Football – Greece

Greece
In this article we will analyse the following games: (with blue color are the value bets as estimated by the optimal equations method).
TeamsDateHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Volos NFC - Panetolikos04-Dec1.943.483.982.091.76
OFI Crete - Olympiakos04-Dec6.634.291.471.921.93
Atromitos - Apollon04-Dec1.983.243.822.341.57
Ionikos - PAOK05-Dec6.254.041.532.081.77
AEK - Panathinaikos05-Dec1.883.44.042.241.65
Aris - Asteras Tripolis05-Dec1.733.484.762.351.58
Lamia - Giannina06-Dec2.713.022.82.681.51

Click here to view the mathematical predictions for today!


Volos NFC vs Panetolikos at 04 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Volos NFC and Panetolikos for Super League (Greece).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book1.943.483.982.091.76
Ours2.463.213.562.841.54
Value %-10.92.422.96-12.648.12

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Draw, Away, Under (2.42 %, 2.96 %, 8.12 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Volos NFC
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6024115642
Last 300302321
At Home303505551
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
28 NovOlympiakosA12LOGg
20 NovOFI CreteH02LUNg
07 NovArisH12LOGg
01 NovIonikosA11DUGg
24 OctAEKH13LOGg
17 OctPAOKA44DOGg
02 OctAsteras TripolisH21WOGg
26 SepPanathinaikosA15LOGg
Panetolikos
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6105174542
Last 3102331212
At Away113273541
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
28 NovPanathinaikosA02LUNg
21 NovApollonH10WUNg
06 NovGianninaA03LONg
30 OctOlympiakosH12LOGg
24 OctArisA15LOGg
17 OctOFI CreteH12LOGg
03 OctAEKH13LOGg
26 SepLamiaA22DOGg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsVolos NFCPanetolikos
Form Score-0.825-0.63
Home/Away form-0.286-0.422
Off ability0.4740.13
Def ability-1-0.63


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Volos NFC11%70%13%6%
Panetolikos37%33%28%2%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Volos NFC and the red line for guest team, Panetolikos.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Volos NFC to score 1.48 goals and Panetolikos to score 0.89 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.37 goals in the game and the home team Volos NFC to win by 0.59 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Volos NFC to score 1.14 goals and Panetolikos to score 0.95 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.09 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.19 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
0250-12.99
13.392-31.75
23.214+10.99
33.83Ov 1.51.51
414.08Un 1.52.99
552.63Ov 2.52.84
6+1000Un 2.51.55
Gg1.78Ov 3.510.99
NoG2.29Un 3.51.1
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals1.298.389.31
2-3 goals5.122.442.54
4+ goals2.532.534.79
Ov 1.54.492.452.71
Un 1.51.298.389.31
Ov 2.53.499.781.64
Un 2.52.112.359.8
Ov 3.52.532.534.79
Un 3.52.453.33.47
Goal-Goal7.132.082.64
No Goal1.3310.96.41
G-G+Ov 2.54.159.111.54
NG+Un 2.51.3510.96.24

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OFI Crete vs Olympiakos at 04 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between OFI Crete and Olympiakos for Super League (Greece).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book6.634.291.471.921.93
Ours2.873.462.752.631.61
Value %19.765.59-31.66-14.0610.3

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Draw, Under (19.76 %, 5.59 %, 10.3 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

OFI Crete
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6420784224
Last 33001003112
At Home231504333
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
28 NovIonikosH21WOGg
20 NovVolos NFCA20WUNg
06 NovAtromitosH20WUNg
31 OctPanathinaikosA00DUNg
24 OctLamiaH00DUNg
17 OctPanetolikosA21WOGg
03 OctPAOKH13LOGg
27 SepGianninaA11DUGg
Olympiakos
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 66001006551
Last 33001003221
At Away5001005441
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
28 NovVolos NFCH21WOGg
21 NovAEKA32WOGg
07 NovIonikosH10WUNg
30 OctPanetolikosA21WOGg
24 OctPAOKH21WOGg
17 OctGianninaA21WOGg
03 OctPanathinaikosH00DUNg
26 SepAsteras TripolisA20WUNg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsOFI CreteOlympiakos
Form Score0.6671
Home/Away form0.0871
Off ability0.1261
Def ability0.565-0.652


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
OFI Crete32%39%21%8%
Olympiakos36%27%28%9%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, OFI Crete and the red line for guest team, Olympiakos.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) OFI Crete to score 0.64 goals and Olympiakos to score 1.91 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.54 goals in the game and the guest team Olympiakos to win by 1.27 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) OFI Crete to score 1.04 goals and Olympiakos to score 1.08 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.12 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is -0.04 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
08.550-12.87
14.332-32.02
23.684+6.29
34.5Ov 1.51.53
48.93Un 1.52.87
525Ov 2.52.62
6+142.86Un 2.51.61
Gg2.31Ov 3.56.29
NoG1.76Un 3.51.19
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.432.973.95
2-3 goals3.054.572.21
4+ goals3.72.483.06
Ov 1.53.193.82.37
Un 1.52.432.973.95
Ov 2.52.955.952.03
Un 2.52.832.763.52
Ov 3.53.72.483.06
Un 3.52.763.742.7
Goal-Goal4.322.512.7
No Goal2.294.862.79
G-G+Ov 2.53.245.062.03
NG+Un 2.52.344.862.91

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Atromitos vs Apollon at 04 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Atromitos and Apollon for Super League (Greece).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book1.983.243.822.341.57
Ours1.953.614.742.741.57
Value %0.78-3.16-5.08-6.240

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home (0.78 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Atromitos
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6114223533
Last 3102332212
At Home113274423
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovAsteras TripolisA26LOGg
21 NovPAOKH20WUNg
06 NovOFI CreteA02LUNg
31 OctLamiaA22DOGg
23 OctIonikosH02LUNg
17 OctAEKA03LONg
03 OctGianninaH11DUGg
27 SepArisH13LOGg
Apollon
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6123283424
Last 3021221212
At Away01472432
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovLamiaH00DUNg
21 NovPanetolikosA01LUNg
06 NovAEKH22DOGg
30 OctPAOKA14LOGg
23 OctGianninaH10WUNg
16 OctAsteras TripolisH01LUNg
02 OctArisA00DUNg
27 SepIonikosH00DUNg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsAtromitosApollon
Form Score-0.571-0.333
Home/Away form-0.527-0.733
Off ability-0.295-0.217
Def ability-0.565-0.311


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Atromitos19%43%27%12%
Apollon45%33%16%6%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Atromitos and the red line for guest team, Apollon.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Atromitos to score 1.32 goals and Apollon to score 0.84 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.16 goals in the game and the home team Atromitos to win by 0.48 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Atromitos to score 1.31 goals and Apollon to score 0.82 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.13 goals in the game and the home team Atromitos to win by 0.49 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
011.630-12.92
13.912-31.95
23.414+6.9
34.52Ov 1.51.52
49.43Un 1.52.92
530.3Ov 2.52.73
6+166.67Un 2.51.57
Gg2.25Ov 3.56.9
NoG1.8Un 3.51.17
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals1.783.985.34
2-3 goals1.953.624.72
4+ goals2.542.963.72
Ov 1.52.063.454.45
Un 1.51.783.985.34
Ov 2.51.847.473.1
Un 2.52.032.796.76
Ov 3.52.542.963.72
Un 3.51.883.754.95
Goal-Goal3.032.334.16
No Goal1.526.475.3
G-G+Ov 2.52.066.182.83
NG+Un 2.51.586.475.24

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Ionikos vs PAOK at 05 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Ionikos and PAOK for Super League (Greece).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book6.254.041.532.081.77
Ours3.063.292.712.761.57
Value %16.685.64-28.46-11.857.2

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Draw, Under (16.68 %, 5.64 %, 7.2 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Ionikos
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6123285524
Last 3012112312
At Home131404314
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
28 NovOFI CreteA12LOGg
20 NovAsteras TripolisH11DUGg
07 NovOlympiakosA01LUNg
01 NovVolos NFCH11DUGg
23 OctAtromitosA20WUNg
16 OctPanathinaikosA14LOGg
03 OctLamiaH12LOGg
27 SepApollonA00DUNg
PAOK
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6213394642
Last 3102331312
At Away402675542
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
28 NovArisH01LUNg
21 NovAtromitosA02LUNg
07 NovPanathinaikosA31WOGg
30 OctApollonH41WOGg
24 OctOlympiakosA12LOGg
17 OctVolos NFCH44DOGg
03 OctOFI CreteA31WOGg
26 SepAEKH20WUNg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsIonikosPAOK
Form Score-0.452-0.2
Home/Away form-0.1950.296
Off ability0.5050.104
Def ability-0.652-1


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Ionikos30%45%20%5%
PAOK33%33%28%7%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Ionikos and the red line for guest team, PAOK.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Ionikos to score 0.64 goals and PAOK to score 1.74 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.38 goals in the game and the guest team PAOK to win by 1.1 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Ionikos to score 1.01 goals and PAOK to score 1.09 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.1 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is -0.08 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
010.310-12.92
14.082-31.91
23.384+7.52
34.39Ov 1.51.52
49.71Un 1.52.92
537.04Ov 2.52.77
6+333.33Un 2.51.57
Gg2.12Ov 3.57.52
NoG1.9Un 3.51.15
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.333.533.49
2-3 goals3.543.542.3
4+ goals4.292.253.09
Ov 1.53.673.172.42
Un 1.52.333.533.49
Ov 2.53.176.121.92
Un 2.53.012.63.52
Ov 3.54.292.253.09
Un 3.52.943.532.66
Goal-Goal4.872.282.81
No Goal2.35.432.62
G-G+Ov 2.53.345.491.93
NG+Un 2.52.315.432.71

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AEK vs Panathinaikos at 05 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between AEK and Panathinaikos for Super League (Greece).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book1.883.44.042.241.65
Ours1.973.444.952.691.59
Value %-2.43-0.34-4.55-7.472.29

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Under (2.29 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

AEK
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6411726560
Last 3111443330
At Home401805241
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovGianninaA21WOGg
21 NovOlympiakosH23LOGg
06 NovApollonA22DOGg
31 OctArisH21WOGg
24 OctVolos NFCA31WOGg
17 OctAtromitosH30WONg
03 OctPanetolikosA31WOGg
26 SepPAOKA02LUNg
Panathinaikos
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6312565442
Last 3201673221
At Away113272423
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
28 NovPanetolikosH20WUNg
22 NovLamiaA31WOGg
07 NovPAOKH13LOGg
31 OctOFI CreteH00DUNg
23 OctAsteras TripolisA12LOGg
16 OctIonikosH41WOGg
03 OctOlympiakosA00DUNg
26 SepVolos NFCH51WOGg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsAEKPanathinaikos
Form Score0.4210.2
Home/Away form0.419-0.289
Off ability10.626
Def ability-0.678-0.281


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
AEK10%52%32%5%
Panathinaikos42%34%22%3%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, AEK and the red line for guest team, Panathinaikos.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) AEK to score 1.42 goals and Panathinaikos to score 0.83 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.25 goals in the game and the home team AEK to win by 0.59 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) AEK to score 1.32 goals and Panathinaikos to score 0.86 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.18 goals in the game and the home team AEK to win by 0.46 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
022.730-13.37
13.952-31.73
23.024+7.94
34.05Ov 1.51.42
49.71Un 1.53.37
547.62Ov 2.52.68
6+500Un 2.51.59
Gg1.91Ov 3.57.94
NoG2.1Un 3.51.14
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals1.366.758.49
2-3 goals2.223.284.07
4+ goals4.21.755.25
Ov 1.52.432.844.24
Un 1.51.366.758.49
Ov 2.52.365.182.61
Un 2.51.792.8510.83
Ov 3.54.21.755.25
Un 3.51.833.984.94
Goal-Goal3.852.113.74
No Goal1.2810.847.82
G-G+Ov 2.52.564.832.49
NG+Un 2.51.2910.847.79

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Aris vs Asteras Tripolis at 05 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Aris and Asteras Tripolis for Super League (Greece).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book1.733.484.762.351.58
Ours1.963.794.442.381.73
Value %-6.78-2.351.51-0.54-5.49

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Away (1.51 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Aris
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6402675442
Last 3201672221
At Home221532223
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
28 NovPAOKA10WUNg
20 NovGianninaH05LONg
07 NovVolos NFCA21WOGg
31 OctAEKA12LOGg
24 OctPanetolikosH51WOGg
18 OctLamiaA10WUNg
02 OctApollonH00DUNg
27 SepAtromitosA31WOGg
Asteras Tripolis
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6321615524
Last 3111442312
At Away141394315
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovAtromitosH62WOGg
20 NovIonikosA11DUGg
07 NovLamiaH01LUNg
31 OctGianninaA11DUGg
23 OctPanathinaikosH21WOGg
16 OctApollonA10WUNg
02 OctVolos NFCA12LOGg
26 SepOlympiakosH02LUNg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsArisAsteras Tripolis
Form Score0.2620.311
Home/Away form0.0210.052
Off ability0.4740.591
Def ability-0.217-0.726


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Aris16%45%24%15%
Asteras Tripolis42%33%13%11%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Aris and the red line for guest team, Asteras Tripolis.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Aris to score 1.45 goals and Asteras Tripolis to score 0.71 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.16 goals in the game and the home team Aris to win by 0.74 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Aris to score 1.4 goals and Asteras Tripolis to score 0.93 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.33 goals in the game and the home team Aris to win by 0.47 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
015.150-13.26
14.152-32.01
23.664+5.03
34.46Ov 1.51.44
47.46Un 1.53.26
520.83Ov 2.52.36
6+58.82Un 2.51.72
Gg2.04Ov 3.55.03
NoG1.95Un 3.51.24
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals1.624.655.9
2-3 goals1.993.345.07
4+ goals2.733.982.62
Ov 1.52.153.54
Un 1.51.624.655.9
Ov 2.51.928.462.76
Un 2.51.992.77.95
Ov 3.52.733.982.62
Un 3.51.833.745.36
Goal-Goal3.162.463.6
No Goal1.447.775.7
G-G+Ov 2.52.26.822.51
NG+Un 2.51.487.775.9

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Lamia vs Giannina at 06 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Lamia and Giannina for Super League (Greece).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.713.022.82.681.51
Ours2.973.452.692.551.64
Value %-3.23-4.131.461.9-5.25

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Away, Over (1.46 %, 1.9 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Lamia
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6132333324
Last 3111442112
At Home023134541
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovApollonA00DUNg
22 NovPanathinaikosH13LOGg
07 NovAsteras TripolisA10WUNg
31 OctAtromitosH22DOGg
24 OctOFI CreteA00DUNg
18 OctArisH01LUNg
03 OctIonikosA21WOGg
26 SepPanetolikosH22DOGg
Giannina
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6213395442
Last 3201673130
At Away221533214
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovAEKH12LOGg
20 NovArisA50WONg
06 NovPanetolikosH30WONg
31 OctAsteras TripolisH11DUGg
23 OctApollonA01LUNg
17 OctOlympiakosH12LOGg
03 OctAtromitosA11DUGg
27 SepOFI CreteH11DUGg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsLamiaGiannina
Form Score-0.23-0.126
Home/Away form-0.8090.215
Off ability-0.3680.652
Def ability0.217-0.281


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Lamia31%40%21%8%
Giannina33%33%21%13%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Lamia and the red line for guest team, Giannina.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Lamia to score 1.02 goals and Giannina to score 1 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.02 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.02 on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Lamia to score 1.05 goals and Giannina to score 1.14 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.19 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is -0.09 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
09.710-12.94
14.222-32.05
23.734+5.75
34.55Ov 1.51.51
48.2Un 1.52.94
523.81Ov 2.52.54
6+100Un 2.51.64
Gg2.16Ov 3.55.75
NoG1.85Un 3.51.21
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.543.33.3
2-3 goals3.013.642.54
4+ goals4.143.222.23
Ov 1.53.253.522.45
Un 1.52.543.33.3
Ov 2.52.97.31.93
Un 2.53.012.573.6
Ov 3.54.143.222.23
Un 3.52.83.492.81
Goal-Goal4.22.462.82
No Goal2.375.242.58
G-G+Ov 2.52.986.072
NG+Un 2.52.355.242.8

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