
Greece
In this article we will analyse the following games:
(with blue color are the value bets as estimated by the optimal equations method).
According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Draw, Away, Under (2.42 %, 2.96 %, 8.12 %) so let's further analyze the game.
The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Volos NFC and the red line for guest team, Panetolikos.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Volos NFC to score 1.48 goals and Panetolikos to score 0.89 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.37 goals in the game and the home team Volos NFC to win by 0.59 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Volos NFC to score 1.14 goals and Panetolikos to score 0.95 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.09 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.19 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios?
The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number!
Use it and get great odds for your choices!
According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Draw, Under (19.76 %, 5.59 %, 10.3 %) so let's further analyze the game.
The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, OFI Crete and the red line for guest team, Olympiakos.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) OFI Crete to score 0.64 goals and Olympiakos to score 1.91 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.54 goals in the game and the guest team Olympiakos to win by 1.27 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) OFI Crete to score 1.04 goals and Olympiakos to score 1.08 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.12 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is -0.04 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios?
The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number!
Use it and get great odds for your choices!
According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home (0.78 %) so let's further analyze the game.
The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Atromitos and the red line for guest team, Apollon.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Atromitos to score 1.32 goals and Apollon to score 0.84 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.16 goals in the game and the home team Atromitos to win by 0.48 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Atromitos to score 1.31 goals and Apollon to score 0.82 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.13 goals in the game and the home team Atromitos to win by 0.49 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios?
The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number!
Use it and get great odds for your choices!
According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Draw, Under (16.68 %, 5.64 %, 7.2 %) so let's further analyze the game.
The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Ionikos and the red line for guest team, PAOK.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Ionikos to score 0.64 goals and PAOK to score 1.74 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.38 goals in the game and the guest team PAOK to win by 1.1 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Ionikos to score 1.01 goals and PAOK to score 1.09 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.1 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is -0.08 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios?
The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number!
Use it and get great odds for your choices!
According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Under (2.29 %) so let's further analyze the game.
The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, AEK and the red line for guest team, Panathinaikos.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) AEK to score 1.42 goals and Panathinaikos to score 0.83 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.25 goals in the game and the home team AEK to win by 0.59 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) AEK to score 1.32 goals and Panathinaikos to score 0.86 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.18 goals in the game and the home team AEK to win by 0.46 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios?
The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number!
Use it and get great odds for your choices!
According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Away (1.51 %) so let's further analyze the game.
The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Aris and the red line for guest team, Asteras Tripolis.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Aris to score 1.45 goals and Asteras Tripolis to score 0.71 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.16 goals in the game and the home team Aris to win by 0.74 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Aris to score 1.4 goals and Asteras Tripolis to score 0.93 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.33 goals in the game and the home team Aris to win by 0.47 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios?
The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number!
Use it and get great odds for your choices!
According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Away, Over (1.46 %, 1.9 %) so let's further analyze the game.
The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Lamia and the red line for guest team, Giannina.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Lamia to score 1.02 goals and Giannina to score 1 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.02 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.02 on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Lamia to score 1.05 goals and Giannina to score 1.14 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.19 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is -0.09 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios?
The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number!
Use it and get great odds for your choices!
Teams | Date | Home | Draw | Away | Over | Under |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Volos NFC - Panetolikos | 04-Dec | 1.94 | 3.48 | 3.98 | 2.09 | 1.76 |
OFI Crete - Olympiakos | 04-Dec | 6.63 | 4.29 | 1.47 | 1.92 | 1.93 |
Atromitos - Apollon | 04-Dec | 1.98 | 3.24 | 3.82 | 2.34 | 1.57 |
Ionikos - PAOK | 05-Dec | 6.25 | 4.04 | 1.53 | 2.08 | 1.77 |
AEK - Panathinaikos | 05-Dec | 1.88 | 3.4 | 4.04 | 2.24 | 1.65 |
Aris - Asteras Tripolis | 05-Dec | 1.73 | 3.48 | 4.76 | 2.35 | 1.58 |
Lamia - Giannina | 06-Dec | 2.71 | 3.02 | 2.8 | 2.68 | 1.51 |
Click here to view the mathematical predictions for today!
Volos NFC vs Panetolikos at 04 Dec 2021
In this article I will analyze the game between Volos NFC and Panetolikos for Super League (Greece).Odds | Home | Draw | Away | Over | Under |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Book | 1.94 | 3.48 | 3.98 | 2.09 | 1.76 |
Ours | 2.46 | 3.21 | 3.56 | 2.84 | 1.54 |
Value % | -10.9 | 2.42 | 2.96 | -12.64 | 8.12 |
According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Draw, Away, Under (2.42 %, 2.96 %, 8.12 %) so let's further analyze the game.
Basic Data and latest results
Volos NFC
Gms | Ws | Ds | Ls | Pt% | Sc | Con | Ov | Un |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
Last 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
At Home | 3 | 0 | 3 | 50 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 1 |
Date | Versus | At | Sc | Con | Res | OU | Gg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 Nov | Olympiakos | A | 1 | 2 | L | O | Gg |
20 Nov | OFI Crete | H | 0 | 2 | L | U | Ng |
07 Nov | Aris | H | 1 | 2 | L | O | Gg |
01 Nov | Ionikos | A | 1 | 1 | D | U | Gg |
24 Oct | AEK | H | 1 | 3 | L | O | Gg |
17 Oct | PAOK | A | 4 | 4 | D | O | Gg |
02 Oct | Asteras Tripolis | H | 2 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
26 Sep | Panathinaikos | A | 1 | 5 | L | O | Gg |
Panetolikos
Gms | Ws | Ds | Ls | Pt% | Sc | Con | Ov | Un |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
Last 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
At Away | 1 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
Date | Versus | At | Sc | Con | Res | OU | Gg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 Nov | Panathinaikos | A | 0 | 2 | L | U | Ng |
21 Nov | Apollon | H | 1 | 0 | W | U | Ng |
06 Nov | Giannina | A | 0 | 3 | L | O | Ng |
30 Oct | Olympiakos | H | 1 | 2 | L | O | Gg |
24 Oct | Aris | A | 1 | 5 | L | O | Gg |
17 Oct | OFI Crete | H | 1 | 2 | L | O | Gg |
03 Oct | AEK | H | 1 | 3 | L | O | Gg |
26 Sep | Lamia | A | 2 | 2 | D | O | Gg |
Desicive Betting factors
Factors | Volos NFC | Panetolikos |
---|---|---|
Form Score | -0.825 | -0.63 |
Home/Away form | -0.286 | -0.422 |
Off ability | 0.474 | 0.13 |
Def ability | -1 | -0.63 |
Optimal equations estimations
The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:Team | No-G | 1 gl | 2 gls | 3+ gls |
---|---|---|---|---|
Volos NFC | 11% | 70% | 13% | 6% |
Panetolikos | 37% | 33% | 28% | 2% |
The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Volos NFC and the red line for guest team, Panetolikos.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.
According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Volos NFC to score 1.48 goals and Panetolikos to score 0.89 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.37 goals in the game and the home team Volos NFC to win by 0.59 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Volos NFC to score 1.14 goals and Panetolikos to score 0.95 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.09 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.19 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
Goals | Odds | Goals | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 25 | 0-1 | 2.99 |
1 | 3.39 | 2-3 | 1.75 |
2 | 3.21 | 4+ | 10.99 |
3 | 3.83 | Ov 1.5 | 1.51 |
4 | 14.08 | Un 1.5 | 2.99 |
5 | 52.63 | Ov 2.5 | 2.84 |
6+ | 1000 | Un 2.5 | 1.55 |
Gg | 1.78 | Ov 3.5 | 10.99 |
NoG | 2.29 | Un 3.5 | 1.1 |
If game ends with | -1- | -X- | -2- |
---|---|---|---|
0-1 goals | 1.29 | 8.38 | 9.31 |
2-3 goals | 5.12 | 2.44 | 2.54 |
4+ goals | 2.53 | 2.53 | 4.79 |
Ov 1.5 | 4.49 | 2.45 | 2.71 |
Un 1.5 | 1.29 | 8.38 | 9.31 |
Ov 2.5 | 3.49 | 9.78 | 1.64 |
Un 2.5 | 2.11 | 2.35 | 9.8 |
Ov 3.5 | 2.53 | 2.53 | 4.79 |
Un 3.5 | 2.45 | 3.3 | 3.47 |
Goal-Goal | 7.13 | 2.08 | 2.64 |
No Goal | 1.33 | 10.9 | 6.41 |
G-G+Ov 2.5 | 4.15 | 9.11 | 1.54 |
NG+Un 2.5 | 1.35 | 10.9 | 6.24 |
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OFI Crete vs Olympiakos at 04 Dec 2021
In this article I will analyze the game between OFI Crete and Olympiakos for Super League (Greece).Odds | Home | Draw | Away | Over | Under |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Book | 6.63 | 4.29 | 1.47 | 1.92 | 1.93 |
Ours | 2.87 | 3.46 | 2.75 | 2.63 | 1.61 |
Value % | 19.76 | 5.59 | -31.66 | -14.06 | 10.3 |
According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Draw, Under (19.76 %, 5.59 %, 10.3 %) so let's further analyze the game.
Basic Data and latest results
OFI Crete
Gms | Ws | Ds | Ls | Pt% | Sc | Con | Ov | Un |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 78 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Last 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
At Home | 2 | 3 | 1 | 50 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Date | Versus | At | Sc | Con | Res | OU | Gg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 Nov | Ionikos | H | 2 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
20 Nov | Volos NFC | A | 2 | 0 | W | U | Ng |
06 Nov | Atromitos | H | 2 | 0 | W | U | Ng |
31 Oct | Panathinaikos | A | 0 | 0 | D | U | Ng |
24 Oct | Lamia | H | 0 | 0 | D | U | Ng |
17 Oct | Panetolikos | A | 2 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
03 Oct | PAOK | H | 1 | 3 | L | O | Gg |
27 Sep | Giannina | A | 1 | 1 | D | U | Gg |
Olympiakos
Gms | Ws | Ds | Ls | Pt% | Sc | Con | Ov | Un |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 1 |
Last 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
At Away | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
Date | Versus | At | Sc | Con | Res | OU | Gg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 Nov | Volos NFC | H | 2 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
21 Nov | AEK | A | 3 | 2 | W | O | Gg |
07 Nov | Ionikos | H | 1 | 0 | W | U | Ng |
30 Oct | Panetolikos | A | 2 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
24 Oct | PAOK | H | 2 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
17 Oct | Giannina | A | 2 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
03 Oct | Panathinaikos | H | 0 | 0 | D | U | Ng |
26 Sep | Asteras Tripolis | A | 2 | 0 | W | U | Ng |
Desicive Betting factors
Factors | OFI Crete | Olympiakos |
---|---|---|
Form Score | 0.667 | 1 |
Home/Away form | 0.087 | 1 |
Off ability | 0.126 | 1 |
Def ability | 0.565 | -0.652 |
Optimal equations estimations
The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:Team | No-G | 1 gl | 2 gls | 3+ gls |
---|---|---|---|---|
OFI Crete | 32% | 39% | 21% | 8% |
Olympiakos | 36% | 27% | 28% | 9% |
The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, OFI Crete and the red line for guest team, Olympiakos.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.
According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) OFI Crete to score 0.64 goals and Olympiakos to score 1.91 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.54 goals in the game and the guest team Olympiakos to win by 1.27 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) OFI Crete to score 1.04 goals and Olympiakos to score 1.08 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.12 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is -0.04 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
Goals | Odds | Goals | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 8.55 | 0-1 | 2.87 |
1 | 4.33 | 2-3 | 2.02 |
2 | 3.68 | 4+ | 6.29 |
3 | 4.5 | Ov 1.5 | 1.53 |
4 | 8.93 | Un 1.5 | 2.87 |
5 | 25 | Ov 2.5 | 2.62 |
6+ | 142.86 | Un 2.5 | 1.61 |
Gg | 2.31 | Ov 3.5 | 6.29 |
NoG | 1.76 | Un 3.5 | 1.19 |
If game ends with | -1- | -X- | -2- |
---|---|---|---|
0-1 goals | 2.43 | 2.97 | 3.95 |
2-3 goals | 3.05 | 4.57 | 2.21 |
4+ goals | 3.7 | 2.48 | 3.06 |
Ov 1.5 | 3.19 | 3.8 | 2.37 |
Un 1.5 | 2.43 | 2.97 | 3.95 |
Ov 2.5 | 2.95 | 5.95 | 2.03 |
Un 2.5 | 2.83 | 2.76 | 3.52 |
Ov 3.5 | 3.7 | 2.48 | 3.06 |
Un 3.5 | 2.76 | 3.74 | 2.7 |
Goal-Goal | 4.32 | 2.51 | 2.7 |
No Goal | 2.29 | 4.86 | 2.79 |
G-G+Ov 2.5 | 3.24 | 5.06 | 2.03 |
NG+Un 2.5 | 2.34 | 4.86 | 2.91 |
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Atromitos vs Apollon at 04 Dec 2021
In this article I will analyze the game between Atromitos and Apollon for Super League (Greece).Odds | Home | Draw | Away | Over | Under |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Book | 1.98 | 3.24 | 3.82 | 2.34 | 1.57 |
Ours | 1.95 | 3.61 | 4.74 | 2.74 | 1.57 |
Value % | 0.78 | -3.16 | -5.08 | -6.24 | 0 |
According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home (0.78 %) so let's further analyze the game.
Basic Data and latest results
Atromitos
Gms | Ws | Ds | Ls | Pt% | Sc | Con | Ov | Un |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Last 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
At Home | 1 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Date | Versus | At | Sc | Con | Res | OU | Gg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 Nov | Asteras Tripolis | A | 2 | 6 | L | O | Gg |
21 Nov | PAOK | H | 2 | 0 | W | U | Ng |
06 Nov | OFI Crete | A | 0 | 2 | L | U | Ng |
31 Oct | Lamia | A | 2 | 2 | D | O | Gg |
23 Oct | Ionikos | H | 0 | 2 | L | U | Ng |
17 Oct | AEK | A | 0 | 3 | L | O | Ng |
03 Oct | Giannina | H | 1 | 1 | D | U | Gg |
27 Sep | Aris | H | 1 | 3 | L | O | Gg |
Apollon
Gms | Ws | Ds | Ls | Pt% | Sc | Con | Ov | Un |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Last 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
At Away | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Date | Versus | At | Sc | Con | Res | OU | Gg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 Nov | Lamia | H | 0 | 0 | D | U | Ng |
21 Nov | Panetolikos | A | 0 | 1 | L | U | Ng |
06 Nov | AEK | H | 2 | 2 | D | O | Gg |
30 Oct | PAOK | A | 1 | 4 | L | O | Gg |
23 Oct | Giannina | H | 1 | 0 | W | U | Ng |
16 Oct | Asteras Tripolis | H | 0 | 1 | L | U | Ng |
02 Oct | Aris | A | 0 | 0 | D | U | Ng |
27 Sep | Ionikos | H | 0 | 0 | D | U | Ng |
Desicive Betting factors
Factors | Atromitos | Apollon |
---|---|---|
Form Score | -0.571 | -0.333 |
Home/Away form | -0.527 | -0.733 |
Off ability | -0.295 | -0.217 |
Def ability | -0.565 | -0.311 |
Optimal equations estimations
The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:Team | No-G | 1 gl | 2 gls | 3+ gls |
---|---|---|---|---|
Atromitos | 19% | 43% | 27% | 12% |
Apollon | 45% | 33% | 16% | 6% |
The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Atromitos and the red line for guest team, Apollon.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.
According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Atromitos to score 1.32 goals and Apollon to score 0.84 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.16 goals in the game and the home team Atromitos to win by 0.48 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Atromitos to score 1.31 goals and Apollon to score 0.82 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.13 goals in the game and the home team Atromitos to win by 0.49 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
Goals | Odds | Goals | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 11.63 | 0-1 | 2.92 |
1 | 3.91 | 2-3 | 1.95 |
2 | 3.41 | 4+ | 6.9 |
3 | 4.52 | Ov 1.5 | 1.52 |
4 | 9.43 | Un 1.5 | 2.92 |
5 | 30.3 | Ov 2.5 | 2.73 |
6+ | 166.67 | Un 2.5 | 1.57 |
Gg | 2.25 | Ov 3.5 | 6.9 |
NoG | 1.8 | Un 3.5 | 1.17 |
If game ends with | -1- | -X- | -2- |
---|---|---|---|
0-1 goals | 1.78 | 3.98 | 5.34 |
2-3 goals | 1.95 | 3.62 | 4.72 |
4+ goals | 2.54 | 2.96 | 3.72 |
Ov 1.5 | 2.06 | 3.45 | 4.45 |
Un 1.5 | 1.78 | 3.98 | 5.34 |
Ov 2.5 | 1.84 | 7.47 | 3.1 |
Un 2.5 | 2.03 | 2.79 | 6.76 |
Ov 3.5 | 2.54 | 2.96 | 3.72 |
Un 3.5 | 1.88 | 3.75 | 4.95 |
Goal-Goal | 3.03 | 2.33 | 4.16 |
No Goal | 1.52 | 6.47 | 5.3 |
G-G+Ov 2.5 | 2.06 | 6.18 | 2.83 |
NG+Un 2.5 | 1.58 | 6.47 | 5.24 |
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Ionikos vs PAOK at 05 Dec 2021
In this article I will analyze the game between Ionikos and PAOK for Super League (Greece).Odds | Home | Draw | Away | Over | Under |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Book | 6.25 | 4.04 | 1.53 | 2.08 | 1.77 |
Ours | 3.06 | 3.29 | 2.71 | 2.76 | 1.57 |
Value % | 16.68 | 5.64 | -28.46 | -11.85 | 7.2 |
According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Draw, Under (16.68 %, 5.64 %, 7.2 %) so let's further analyze the game.
Basic Data and latest results
Ionikos
Gms | Ws | Ds | Ls | Pt% | Sc | Con | Ov | Un |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
Last 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
At Home | 1 | 3 | 1 | 40 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Date | Versus | At | Sc | Con | Res | OU | Gg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 Nov | OFI Crete | A | 1 | 2 | L | O | Gg |
20 Nov | Asteras Tripolis | H | 1 | 1 | D | U | Gg |
07 Nov | Olympiakos | A | 0 | 1 | L | U | Ng |
01 Nov | Volos NFC | H | 1 | 1 | D | U | Gg |
23 Oct | Atromitos | A | 2 | 0 | W | U | Ng |
16 Oct | Panathinaikos | A | 1 | 4 | L | O | Gg |
03 Oct | Lamia | H | 1 | 2 | L | O | Gg |
27 Sep | Apollon | A | 0 | 0 | D | U | Ng |
PAOK
Gms | Ws | Ds | Ls | Pt% | Sc | Con | Ov | Un |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
Last 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
At Away | 4 | 0 | 2 | 67 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
Date | Versus | At | Sc | Con | Res | OU | Gg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 Nov | Aris | H | 0 | 1 | L | U | Ng |
21 Nov | Atromitos | A | 0 | 2 | L | U | Ng |
07 Nov | Panathinaikos | A | 3 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
30 Oct | Apollon | H | 4 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
24 Oct | Olympiakos | A | 1 | 2 | L | O | Gg |
17 Oct | Volos NFC | H | 4 | 4 | D | O | Gg |
03 Oct | OFI Crete | A | 3 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
26 Sep | AEK | H | 2 | 0 | W | U | Ng |
Desicive Betting factors
Factors | Ionikos | PAOK |
---|---|---|
Form Score | -0.452 | -0.2 |
Home/Away form | -0.195 | 0.296 |
Off ability | 0.505 | 0.104 |
Def ability | -0.652 | -1 |
Optimal equations estimations
The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:Team | No-G | 1 gl | 2 gls | 3+ gls |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ionikos | 30% | 45% | 20% | 5% |
PAOK | 33% | 33% | 28% | 7% |
The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Ionikos and the red line for guest team, PAOK.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.
According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Ionikos to score 0.64 goals and PAOK to score 1.74 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.38 goals in the game and the guest team PAOK to win by 1.1 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Ionikos to score 1.01 goals and PAOK to score 1.09 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.1 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is -0.08 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
Goals | Odds | Goals | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 10.31 | 0-1 | 2.92 |
1 | 4.08 | 2-3 | 1.91 |
2 | 3.38 | 4+ | 7.52 |
3 | 4.39 | Ov 1.5 | 1.52 |
4 | 9.71 | Un 1.5 | 2.92 |
5 | 37.04 | Ov 2.5 | 2.77 |
6+ | 333.33 | Un 2.5 | 1.57 |
Gg | 2.12 | Ov 3.5 | 7.52 |
NoG | 1.9 | Un 3.5 | 1.15 |
If game ends with | -1- | -X- | -2- |
---|---|---|---|
0-1 goals | 2.33 | 3.53 | 3.49 |
2-3 goals | 3.54 | 3.54 | 2.3 |
4+ goals | 4.29 | 2.25 | 3.09 |
Ov 1.5 | 3.67 | 3.17 | 2.42 |
Un 1.5 | 2.33 | 3.53 | 3.49 |
Ov 2.5 | 3.17 | 6.12 | 1.92 |
Un 2.5 | 3.01 | 2.6 | 3.52 |
Ov 3.5 | 4.29 | 2.25 | 3.09 |
Un 3.5 | 2.94 | 3.53 | 2.66 |
Goal-Goal | 4.87 | 2.28 | 2.81 |
No Goal | 2.3 | 5.43 | 2.62 |
G-G+Ov 2.5 | 3.34 | 5.49 | 1.93 |
NG+Un 2.5 | 2.31 | 5.43 | 2.71 |
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AEK vs Panathinaikos at 05 Dec 2021
In this article I will analyze the game between AEK and Panathinaikos for Super League (Greece).Odds | Home | Draw | Away | Over | Under |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Book | 1.88 | 3.4 | 4.04 | 2.24 | 1.65 |
Ours | 1.97 | 3.44 | 4.95 | 2.69 | 1.59 |
Value % | -2.43 | -0.34 | -4.55 | -7.47 | 2.29 |
According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Under (2.29 %) so let's further analyze the game.
Basic Data and latest results
AEK
Gms | Ws | Ds | Ls | Pt% | Sc | Con | Ov | Un |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 72 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
Last 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 44 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
At Home | 4 | 0 | 1 | 80 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Date | Versus | At | Sc | Con | Res | OU | Gg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 Nov | Giannina | A | 2 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
21 Nov | Olympiakos | H | 2 | 3 | L | O | Gg |
06 Nov | Apollon | A | 2 | 2 | D | O | Gg |
31 Oct | Aris | H | 2 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
24 Oct | Volos NFC | A | 3 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
17 Oct | Atromitos | H | 3 | 0 | W | O | Ng |
03 Oct | Panetolikos | A | 3 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
26 Sep | PAOK | A | 0 | 2 | L | U | Ng |
Panathinaikos
Gms | Ws | Ds | Ls | Pt% | Sc | Con | Ov | Un |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 56 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Last 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 67 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
At Away | 1 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Date | Versus | At | Sc | Con | Res | OU | Gg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 Nov | Panetolikos | H | 2 | 0 | W | U | Ng |
22 Nov | Lamia | A | 3 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
07 Nov | PAOK | H | 1 | 3 | L | O | Gg |
31 Oct | OFI Crete | H | 0 | 0 | D | U | Ng |
23 Oct | Asteras Tripolis | A | 1 | 2 | L | O | Gg |
16 Oct | Ionikos | H | 4 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
03 Oct | Olympiakos | A | 0 | 0 | D | U | Ng |
26 Sep | Volos NFC | H | 5 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
Desicive Betting factors
Factors | AEK | Panathinaikos |
---|---|---|
Form Score | 0.421 | 0.2 |
Home/Away form | 0.419 | -0.289 |
Off ability | 1 | 0.626 |
Def ability | -0.678 | -0.281 |
Optimal equations estimations
The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:Team | No-G | 1 gl | 2 gls | 3+ gls |
---|---|---|---|---|
AEK | 10% | 52% | 32% | 5% |
Panathinaikos | 42% | 34% | 22% | 3% |
The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, AEK and the red line for guest team, Panathinaikos.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.
According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) AEK to score 1.42 goals and Panathinaikos to score 0.83 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.25 goals in the game and the home team AEK to win by 0.59 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) AEK to score 1.32 goals and Panathinaikos to score 0.86 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.18 goals in the game and the home team AEK to win by 0.46 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
Goals | Odds | Goals | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 22.73 | 0-1 | 3.37 |
1 | 3.95 | 2-3 | 1.73 |
2 | 3.02 | 4+ | 7.94 |
3 | 4.05 | Ov 1.5 | 1.42 |
4 | 9.71 | Un 1.5 | 3.37 |
5 | 47.62 | Ov 2.5 | 2.68 |
6+ | 500 | Un 2.5 | 1.59 |
Gg | 1.91 | Ov 3.5 | 7.94 |
NoG | 2.1 | Un 3.5 | 1.14 |
If game ends with | -1- | -X- | -2- |
---|---|---|---|
0-1 goals | 1.36 | 6.75 | 8.49 |
2-3 goals | 2.22 | 3.28 | 4.07 |
4+ goals | 4.2 | 1.75 | 5.25 |
Ov 1.5 | 2.43 | 2.84 | 4.24 |
Un 1.5 | 1.36 | 6.75 | 8.49 |
Ov 2.5 | 2.36 | 5.18 | 2.61 |
Un 2.5 | 1.79 | 2.85 | 10.83 |
Ov 3.5 | 4.2 | 1.75 | 5.25 |
Un 3.5 | 1.83 | 3.98 | 4.94 |
Goal-Goal | 3.85 | 2.11 | 3.74 |
No Goal | 1.28 | 10.84 | 7.82 |
G-G+Ov 2.5 | 2.56 | 4.83 | 2.49 |
NG+Un 2.5 | 1.29 | 10.84 | 7.79 |
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Aris vs Asteras Tripolis at 05 Dec 2021
In this article I will analyze the game between Aris and Asteras Tripolis for Super League (Greece).Odds | Home | Draw | Away | Over | Under |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Book | 1.73 | 3.48 | 4.76 | 2.35 | 1.58 |
Ours | 1.96 | 3.79 | 4.44 | 2.38 | 1.73 |
Value % | -6.78 | -2.35 | 1.51 | -0.54 | -5.49 |
According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Away (1.51 %) so let's further analyze the game.
Basic Data and latest results
Aris
Gms | Ws | Ds | Ls | Pt% | Sc | Con | Ov | Un |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 67 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Last 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 67 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
At Home | 2 | 2 | 1 | 53 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Date | Versus | At | Sc | Con | Res | OU | Gg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 Nov | PAOK | A | 1 | 0 | W | U | Ng |
20 Nov | Giannina | H | 0 | 5 | L | O | Ng |
07 Nov | Volos NFC | A | 2 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
31 Oct | AEK | A | 1 | 2 | L | O | Gg |
24 Oct | Panetolikos | H | 5 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
18 Oct | Lamia | A | 1 | 0 | W | U | Ng |
02 Oct | Apollon | H | 0 | 0 | D | U | Ng |
27 Sep | Atromitos | A | 3 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
Asteras Tripolis
Gms | Ws | Ds | Ls | Pt% | Sc | Con | Ov | Un |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 61 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
Last 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 44 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
At Away | 1 | 4 | 1 | 39 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
Date | Versus | At | Sc | Con | Res | OU | Gg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 Nov | Atromitos | H | 6 | 2 | W | O | Gg |
20 Nov | Ionikos | A | 1 | 1 | D | U | Gg |
07 Nov | Lamia | H | 0 | 1 | L | U | Ng |
31 Oct | Giannina | A | 1 | 1 | D | U | Gg |
23 Oct | Panathinaikos | H | 2 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
16 Oct | Apollon | A | 1 | 0 | W | U | Ng |
02 Oct | Volos NFC | A | 1 | 2 | L | O | Gg |
26 Sep | Olympiakos | H | 0 | 2 | L | U | Ng |
Desicive Betting factors
Factors | Aris | Asteras Tripolis |
---|---|---|
Form Score | 0.262 | 0.311 |
Home/Away form | 0.021 | 0.052 |
Off ability | 0.474 | 0.591 |
Def ability | -0.217 | -0.726 |
Optimal equations estimations
The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:Team | No-G | 1 gl | 2 gls | 3+ gls |
---|---|---|---|---|
Aris | 16% | 45% | 24% | 15% |
Asteras Tripolis | 42% | 33% | 13% | 11% |
The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Aris and the red line for guest team, Asteras Tripolis.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.
According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Aris to score 1.45 goals and Asteras Tripolis to score 0.71 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.16 goals in the game and the home team Aris to win by 0.74 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Aris to score 1.4 goals and Asteras Tripolis to score 0.93 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.33 goals in the game and the home team Aris to win by 0.47 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
Goals | Odds | Goals | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 15.15 | 0-1 | 3.26 |
1 | 4.15 | 2-3 | 2.01 |
2 | 3.66 | 4+ | 5.03 |
3 | 4.46 | Ov 1.5 | 1.44 |
4 | 7.46 | Un 1.5 | 3.26 |
5 | 20.83 | Ov 2.5 | 2.36 |
6+ | 58.82 | Un 2.5 | 1.72 |
Gg | 2.04 | Ov 3.5 | 5.03 |
NoG | 1.95 | Un 3.5 | 1.24 |
If game ends with | -1- | -X- | -2- |
---|---|---|---|
0-1 goals | 1.62 | 4.65 | 5.9 |
2-3 goals | 1.99 | 3.34 | 5.07 |
4+ goals | 2.73 | 3.98 | 2.62 |
Ov 1.5 | 2.15 | 3.5 | 4 |
Un 1.5 | 1.62 | 4.65 | 5.9 |
Ov 2.5 | 1.92 | 8.46 | 2.76 |
Un 2.5 | 1.99 | 2.7 | 7.95 |
Ov 3.5 | 2.73 | 3.98 | 2.62 |
Un 3.5 | 1.83 | 3.74 | 5.36 |
Goal-Goal | 3.16 | 2.46 | 3.6 |
No Goal | 1.44 | 7.77 | 5.7 |
G-G+Ov 2.5 | 2.2 | 6.82 | 2.51 |
NG+Un 2.5 | 1.48 | 7.77 | 5.9 |
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Lamia vs Giannina at 06 Dec 2021
In this article I will analyze the game between Lamia and Giannina for Super League (Greece).Odds | Home | Draw | Away | Over | Under |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Book | 2.71 | 3.02 | 2.8 | 2.68 | 1.51 |
Ours | 2.97 | 3.45 | 2.69 | 2.55 | 1.64 |
Value % | -3.23 | -4.13 | 1.46 | 1.9 | -5.25 |
According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Away, Over (1.46 %, 1.9 %) so let's further analyze the game.
Basic Data and latest results
Lamia
Gms | Ws | Ds | Ls | Pt% | Sc | Con | Ov | Un |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Last 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 44 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
At Home | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
Date | Versus | At | Sc | Con | Res | OU | Gg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 Nov | Apollon | A | 0 | 0 | D | U | Ng |
22 Nov | Panathinaikos | H | 1 | 3 | L | O | Gg |
07 Nov | Asteras Tripolis | A | 1 | 0 | W | U | Ng |
31 Oct | Atromitos | H | 2 | 2 | D | O | Gg |
24 Oct | OFI Crete | A | 0 | 0 | D | U | Ng |
18 Oct | Aris | H | 0 | 1 | L | U | Ng |
03 Oct | Ionikos | A | 2 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
26 Sep | Panetolikos | H | 2 | 2 | D | O | Gg |
Giannina
Gms | Ws | Ds | Ls | Pt% | Sc | Con | Ov | Un |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Last 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 67 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
At Away | 2 | 2 | 1 | 53 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Date | Versus | At | Sc | Con | Res | OU | Gg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 Nov | AEK | H | 1 | 2 | L | O | Gg |
20 Nov | Aris | A | 5 | 0 | W | O | Ng |
06 Nov | Panetolikos | H | 3 | 0 | W | O | Ng |
31 Oct | Asteras Tripolis | H | 1 | 1 | D | U | Gg |
23 Oct | Apollon | A | 0 | 1 | L | U | Ng |
17 Oct | Olympiakos | H | 1 | 2 | L | O | Gg |
03 Oct | Atromitos | A | 1 | 1 | D | U | Gg |
27 Sep | OFI Crete | H | 1 | 1 | D | U | Gg |
Desicive Betting factors
Factors | Lamia | Giannina |
---|---|---|
Form Score | -0.23 | -0.126 |
Home/Away form | -0.809 | 0.215 |
Off ability | -0.368 | 0.652 |
Def ability | 0.217 | -0.281 |
Optimal equations estimations
The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:Team | No-G | 1 gl | 2 gls | 3+ gls |
---|---|---|---|---|
Lamia | 31% | 40% | 21% | 8% |
Giannina | 33% | 33% | 21% | 13% |
The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Lamia and the red line for guest team, Giannina.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.
According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Lamia to score 1.02 goals and Giannina to score 1 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.02 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.02 on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Lamia to score 1.05 goals and Giannina to score 1.14 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.19 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is -0.09 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
Goals | Odds | Goals | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 9.71 | 0-1 | 2.94 |
1 | 4.22 | 2-3 | 2.05 |
2 | 3.73 | 4+ | 5.75 |
3 | 4.55 | Ov 1.5 | 1.51 |
4 | 8.2 | Un 1.5 | 2.94 |
5 | 23.81 | Ov 2.5 | 2.54 |
6+ | 100 | Un 2.5 | 1.64 |
Gg | 2.16 | Ov 3.5 | 5.75 |
NoG | 1.85 | Un 3.5 | 1.21 |
If game ends with | -1- | -X- | -2- |
---|---|---|---|
0-1 goals | 2.54 | 3.3 | 3.3 |
2-3 goals | 3.01 | 3.64 | 2.54 |
4+ goals | 4.14 | 3.22 | 2.23 |
Ov 1.5 | 3.25 | 3.52 | 2.45 |
Un 1.5 | 2.54 | 3.3 | 3.3 |
Ov 2.5 | 2.9 | 7.3 | 1.93 |
Un 2.5 | 3.01 | 2.57 | 3.6 |
Ov 3.5 | 4.14 | 3.22 | 2.23 |
Un 3.5 | 2.8 | 3.49 | 2.81 |
Goal-Goal | 4.2 | 2.46 | 2.82 |
No Goal | 2.37 | 5.24 | 2.58 |
G-G+Ov 2.5 | 2.98 | 6.07 | 2 |
NG+Un 2.5 | 2.35 | 5.24 | 2.8 |