Football – France

France
In this article we will analyse the following games: (with blue color are the value bets as estimated by the optimal equations method).
TeamsDateHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Lille - Troyes04-Dec1.474.56.851.822.04
Marseille - Brest04-Dec1.614.195.481.722.19
St Etienne - Rennes05-Dec4.133.721.851.832.04
Bordeaux - Lyon05-Dec4.634.291.691.512.56
Monaco - Metz05-Dec1.384.968.371.742.16
Lorient - Nantes05-Dec2.913.142.642.241.7
Nice - Strasbourg05-Dec1.883.644.11.91.93
Reims - Angers05-Dec2.453.073.222.531.5
Montpellier - Clermont05-Dec2.143.673.381.752.16

Click here to view the mathematical predictions for today!


Lille vs Troyes at 04 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Lille and Troyes for Ligue One (France).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book1.474.56.851.822.04
Ours1.923.944.422.161.86
Value %-15.943.168.03-8.654.74

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Draw, Away, Under (3.16 %, 8.03 %, 4.74 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Lille
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6141396633
Last 3120563321
At Home331576634
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
01 DecRennesA21WOGg
27 NovNantesH11DUGg
19 NovMonacoA22DOGg
06 NovAngersH11DUGg
29 OctParis SGA12LOGg
23 OctBrestH11DUGg
16 OctClermontA01LUNg
03 OctMarseilleH20WUNg
Troyes
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6213393533
Last 3102331203
At Away215294735
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
01 DecLorientH20WUNg
28 NovMarseilleA01LUNg
21 NovSt EtienneH01LUNg
05 NovLensA04LONg
31 OctRennesH22DOGg
24 OctReimsA21WOGg
17 OctNiceH10WUNg
03 OctNantesA02LUNg

Playing style

LilleShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play1281318.621271610.09
From corner3022.683043.02
Set piece831.741300.64
Direct Freekick600.31710.48
Penalty433.04221.52
TroyesShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play1291213.411601517.83
From corner2421.263652.84
Set piece811.36610.62
Direct Freekick400.211000.49
Penalty000221.52
LilleShGxGShAGAxGA
Out of box5801.926732
Penalty area981518.1697149.79
Six-yard box2066.311563.97
TroyesShGxGShAGAxGA
Own goals111000
Out of box6122.169143.33
Penalty area1001212.331051212.97
Six-yard box300.741877
LilleShGxGShAGAxGA
1-152633.852732.7
16-302796.362421.25
31-452342.452141.45
46-602523.444134.02
61-753305.723953.91
76+4234.562762.43
TroyesShGxGShAGAxGA
1-152532.643434.81
16-302422.363833.32
31-452462.63623.56
46-602223.094163.57
61-752712.533054.57
76+4313.013543.47
The next graph represents the shots attempted and recieved for the Lille and Troyes within a specific timeframe of the game. The black line is the average and you can interpret it as a Heat Indicator.

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsLilleTroyes
Form Score-0.016-0.185
Home/Away form0.17-0.393
Off ability1-0.217
Def ability-1-0.607


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Lille22%26%33%18%
Troyes40%36%17%7%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Lille and the red line for guest team, Troyes.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Lille to score 2.01 goals and Troyes to score 0.65 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.66 goals in the game and the home team Lille to win by 1.36 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Lille to score 1.47 goals and Troyes to score 0.93 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.4 goals in the game and the home team Lille to win by 0.54 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
011.360-13.66
15.412-31.93
23.794+4.74
33.95Ov 1.51.37
47.04Un 1.53.66
517.86Ov 2.52.16
6+76.92Un 2.51.86
Gg2.13Ov 3.54.74
NoG1.88Un 3.51.27
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.63.13.41
2-3 goals1.615.55.07
4+ goals2.222.974.69
Ov 1.51.754.414.95
Un 1.52.63.13.41
Ov 2.51.636.544.3
Un 2.52.282.954.51
Ov 3.52.222.974.69
Un 3.51.854.344.34
Goal-Goal2.22.855.16
No Goal1.736.033.9
G-G+Ov 2.51.765.34.13
NG+Un 2.51.886.033.72

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Marseille vs Brest at 04 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Marseille and Brest for Ligue One (France).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book1.614.195.481.722.19
Ours1.943.924.352.181.85
Value %-10.571.644.74-12.278.39

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Draw, Away, Under (1.64 %, 4.74 %, 8.39 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Marseille
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6330674106
Last 3210782003
At Home431626444
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
01 DecNantesA10WUNg
28 NovTroyesH10WUNg
07 NovMetzH00DUNg
31 OctClermontA10WUNg
27 OctNiceA11DUGg
24 OctParis SGH00DUNg
17 OctLorientH41WOGg
03 OctLilleA02LUNg
Brest
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6510896333
Last 33001003121
At Away233388853
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
01 DecSt EtienneH10WUNg
28 NovBordeauxA21WOGg
21 NovLensH40WONg
07 NovLorientA21WOGg
31 OctMonacoH20WUNg
23 OctLilleA11DUGg
17 OctReimsH11DUGg
02 OctNiceA12LOGg

Playing style

MarseilleShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play1481817.45105715.47
From corner3011.963132.36
Direct Freekick1521600.3
Set piece600.49600.39
Penalty110.76221.52
BrestShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play1271414.461381619.93
From corner2421.252321.64
Set piece922.331931.92
Direct Freekick510.23800.35
Penalty443.04110.76
MarseilleShGxGShAGAxGA
Own goals000111
Out of box7352.974701.33
Penalty area1111514.2187911.59
Six-yard box1624.491526.12
BrestShGxGShAGAxGA
Own goals000222
Out of box5641.67152.85
Penalty area1021615.311031013.16
Six-yard box1134.41356.59
MarseilleShGxGShAGAxGA
1-152703.321432.97
16-303141.952735.84
31-452252.512522.16
46-603955.022522.5
61-753753.933014.14
76+4434.952912.43
BrestShGxGShAGAxGA
1-151721.722522.79
16-302022.552652.96
31-452641.753045.43
46-603034.043134.88
61-753676.983243.07
76+4054.274545.46
The next graph represents the shots attempted and recieved for the Marseille and Brest within a specific timeframe of the game. The black line is the average and you can interpret it as a Heat Indicator.

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsMarseilleBrest
Form Score0.5080.867
Home/Away form0.295-0.015
Off ability0.1261
Def ability10.037


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Marseille23%26%34%17%
Brest39%36%17%8%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Marseille and the red line for guest team, Brest.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Marseille to score 1.98 goals and Brest to score 0.81 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.79 goals in the game and the home team Marseille to win by 1.17 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Marseille to score 1.45 goals and Brest to score 0.93 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.38 goals in the game and the home team Marseille to win by 0.52 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
011.110-13.65
15.432-31.93
23.754+4.81
33.98Ov 1.51.38
47.14Un 1.53.65
518.18Ov 2.52.18
6+76.92Un 2.51.85
Gg2.14Ov 3.54.81
NoG1.88Un 3.51.26
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.693.043.34
2-3 goals1.65.575.13
4+ goals2.312.894.52
Ov 1.51.754.44.94
Un 1.52.693.043.34
Ov 2.51.656.384.25
Un 2.52.282.964.47
Ov 3.52.312.894.52
Un 3.51.864.334.33
Goal-Goal2.22.835.19
No Goal1.755.923.83
G-G+Ov 2.51.765.194.16
NG+Un 2.51.895.923.7

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St Etienne vs Rennes at 05 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between St Etienne and Rennes for Ligue One (France).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book4.133.721.851.832.04
Ours2.653.682.852.311.76
Value %13.520.29-18.97-11.357.8

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Draw, Under (13.52 %, 0.29 %, 7.8 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

St Etienne
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6222445533
Last 3102332212
At Home143297853
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
01 DecBrestA01LUNg
28 NovParis SGH13LOGg
21 NovTroyesA10WUNg
07 NovClermontH32WOGg
30 OctMetzA11DUGg
22 OctAngersH22DOGg
17 OctStrasbourgA15LOGg
03 OctLyonH11DUGg
Rennes
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6411726333
Last 3201673112
At Away232435525
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
01 DecLilleH12LOGg
28 NovLorientA20WUNg
20 NovMontpellierH20WUNg
07 NovLyonH41WOGg
31 OctTroyesA22DOGg
24 OctStrasbourgH10WUNg
17 OctMetzA30WONg
03 OctParis SGH20WUNg

Playing style

St EtienneShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play13979.871532522.78
From corner3364.582612.17
Set piece1500.81021.34
Direct Freekick1010.461020.56
Penalty332.28221.52
RennesShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play1762222.871011115.11
From corner4243.542921.71
Set piece1311.33501.17
Direct Freekick600.63900.59
Penalty000110.76
St EtienneShGxGShAGAxGA
Own goals000111
Out of box9232.176632.04
Penalty area971012.081112116.91
Six-yard box1143.752378.41
RennesShGxGShAGAxGA
Out of box7533.045301.71
Penalty area1342017.32761210.31
Six-yard box28481627.31
St EtienneShGxGShAGAxGA
1-152721.063033.56
16-303013.12943.6
31-453121.913254.13
46-603142.953964.81
61-753223.642675.25
76+4965.344577.01
RennesShGxGShAGAxGA
1-153933.681801.76
16-303625.922733.49
31-453773.761931.87
46-605456.722023.48
61-753333.683024.14
76+3874.593144.59
The next graph represents the shots attempted and recieved for the St Etienne and Rennes within a specific timeframe of the game. The black line is the average and you can interpret it as a Heat Indicator.

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsSt EtienneRennes
Form Score-0.1270.459
Home/Away form-0.4520.111
Off ability0.4421
Def ability-0.591-0.015


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
St Etienne31%31%29%9%
Rennes34%34%16%16%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, St Etienne and the red line for guest team, Rennes.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) St Etienne to score 0.95 goals and Rennes to score 1.7 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.65 goals in the game and the guest team Rennes to win by 0.75 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) St Etienne to score 1.16 goals and Rennes to score 1.15 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.31 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.01 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
09.710-13.18
14.742-32.07
23.944+4.9
34.39Ov 1.51.46
47.81Un 1.53.18
516.39Ov 2.52.31
6+66.67Un 2.51.76
Gg2.17Ov 3.54.9
NoG1.86Un 3.51.26
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.963.052.99
2-3 goals2.134.463.26
4+ goals4.433.342.1
Ov 1.52.524.062.8
Un 1.52.963.052.99
Ov 2.52.477.082.2
Un 2.52.82.693.69
Ov 3.54.433.342.1
Un 3.52.43.773.15
Goal-Goal3.182.733.14
No Goal2.315.232.66
G-G+Ov 2.52.435.792.4
NG+Un 2.52.275.232.99

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Bordeaux vs Lyon at 05 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Bordeaux and Lyon for Ligue One (France).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book4.634.291.691.512.56
Ours2.273.913.292.141.88
Value %22.452.27-28.78-19.514.13

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Draw, Under (22.45 %, 2.27 %, 14.13 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Bordeaux
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6123286651
Last 3012113330
At Home134257844
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
01 DecStrasbourgA25LOGg
28 NovBrestH12LOGg
21 NovMetzA33DOGg
06 NovParis SGH23LOGg
31 OctReimsH32WOGg
24 OctLorientA11DUGg
17 OctNantesH11DUGg
03 OctMonacoA03LONg
Lyon
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6303506442
Last 3102333221
At Away214336543
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
01 DecReimsH12LOGg
28 NovMontpellierA10WUNg
07 NovRennesA14LOGg
30 OctLensH21WOGg
24 OctNiceA23LOGg
16 OctMonacoH20WUNg
03 OctSt EtienneA11DUGg
25 SepLorientH11DUGg

Playing style

BordeauxShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play1511814.81712722.14
From corner2531.582734.3
Set piece1321.39831.17
Direct Freekick1000.59600.31
Penalty110.76443.04
LyonShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play1571619.751751319.67
From corner2432.432942.97
Direct Freekick700.35910.67
Set piece500.21611.35
Penalty443.04443.04
BordeauxShGxGShAGAxGA
Out of box8652.467031.9
Penalty area1021612.251272420.74
Six-yard box1234.4119108.33
LyonShGxGShAGAxGA
Own goals000222
Out of box6822.658532.72
Penalty area1151818.21221518.39
Six-yard box1434.931434.59
BordeauxShGxGShAGAxGA
1-152232.452622.3
16-302933.123222.67
31-452632.448138.54
46-604142.583466.57
61-753231.6639105.53
76+5086.913745.35
LyonShGxGShAGAxGA
1-154023.262613.73
16-302634.132923.93
31-453154.183032.39
46-603433.544546.54
61-753565.563322.77
76+3145.1260118.34
The next graph represents the shots attempted and recieved for the Bordeaux and Lyon within a specific timeframe of the game. The black line is the average and you can interpret it as a Heat Indicator.

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsBordeauxLyon
Form Score-0.492-0.037
Home/Away form-0.61-0.237
Off ability11
Def ability-1-0.356


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Bordeaux29%21%40%10%
Lyon35%35%18%13%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Bordeaux and the red line for guest team, Lyon.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Bordeaux to score 1 goals and Lyon to score 2.13 goals. So, they expect a total of 3.13 goals in the game and the guest team Lyon to win by 1.13 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Bordeaux to score 1.32 goals and Lyon to score 1.09 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.41 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.23 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
010.10-13.7
15.852-31.96
23.824+4.61
34.02Ov 1.51.37
47.52Un 1.53.7
514.08Ov 2.52.15
6+76.92Un 2.51.88
Gg2.15Ov 3.54.61
NoG1.88Un 3.51.28
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals3.752.732.73
2-3 goals1.627.14.12
4+ goals4.092.582.71
Ov 1.51.984.673.57
Un 1.53.752.732.73
Ov 2.52.045.553.03
Un 2.52.513.113.57
Ov 3.54.092.582.71
Un 3.52.024.573.5
Goal-Goal2.412.993.98
No Goal2.155.372.86
G-G+Ov 2.52.044.693.37
NG+Un 2.52.175.373.09

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Monaco vs Metz at 05 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Monaco and Metz for Ligue One (France).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book1.384.968.371.742.16
Ours1.883.924.692.41.72
Value %-19.275.359.37-15.811.84

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Draw, Away, Under (5.35 %, 9.37 %, 11.84 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Monaco
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6231504533
Last 3120563321
At Home332506744
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
01 DecAngersA31WOGg
28 NovStrasbourgH11DUGg
19 NovLilleH22DOGg
07 NovReimsA00DUNg
31 OctBrestA02LUNg
24 OctMontpellierH31WOGg
16 OctLyonA02LUNg
03 OctBordeauxH30WONg
Metz
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6132335433
Last 3111443221
At Away224335653
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
01 DecMontpellierH13LOGg
27 NovNiceA10WUNg
21 NovBordeauxH33DOGg
07 NovMarseilleA00DUNg
30 OctSt EtienneH11DUGg
24 OctLensA14LOGg
17 OctRennesH03LONg
03 OctAngersA23LOGg

Playing style

MonacoShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play1171716.271111110.72
From corner2802.061722.29
Set piece1221.651022.26
Direct Freekick800.59400.13
Penalty443.04654.56
MetzShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play1261210.791672621.42
From corner3233.713623.07
Set piece910.61622.58
Direct Freekick510.28810.37
Penalty110.76221.52
MonacoShGxGShAGAxGA
Own goals000222
Out of box6002.015701.48
Penalty area901413.69841613.19
Six-yard box1997.91523.29
MetzShGxGShAGAxGA
Own goals111111
Out of box7941.88242.55
Penalty area85119.691321917.75
Six-yard box823.661497.66
MonacoShGxGShAGAxGA
1-151922.732232.2
16-302743.183123.46
31-452864.412332.04
46-602933.222264.34
61-753444.52023.38
76+3245.573044.54
MetzShGxGShAGAxGA
1-151842.023265.01
16-303243.412743.31
31-453642.753385.15
46-602833.793454.84
61-752731.943933.48
76+3202.246477.18
The next graph represents the shots attempted and recieved for the Monaco and Metz within a specific timeframe of the game. The black line is the average and you can interpret it as a Heat Indicator.

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsMonacoMetz
Form Score0.127-0.148
Home/Away form0.046-0.178
Off ability0.1260.626
Def ability-0.626-0.311


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Monaco23%28%32%16%
Metz46%31%14%8%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Monaco and the red line for guest team, Metz.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Monaco to score 2.18 goals and Metz to score 0.58 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.77 goals in the game and the home team Monaco to win by 1.6 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Monaco to score 1.42 goals and Metz to score 0.84 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.26 goals in the game and the home team Monaco to win by 0.58 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
09.170-13.21
14.932-31.97
23.694+5.52
34.22Ov 1.51.45
48.4Un 1.53.21
520.41Ov 2.52.39
6+76.92Un 2.51.72
Gg2.44Ov 3.55.52
NoG1.69Un 3.51.22
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.42.864.27
2-3 goals1.545.845.52
4+ goals2.453.073.77
Ov 1.51.714.724.92
Un 1.52.42.864.27
Ov 2.51.667.083.91
Un 2.52.072.975.5
Ov 3.52.453.073.77
Un 3.51.794.184.97
Goal-Goal2.332.814.66
No Goal1.665.424.73
G-G+Ov 2.51.845.473.67
NG+Un 2.51.775.424.68

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Lorient vs Nantes at 05 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Lorient and Nantes for Ligue One (France).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.913.142.642.241.7
Ours2.183.733.652.241.81
Value %11.51-5.04-10.480-3.57

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home (11.51 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Lorient
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 601562624
Last 300300303
At Home322526525
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
01 DecTroyesA02LUNg
28 NovRennesH02LUNg
21 NovAngersA01LUNg
07 NovBrestH12LOGg
31 OctStrasbourgA04LONg
24 OctBordeauxH11DUGg
17 OctMarseilleA14LOGg
03 OctClermontH11DUGg
Nantes
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6123284633
Last 3012112312
At Away134256835
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
01 DecMarseilleH01LUNg
27 NovLilleA11DUGg
20 NovParis SGA13LOGg
07 NovStrasbourgH22DOGg
31 OctMontpellierA02LUNg
23 OctClermontH21WOGg
17 OctBordeauxA11DUGg
03 OctTroyesH20WUNg

Playing style

LorientShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play107710.331581514.21
From corner2011.553424.79
Direct Freekick1110.46620.38
Set piece920.661922.81
Penalty221.52543.8
NantesShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play1211415.311381817.93
From corner3132.383732.16
Set piece1311.07500.56
Direct Freekick700.471100.73
Penalty221.52100.76
LorientShGxGShAGAxGA
Own goals111000
Out of box6131.637952.35
Penalty area7869.031241616.2
Six-yard box932.861947.45
NantesShGxGShAGAxGA
Own goals111111
Out of box4711.666542.6
Penalty area1151313.781151114.7
Six-yard box1154.321153.84
LorientShGxGShAGAxGA
1-152132.863022.35
16-303054.273243.21
31-451510.974034.08
46-602622.474365.52
61-752611.894156.64
76+3112.053654.18
NantesShGxGShAGAxGA
1-152332.632241.99
16-302743.443012.54
31-452923.342523.11
46-603464.713733.13
61-753043.523975.26
76+3113.113946.11
The next graph represents the shots attempted and recieved for the Lorient and Nantes within a specific timeframe of the game. The black line is the average and you can interpret it as a Heat Indicator.

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsLorientNantes
Form Score-1-0.385
Home/Away form-0.129-0.393
Off ability-10.191
Def ability-1-1


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Lorient25%29%32%14%
Nantes36%36%18%10%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Lorient and the red line for guest team, Nantes.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Lorient to score 1.1 goals and Nantes to score 1.18 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.28 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is -0.08 on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Lorient to score 1.34 goals and Nantes to score 1.01 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.35 goals in the game and the home team Lorient to win by 0.33 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
010.990-13.47
15.082-31.97
23.754+4.9
34.15Ov 1.51.4
47.35Un 1.53.47
518.18Ov 2.52.25
6+76.92Un 2.51.8
Gg2.1Ov 3.54.9
NoG1.91Un 3.51.26
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.723.163.16
2-3 goals1.834.844.06
4+ goals2.762.833.52
Ov 1.52.024.023.89
Un 1.52.723.163.16
Ov 2.51.886.183.27
Un 2.52.512.834.02
Ov 3.52.762.833.52
Un 3.52.074.063.69
Goal-Goal2.542.694.26
No Goal1.945.753.23
G-G+Ov 2.51.985.173.32
NG+Un 2.52.045.753.26

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Nice vs Strasbourg at 05 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Nice and Strasbourg for Ligue One (France).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book1.883.644.11.91.93
Ours2.113.733.892.361.73
Value %-5.8-0.661.32-10.265.99

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Away, Under (1.32 %, 5.99 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Nice
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6222443524
Last 3111441212
At Home332505644
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
01 DecParis SGA00DUNg
27 NovMetzH01LUNg
21 NovClermontA21WOGg
07 NovMontpellierH01LUNg
31 OctAngersA21WOGg
27 OctMarseilleH11DUGg
24 OctLyonH32WOGg
17 OctTroyesA01LUNg
Strasbourg
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6231505533
Last 3120563312
At Away133296634
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
01 DecBordeauxH52WOGg
28 NovMonacoA11DUGg
21 NovReimsH11DUGg
07 NovNantesA22DOGg
31 OctLorientH40WONg
24 OctRennesA01LUNg
17 OctSt EtienneH51WOGg
02 OctMontpellierA11DUGg

Playing style

NiceShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play1521619.99119812.84
From corner3654.42400.97
Set piece1201.781120.42
Penalty533.8221.52
Direct Freekick410.18800.46
StrasbourgShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play1292321.321331516.89
From corner3423.374043.83
Set piece1210.52900.93
Penalty543.8332.28
Direct Freekick510.24700.38
NiceShGxGShAGAxGA
Out of box6852.246522.06
Penalty area1231419.3488811.17
Six-yard box1868.571122.98
StrasbourgShGxGShAGAxGA
Own goals222000
Out of box6231.966111.99
Penalty area9816151131616.02
Six-yard box231010.291856.3
NiceShGxGShAGAxGA
1-153054.692611.96
16-302702.182542.83
31-453536.313133.99
46-604156.42402.34
61-753044.262712.29
76+4686.313132.79
StrasbourgShGxGShAGAxGA
1-153013.32843.31
16-302862.723575.37
31-452877.573012.54
46-602844.022754.54
61-753485.542412.1
76+3756.124846.45
The next graph represents the shots attempted and recieved for the Nice and Strasbourg within a specific timeframe of the game. The black line is the average and you can interpret it as a Heat Indicator.

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsNiceStrasbourg
Form Score-0.0950.207
Home/Away form-0.104-0.23
Off ability-0.5470.678
Def ability-0.539-0.704


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Nice25%30%31%14%
Strasbourg39%36%15%10%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Nice and the red line for guest team, Strasbourg.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Nice to score 1.63 goals and Strasbourg to score 0.93 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.56 goals in the game and the home team Nice to win by 0.7 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Nice to score 1.33 goals and Strasbourg to score 0.95 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.28 goals in the game and the home team Nice to win by 0.38 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
010.10-13.25
14.782-31.98
23.74+5.32
34.26Ov 1.51.44
48Un 1.53.25
520Ov 2.52.36
6+76.92Un 2.51.73
Gg2.21Ov 3.55.32
NoG1.82Un 3.51.23
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.593.113.42
2-3 goals1.754.684.63
4+ goals2.723.083.24
Ov 1.51.944.14.15
Un 1.52.593.113.42
Ov 2.51.816.933.3
Un 2.52.392.794.48
Ov 3.52.723.083.24
Un 3.523.934.09
Goal-Goal2.522.684.36
No Goal1.855.543.58
G-G+Ov 2.51.925.663.32
NG+Un 2.51.945.543.64

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Reims vs Angers at 05 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Reims and Angers for Ligue One (France).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.453.073.222.531.5
Ours2.393.613.292.381.72
Value %1.02-4.87-0.662.49-8.53

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Over (1.02 %, 2.49 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Reims
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6222445433
Last 3210783212
At Home232434434
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
01 DecLyonA21WOGg
28 NovClermontH10WUNg
21 NovStrasbourgA11DUGg
07 NovMonacoH00DUNg
31 OctBordeauxA23LOGg
24 OctTroyesH12LOGg
17 OctBrestA11DUGg
01 OctLensA02LUNg
Angers
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6132336542
Last 3111443221
At Away161388735
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
01 DecMonacoH13LOGg
26 NovLensA22DOGg
21 NovLorientH10WUNg
06 NovLilleA11DUGg
31 OctNiceH12LOGg
22 OctSt EtienneA22DOGg
15 OctParis SGA12LOGg
03 OctMetzH32WOGg

Playing style

ReimsShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play1291211.191361213.74
From corner2521.682432.98
Set piece1431.75811.04
Direct Freekick200.1810.47
Penalty110.76322.28
AngersShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play1071314.431081014.4
From corner3042.972653
Set piece1122.791221.83
Direct Freekick800.51910.52
Penalty443.04332.28
ReimsShGxGShAGAxGA
Out of box6431.627342.43
Penalty area97109.2890912.64
Six-yard box1054.581665.45
AngersShGxGShAGAxGA
Own goals222000
Out of box5711.876141.78
Penalty area881212.3977912.71
Six-yard box1387.482087.55
ReimsShGxGShAGAxGA
1-1517422732.45
16-302932.912712.45
31-452512.093755.93
46-602822.123513.03
61-753442.722262.75
76+3843.643133.89
AngersShGxGShAGAxGA
1-152011.772243.27
16-302733.162643.1
31-453033.92312.48
46-602865.612552.86
61-752844.623034.8
76+2764.73245.53
The next graph represents the shots attempted and recieved for the Reims and Angers within a specific timeframe of the game. The black line is the average and you can interpret it as a Heat Indicator.

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsReimsAngers
Form Score0.032-0.17
Home/Away form-0.1120
Off ability0.5471
Def ability-0.191-0.652


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Reims27%33%28%11%
Angers36%36%17%12%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Reims and the red line for guest team, Angers.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Reims to score 1.12 goals and Angers to score 0.93 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.05 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.19 on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Reims to score 1.23 goals and Angers to score 1.05 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.28 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.18 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
010.20-13.18
14.632-32.02
23.764+5.21
34.37Ov 1.51.46
47.87Un 1.53.18
519.23Ov 2.52.38
6+76.92Un 2.51.72
Gg2.14Ov 3.55.21
NoG1.88Un 3.51.24
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.643.23.24
2-3 goals2.064.163.64
4+ goals3.253.152.67
Ov 1.52.33.823.3
Un 1.52.643.23.24
Ov 2.52.126.92.61
Un 2.52.652.674.03
Ov 3.53.253.152.67
Un 3.52.253.733.47
Goal-Goal2.942.63.63
No Goal2.065.443.03
G-G+Ov 2.52.195.722.71
NG+Un 2.52.115.443.2

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Montpellier vs Clermont at 05 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Montpellier and Clermont for Ligue One (France).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.143.673.381.752.16
Ours1.734.295.291.962.04
Value %11.07-3.94-10.68-6.122.72

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Under (11.07 %, 2.72 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Montpellier
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6303504424
Last 3102331312
At Home422587535
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
01 DecMetzA31WOGg
28 NovLyonH01LUNg
20 NovRennesA02LUNg
07 NovNiceA10WUNg
31 OctNantesH20WUNg
24 OctMonacoA13LOGg
17 OctLensH10WUNg
02 OctStrasbourgH11DUGg
Clermont
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 601564642
Last 3012112321
At Away125215753
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
01 DecLensH22DOGg
28 NovReimsA01LUNg
21 NovNiceH12LOGg
07 NovSt EtienneA23LOGg
31 OctMarseilleH01LUNg
23 OctNantesA12LOGg
16 OctLilleH10WUNg
03 OctLorientA11DUGg

Playing style

MontpellierShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play1491514.021981920.7
From corner2142.972712.34
Direct Freekick1921.031010.64
Set piece921.771121.94
Penalty110.76000
ClermontShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play1381215.831302218.47
From corner3642.692842.21
Set piece1331.481331.8
Direct Freekick500.22300.16
Penalty000221.52
MontpellierShGxGShAGAxGA
Own goals111111
Out of box9453.2210153.72
Penalty area871110.161231113.95
Six-yard box1776.182166.95
ClermontShGxGShAGAxGA
Own goals222222
Out of box6711.815121.81
Penalty area1111112.821062114.84
Six-yard box1253.61765.51
MontpellierShGxGShAGAxGA
1-152632.193943.28
16-303612.934385.63
31-453663.363122.35
46-602464.544814.82
61-753643.953844.52
76+4143.594745.02
ClermontShGxGShAGAxGA
1-152733.352734.82
16-303012.12764.62
31-454334.132842.2
46-603244.672984.69
61-753042.943733.91
76+3043.042873.92
The next graph represents the shots attempted and recieved for the Montpellier and Clermont within a specific timeframe of the game. The black line is the average and you can interpret it as a Heat Indicator.

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsMontpellierClermont
Form Score-0.056-0.8
Home/Away form0.137-0.585
Off ability-0.0210.217
Def ability-0.278-1


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Montpellier20%20%38%23%
Clermont40%35%18%6%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Montpellier and the red line for guest team, Clermont.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Montpellier to score 1.61 goals and Clermont to score 1.15 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.76 goals in the game and the home team Montpellier to win by 0.46 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Montpellier to score 1.63 goals and Clermont to score 0.9 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.53 goals in the game and the home team Montpellier to win by 0.73 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
012.660-14.35
16.622-31.88
23.864+4.2
33.68Ov 1.51.3
46.25Un 1.54.35
515.62Ov 2.51.96
6+71.43Un 2.52.04
Gg2.09Ov 3.54.2
NoG1.92Un 3.51.31
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.82.913.33
2-3 goals1.427.486.25
4+ goals1.982.876.8
Ov 1.51.554.996.41
Un 1.52.82.913.33
Ov 2.51.496.146.07
Un 2.52.093.264.66
Ov 3.51.982.876.8
Un 3.51.675.074.94
Goal-Goal1.93.16.64
No Goal1.66.594.45
G-G+Ov 2.51.624.95.65
NG+Un 2.51.796.593.98

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