363.293.67
Un 3.52.43.963.03
Goal-Goal2.712.753.74
No Goal2.116.332.71
G-G+Ov 2.52.125.322.93
NG+Un 2.52.36.332.69

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Dag and Red vs Grimsby at 04 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Dag and Red and Grimsby for Conference (England).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.63.52.541.881.94
Ours2.333.793.2822
Value %4.46-2.19-8.88-3.19-1.55

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home (4.46 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Dag and Red
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6114223633
Last 300301312
At Home423527872
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovNotts CountyA12LOGg
23 NovEastleighH01LUNg
20 NovYeovilH01LUNg
13 NovMaidenheadA41WOGg
30 OctChesterfieldH22DOGg
26 OctHalifaxA01LUNg
23 OctSouthendH30WONg
09 OctBoreham WoodA02LUNg
Grimsby
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6204333415
Last 3102332212
At Away324416745
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
23 NovSolihullA02LUNg
19 NovSouthendH10WUNg
13 NovAldershotA12LOGg
30 OctNotts CountyH01LUNg
26 OctWealdstoneA01LUNg
23 OctYeovilH20WUNg
09 OctWokingA10WUNg
05 OctAltrinchamA32WOGg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsDag and RedGrimsby
Form Score-0.643-0.356
Home/Away form0.029-0.015
Off ability-0.4-0.191
Def ability-1-0.356


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Dag and Red24%32%24%19%
Grimsby31%36%22%12%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Dag and Red and the red line for guest team, Grimsby.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Dag and Red to score 1.27 goals and Grimsby to score 1.3 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.57 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is -0.03 on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Dag and Red to score 1.39 goals and Grimsby to score 1.15 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.54 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.24 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
013.330-13.86
15.432-32.06
24.154+3.94
34.08Ov 1.51.35
46.25Un 1.53.86
514.08Ov 2.52
6+43.48Un 2.52
Gg1.92Ov 3.53.94
NoG2.1Un 3.51.34
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.673.452.98
2-3 goals2.194.343.2
4+ goals2.293.33.85
Ov 1.52.223.923.39
Un 1.52.673.452.98
Ov 2.51.936.483.04
Un 2.52.912.673.55
Ov 3.52.293.33.85
Un 3.52.343.983.12
Goal-Goal2.642.763.87
No Goal2.066.362.81
G-G+Ov 2.52.075.323.04
NG+Un 2.52.266.362.75

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Barnet vs Maidenhead at 04 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Barnet and Maidenhead for Conference (England).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book1.963.663.411.732.07
Ours2.223.833.471.992.01
Value %-5.98-1.21-0.51-7.551.44

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Under (1.44 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Barnet
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6402674651
Last 3201672321
At Home323464753
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovWokingA21WOGg
20 NovTorquayH21WOGg
13 NovWealdstoneA01LUNg
30 OctAldershotH21WOGg
26 OctStockportA21WOGg
23 OctWrexhamH03LONg
09 OctDover AthleticA21WOGg
05 OctKing’s LynnA11DUGg
Maidenhead
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6204333642
Last 300301321
At Away115192634
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
20 NovBoreham WoodA04LONg
13 NovDag and RedH14LOGg
30 OctEastleighA01LUNg
26 OctWrexhamH32WOGg
23 OctWokingH32WOGg
09 OctAltrinchamA02LUNg
05 OctYeovilA00DUNg
02 OctKing’s LynnH23LOGg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsBarnetMaidenhead
Form Score0.341-0.385
Home/Away form-0.054-0.622
Off ability0.126-0.191
Def ability-1-1


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Barnet24%30%25%21%
Maidenhead32%36%21%11%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Barnet and the red line for guest team, Maidenhead.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Barnet to score 1.64 goals and Maidenhead to score 1.09 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.73 goals in the game and the home team Barnet to win by 0.55 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Barnet to score 1.43 goals and Maidenhead to score 1.11 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.54 goals in the game and the home team Barnet to win by 0.32 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
013.160-13.86
15.462-32.06
24.184+3.92
34.05Ov 1.51.35
46.21Un 1.53.86
514.08Ov 2.51.99
6+43.48Un 2.52.01
Gg1.93Ov 3.53.92
NoG2.08Un 3.51.34
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.673.413.01
2-3 goals2.074.463.42
4+ goals2.143.364.25
Ov 1.52.094.013.67
Un 1.52.673.413.01
Ov 2.51.836.613.32
Un 2.52.832.693.64
Ov 3.52.143.364.25
Un 3.52.244.033.27
Goal-Goal2.482.814.15
No Goal1.996.332.95
G-G+Ov 2.51.965.393.28
NG+Un 2.52.216.332.84

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Aldershot vs Altrincham at 04 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Aldershot and Altrincham for Conference (England).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.453.612.641.742.13
Ours3.063.662.52.031.97
Value %-8.14-0.382.12-8.213.81

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Away, Under (2.12 %, 3.81 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Aldershot
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6303504433
Last 33001003112
At Home207225854
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovKing’s LynnA10WUNg
23 NovTorquayH10WUNg
13 NovGrimsbyH21WOGg
09 NovWrexhamH05LONg
30 OctBarnetA12LOGg
26 OctWeymouthH02LUNg
23 OctBromleyH23LOGg
09 OctStockportA01LUNg
Altrincham
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6123286651
Last 3111443330
At Away324417963
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovSouthendH12LOGg
23 NovChesterfieldA22DOGg
20 NovWeymouthA41WOGg
13 NovBoreham WoodH11DUGg
30 OctWokingA23LOGg
26 OctSolihullH12LOGg
23 OctEastleighA12LOGg
12 OctYeovilA11DUGg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsAldershotAltrincham
Form Score0.048-0.311
Home/Away form-0.9-0.089
Off ability0.1581
Def ability-0.104-1


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Aldershot27%39%21%12%
Altrincham25%34%25%17%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Aldershot and the red line for guest team, Altrincham.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Aldershot to score 1.41 goals and Altrincham to score 1.34 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.75 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.07 on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Aldershot to score 1.19 goals and Altrincham to score 1.33 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.52 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is -0.14 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
014.930-13.92
15.322-32.01
23.974+4.02
34.08Ov 1.51.34
46.21Un 1.53.92
514.93Ov 2.52.02
6+47.62Un 2.51.97
Gg1.81Ov 3.54.02
NoG2.22Un 3.51.33
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.63.812.83
2-3 goals3.193.742.39
4+ goals3.413.362.44
Ov 1.53.263.62.41
Un 1.52.63.812.83
Ov 2.52.816.682.02
Un 2.53.362.533.25
Ov 3.53.413.362.44
Un 3.52.963.762.52
Goal-Goal3.82.662.77
No Goal2.476.722.24
G-G+Ov 2.52.885.652.1
NG+Un 2.52.486.722.4

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Dover Athletic vs Wrexham at 04 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Dover Athletic and Wrexham for Conference (England).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book7.474.541.371.782.02
Ours3.943.732.11.932.08
Value %11.994.78-25.37-4.37-1.43

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Draw (11.99 %, 4.78 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Dover Athletic
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 601566651
Last 3012113321
At Home02775754
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovYeovilA11DUGg
23 NovWealdstoneH23LOGg
20 NovHalifaxH13LOGg
13 NovTorquayA12LOGg
02 NovSouthendA14LOGg
30 OctStockportH25LOGg
09 OctBarnetH12LOGg
05 OctAldershotH12LOGg
Wrexham
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6411724333
Last 3201672212
At Away5235710791
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
30 NovYeovilH02LUNg
27 NovBromleyH20WUNg
23 NovHalifaxA21WOGg
20 NovWealdstoneH00DUNg
13 NovKing’s LynnA62WOGg
09 NovAldershotA50WONg
30 OctTorquayH11DUGg
26 OctMaidenheadA23LOGg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsDover AthleticWrexham
Form Score-0.9290.444
Home/Away form-10.037
Off ability10.157
Def ability-1-0.037


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Dover Athletic27%46%17%10%
Wrexham19%32%27%22%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Dover Athletic and the red line for guest team, Wrexham.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Dover Athletic to score 0.6 goals and Wrexham to score 2.07 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.67 goals in the game and the guest team Wrexham to win by 1.47 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Dover Athletic to score 1.1 goals and Wrexham to score 1.51 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.61 goals in the game and the guest team Wrexham to win by 0.41 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
019.610-14.42
15.712-31.95
23.924+3.8
33.89Ov 1.51.29
45.62Un 1.54.42
515.62Ov 2.51.92
6+47.62Un 2.52.08
Gg1.69Ov 3.53.8
NoG2.44Un 3.51.36
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.574.432.6
2-3 goals4.743.442.01
4+ goals4.463.871.93
Ov 1.54.643.571.98
Un 1.52.574.432.6
Ov 2.53.887.651.64
Un 2.53.982.413.01
Ov 3.54.463.871.93
Un 3.53.773.692.16
Goal-Goal5.152.732.28
No Goal2.928.021.88
G-G+Ov 2.53.856.511.7
NG+Un 2.52.748.022.08

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