
Netherlands
In this article we will analyse the following games:
(with blue color are the value bets as estimated by the optimal equations method).
According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Over (7.34 %, 16.71 %) so let's further analyze the game.
The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Groningen and the red line for guest team, Zwolle.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Groningen to score 1.57 goals and Zwolle to score 0.8 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.37 goals in the game and the home team Groningen to win by 0.77 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Groningen to score 1.99 goals and Zwolle to score 1.03 goals. So, we expect a total of 3.02 goals in the game and the home team Groningen to win by 0.96 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios?
The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number!
Use it and get great odds for your choices!
According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home (11.84 %) so let's further analyze the game.
The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Cambuur and the red line for guest team, Vitesse.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Cambuur to score 1.22 goals and Vitesse to score 1.55 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.76 goals in the game and the guest team Vitesse to win by 0.33 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Cambuur to score 1.5 goals and Vitesse to score 1.2 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.7 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.3 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios?
The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number!
Use it and get great odds for your choices!
According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Away, Over (4.22 %, 8.76 %) so let's further analyze the game.
The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Heracles and the red line for guest team, Heerenveen.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Heracles to score 1.58 goals and Heerenveen to score 1.11 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.7 goals in the game and the home team Heracles to win by 0.47 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Heracles to score 1.6 goals and Heerenveen to score 1.49 goals. So, we expect a total of 3.09 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.11 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios?
The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number!
Use it and get great odds for your choices!
According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Draw, Away, Under (3.92 %, 12.28 %, 7.6 %) so let's further analyze the game.
The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, PSV Eindhoven and the red line for guest team, Utrecht.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) PSV Eindhoven to score 2.23 goals and Utrecht to score 0.91 goals. So, they expect a total of 3.14 goals in the game and the home team PSV Eindhoven to win by 1.32 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) PSV Eindhoven to score 1.45 goals and Utrecht to score 1.24 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.69 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.21 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios?
The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number!
Use it and get great odds for your choices!
According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Draw, Away, Under (7.18 %, 8.87 %, 12.34 %) so let's further analyze the game.
The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Feyenoord and the red line for guest team, For Sittard.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Feyenoord to score 2.84 goals and For Sittard to score 0.45 goals. So, they expect a total of 3.3 goals in the game and the home team Feyenoord to win by 2.39 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Feyenoord to score 1.72 goals and For Sittard to score 0.81 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.53 goals in the game and the home team Feyenoord to win by 0.91 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios?
The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number!
Use it and get great odds for your choices!
According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Over (7.31 %, 7.04 %) so let's further analyze the game.
The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Go Ahead Eagles and the red line for guest team, Twente.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Go Ahead Eagles to score 1.15 goals and Twente to score 1.35 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.5 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is -0.2 on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Go Ahead Eagles to score 1.5 goals and Twente to score 1.33 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.83 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.17 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios?
The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number!
Use it and get great odds for your choices!
According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Over (7.08 %, 7.7 %) so let's further analyze the game.
The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Waalwijk and the red line for guest team, Nijmegen.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Waalwijk to score 1.23 goals and Nijmegen to score 1.35 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.58 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is -0.12 on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Waalwijk to score 1.56 goals and Nijmegen to score 1.35 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.91 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.21 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios?
The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number!
Use it and get great odds for your choices!
Teams | Date | Home | Draw | Away | Over | Under |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Groningen - Zwolle | 03-Dec | 1.8 | 3.59 | 4.67 | 2.11 | 1.78 |
Cambuur - Vitesse | 04-Dec | 3.03 | 3.6 | 2.18 | 1.73 | 2.14 |
Heracles - Heerenveen | 04-Dec | 2.06 | 3.53 | 3.33 | 1.78 | 2.07 |
PSV Eindhoven - Utrecht | 04-Dec | 1.58 | 4.41 | 5.19 | 1.51 | 2.57 |
Feyenoord - For Sittard | 05-Dec | 1.21 | 6.89 | 14.02 | 1.44 | 2.78 |
Go Ahead Eagles - Twente | 05-Dec | 2.94 | 3.43 | 2.37 | 1.97 | 1.89 |
Waalwijk - Nijmegen | 05-Dec | 2.79 | 3.46 | 2.46 | 1.89 | 1.96 |
Click here to view the mathematical predictions for today!
Groningen vs Zwolle at 03 Dec 2021
In this article I will analyze the game between Groningen and Zwolle for Eredivisie (Holland).Odds | Home | Draw | Away | Over | Under |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Book | 1.8 | 3.59 | 4.67 | 2.11 | 1.78 |
Ours | 1.59 | 4.83 | 6.13 | 1.56 | 2.79 |
Value % | 7.34 | -7.15 | -5.1 | 16.71 | -20.34 |
According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Over (7.34 %, 16.71 %) so let's further analyze the game.
Basic Data and latest results
Groningen
Gms | Ws | Ds | Ls | Pt% | Sc | Con | Ov | Un |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 61 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Last 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 78 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
At Home | 1 | 4 | 1 | 39 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
Date | Versus | At | Sc | Con | Res | OU | Gg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 Nov | For Sittard | A | 4 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
21 Nov | Go Ahead Eagles | A | 1 | 0 | W | U | Ng |
07 Nov | Waalwijk | H | 1 | 1 | D | U | Gg |
31 Oct | Nijmegen | A | 0 | 3 | L | O | Ng |
24 Oct | AZ Alkmaar | H | 2 | 0 | W | U | Ng |
17 Oct | Sparta Rotterdam | A | 1 | 1 | D | U | Gg |
01 Oct | Twente | H | 1 | 1 | D | U | Gg |
25 Sep | Ajax | A | 0 | 3 | L | O | Ng |
Zwolle
Gms | Ws | Ds | Ls | Pt% | Sc | Con | Ov | Un |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Last 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
At Away | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 |
Date | Versus | At | Sc | Con | Res | OU | Gg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 Nov | Waalwijk | H | 0 | 0 | D | U | Ng |
21 Nov | Feyenoord | A | 0 | 4 | L | O | Ng |
06 Nov | Cambuur | H | 1 | 2 | L | O | Gg |
30 Oct | AZ Alkmaar | A | 2 | 3 | L | O | Gg |
23 Oct | Heracles | H | 1 | 0 | W | U | Ng |
16 Oct | PSV Eindhoven | A | 1 | 3 | L | O | Gg |
02 Oct | Heerenveen | H | 0 | 1 | L | U | Ng |
25 Sep | Utrecht | A | 1 | 5 | L | O | Gg |
Desicive Betting factors
Factors | Groningen | Zwolle |
---|---|---|
Form Score | 0.325 | -0.504 |
Home/Away form | -0.137 | -1 |
Off ability | 0.547 | 0.104 |
Def ability | -0.217 | -0.311 |
Optimal equations estimations
The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:Team | No-G | 1 gl | 2 gls | 3+ gls |
---|---|---|---|---|
Groningen | 12% | 14% | 37% | 37% |
Zwolle | 44% | 23% | 20% | 13% |
The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Groningen and the red line for guest team, Zwolle.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.
According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Groningen to score 1.57 goals and Zwolle to score 0.8 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.37 goals in the game and the home team Groningen to win by 0.77 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Groningen to score 1.99 goals and Zwolle to score 1.03 goals. So, we expect a total of 3.02 goals in the game and the home team Groningen to win by 0.96 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
Goals | Odds | Goals | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 19.61 | 0-1 | 7.14 |
1 | 11.24 | 2-3 | 1.96 |
2 | 4.57 | 4+ | 2.85 |
3 | 3.45 | Ov 1.5 | 1.16 |
4 | 5.62 | Un 1.5 | 7.14 |
5 | 8.06 | Ov 2.5 | 1.56 |
6+ | 20.41 | Un 2.5 | 2.79 |
Gg | 2.01 | Ov 3.5 | 2.85 |
NoG | 1.99 | Un 3.5 | 1.54 |
If game ends with | -1- | -X- | -2- |
---|---|---|---|
0-1 goals | 2.22 | 2.75 | 5.38 |
2-3 goals | 1.24 | 15.42 | 7.6 |
4+ goals | 2.22 | 2.83 | 5.09 |
Ov 1.5 | 1.52 | 5.48 | 6.32 |
Un 1.5 | 2.22 | 2.75 | 5.38 |
Ov 2.5 | 1.59 | 5.17 | 5.67 |
Un 2.5 | 1.59 | 4.27 | 7.33 |
Ov 3.5 | 2.22 | 2.83 | 5.09 |
Un 3.5 | 1.38 | 7.73 | 6.98 |
Goal-Goal | 2.05 | 3.17 | 5.08 |
No Goal | 1.3 | 9.84 | 7.84 |
G-G+Ov 2.5 | 1.91 | 3.75 | 4.74 |
NG+Un 2.5 | 1.44 | 9.84 | 6.65 |
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Cambuur vs Vitesse at 04 Dec 2021
In this article I will analyze the game between Cambuur and Vitesse for Eredivisie (Holland).Odds | Home | Draw | Away | Over | Under |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Book | 3.03 | 3.6 | 2.18 | 1.73 | 2.14 |
Ours | 2.23 | 3.89 | 3.39 | 1.83 | 2.2 |
Value % | 11.84 | -2.07 | -16.37 | -3.16 | -1.27 |
According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home (11.84 %) so let's further analyze the game.
Basic Data and latest results
Cambuur
Gms | Ws | Ds | Ls | Pt% | Sc | Con | Ov | Un |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 67 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
Last 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
At Home | 4 | 0 | 3 | 57 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 1 |
Date | Versus | At | Sc | Con | Res | OU | Gg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 Nov | Nijmegen | A | 3 | 2 | W | O | Gg |
21 Nov | Utrecht | H | 2 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
06 Nov | Zwolle | A | 2 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
31 Oct | Waalwijk | A | 1 | 0 | W | U | Ng |
24 Oct | Feyenoord | H | 2 | 3 | L | O | Gg |
16 Oct | For Sittard | A | 0 | 1 | L | U | Ng |
03 Oct | AZ Alkmaar | H | 1 | 3 | L | O | Gg |
26 Sep | Sparta Rotterdam | A | 4 | 0 | W | O | Ng |
Vitesse
Gms | Ws | Ds | Ls | Pt% | Sc | Con | Ov | Un |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 56 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Last 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 44 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
At Away | 5 | 0 | 2 | 71 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Date | Versus | At | Sc | Con | Res | OU | Gg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 Nov | AZ Alkmaar | H | 0 | 0 | D | U | Ng |
20 Nov | PSV Eindhoven | A | 0 | 2 | L | U | Ng |
07 Nov | Utrecht | H | 2 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
30 Oct | Heerenveen | A | 2 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
24 Oct | Go Ahead Eagles | H | 1 | 2 | L | O | Gg |
17 Oct | Nijmegen | A | 1 | 0 | W | U | Ng |
03 Oct | Feyenoord | H | 2 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
25 Sep | For Sittard | H | 1 | 1 | D | U | Gg |
Desicive Betting factors
Factors | Cambuur | Vitesse |
---|---|---|
Form Score | 0.389 | 0.133 |
Home/Away form | 0.004 | 0.459 |
Off ability | 0.611 | 0.104 |
Def ability | -0.626 | -0.333 |
Optimal equations estimations
The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:Team | No-G | 1 gl | 2 gls | 3+ gls |
---|---|---|---|---|
Cambuur | 22% | 29% | 25% | 23% |
Vitesse | 27% | 40% | 20% | 13% |
The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Cambuur and the red line for guest team, Vitesse.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.
According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Cambuur to score 1.22 goals and Vitesse to score 1.55 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.76 goals in the game and the guest team Vitesse to win by 0.33 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Cambuur to score 1.5 goals and Vitesse to score 1.2 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.7 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.3 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
Goals | Odds | Goals | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 16.39 | 0-1 | 4.39 |
1 | 5.99 | 2-3 | 2.09 |
2 | 4.41 | 4+ | 3.4 |
3 | 3.98 | Ov 1.5 | 1.3 |
4 | 5.49 | Un 1.5 | 4.39 |
5 | 12.35 | Ov 2.5 | 1.83 |
6+ | 32.26 | Un 2.5 | 2.2 |
Gg | 1.77 | Ov 3.5 | 3.4 |
NoG | 2.3 | Un 3.5 | 1.42 |
If game ends with | -1- | -X- | -2- |
---|---|---|---|
0-1 goals | 2.92 | 3.74 | 2.56 |
2-3 goals | 2.07 | 4.19 | 3.59 |
4+ goals | 2.12 | 3.59 | 4.03 |
Ov 1.5 | 2.09 | 3.94 | 3.75 |
Un 1.5 | 2.92 | 3.74 | 2.56 |
Ov 2.5 | 1.8 | 6.65 | 3.39 |
Un 2.5 | 3.12 | 2.6 | 3.4 |
Ov 3.5 | 2.12 | 3.59 | 4.03 |
Un 3.5 | 2.28 | 4.03 | 3.18 |
Goal-Goal | 2.37 | 2.89 | 4.32 |
No Goal | 2.08 | 7.11 | 2.65 |
G-G+Ov 2.5 | 1.89 | 5.51 | 3.45 |
NG+Un 2.5 | 2.34 | 7.11 | 2.54 |
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Heracles vs Heerenveen at 04 Dec 2021
In this article I will analyze the game between Heracles and Heerenveen for Eredivisie (Holland).Odds | Home | Draw | Away | Over | Under |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Book | 2.06 | 3.53 | 3.33 | 1.78 | 2.07 |
Ours | 2.48 | 3.97 | 2.92 | 1.54 | 2.84 |
Value % | -8.22 | -3.14 | 4.22 | 8.76 | -13.1 |
According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Away, Over (4.22 %, 8.76 %) so let's further analyze the game.
Basic Data and latest results
Heracles
Gms | Ws | Ds | Ls | Pt% | Sc | Con | Ov | Un |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
Last 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
At Home | 4 | 1 | 2 | 62 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Date | Versus | At | Sc | Con | Res | OU | Gg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01 Dec | Feyenoord | A | 1 | 2 | L | O | Gg |
28 Nov | Utrecht | A | 0 | 1 | L | U | Ng |
20 Nov | For Sittard | H | 3 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
05 Nov | Twente | A | 0 | 1 | L | U | Ng |
30 Oct | Ajax | H | 0 | 0 | D | U | Ng |
23 Oct | Zwolle | A | 0 | 1 | L | U | Ng |
16 Oct | Go Ahead Eagles | A | 2 | 4 | L | O | Gg |
02 Oct | Willem II | H | 3 | 2 | W | O | Gg |
Heerenveen
Gms | Ws | Ds | Ls | Pt% | Sc | Con | Ov | Un |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
Last 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 56 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
At Away | 2 | 2 | 2 | 44 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Date | Versus | At | Sc | Con | Res | OU | Gg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 Nov | PSV Eindhoven | H | 1 | 1 | D | U | Gg |
21 Nov | Willem II | H | 2 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
06 Nov | Nijmegen | A | 1 | 1 | D | U | Gg |
30 Oct | Vitesse | H | 1 | 2 | L | O | Gg |
23 Oct | Utrecht | A | 1 | 2 | L | O | Gg |
16 Oct | Ajax | H | 0 | 2 | L | U | Ng |
02 Oct | Zwolle | A | 1 | 0 | W | U | Ng |
26 Sep | Twente | H | 2 | 3 | L | O | Gg |
Desicive Betting factors
Factors | Heracles | Heerenveen |
---|---|---|
Form Score | -0.611 | -0.259 |
Home/Away form | 0.261 | 0 |
Off ability | -0.789 | 0.678 |
Def ability | -0.652 | -1 |
Optimal equations estimations
The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:Team | No-G | 1 gl | 2 gls | 3+ gls |
---|---|---|---|---|
Heracles | 21% | 25% | 28% | 26% |
Heerenveen | 20% | 33% | 26% | 21% |
The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Heracles and the red line for guest team, Heerenveen.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.
According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Heracles to score 1.58 goals and Heerenveen to score 1.11 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.7 goals in the game and the home team Heracles to win by 0.47 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Heracles to score 1.6 goals and Heerenveen to score 1.49 goals. So, we expect a total of 3.09 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.11 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
Goals | Odds | Goals | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 24.39 | 0-1 | 6.29 |
1 | 8.47 | 2-3 | 2.24 |
2 | 5.18 | 4+ | 2.54 |
3 | 3.95 | Ov 1.5 | 1.19 |
4 | 4.69 | Un 1.5 | 6.29 |
5 | 7.87 | Ov 2.5 | 1.55 |
6+ | 18.52 | Un 2.5 | 2.84 |
Gg | 1.57 | Ov 3.5 | 2.54 |
NoG | 2.75 | Un 3.5 | 1.65 |
If game ends with | -1- | -X- | -2- |
---|---|---|---|
0-1 goals | 3.24 | 3.88 | 2.3 |
2-3 goals | 2.22 | 5.44 | 2.74 |
4+ goals | 2.56 | 3.05 | 3.55 |
Ov 1.5 | 2.37 | 3.98 | 3.07 |
Un 1.5 | 3.24 | 3.88 | 2.3 |
Ov 2.5 | 2.16 | 5.02 | 2.95 |
Un 2.5 | 3.35 | 2.86 | 2.84 |
Ov 3.5 | 2.56 | 3.05 | 3.55 |
Un 3.5 | 2.42 | 4.92 | 2.61 |
Goal-Goal | 2.56 | 3.01 | 3.61 |
No Goal | 2.33 | 8.88 | 2.18 |
G-G+Ov 2.5 | 2.23 | 4.29 | 3.14 |
NG+Un 2.5 | 2.57 | 8.88 | 2.18 |
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PSV Eindhoven vs Utrecht at 04 Dec 2021
In this article I will analyze the game between PSV Eindhoven and Utrecht for Eredivisie (Holland).Odds | Home | Draw | Away | Over | Under |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Book | 1.58 | 4.41 | 5.19 | 1.51 | 2.57 |
Ours | 2.39 | 3.76 | 3.17 | 1.87 | 2.15 |
Value % | -21.45 | 3.92 | 12.28 | -12.75 | 7.6 |
According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Draw, Away, Under (3.92 %, 12.28 %, 7.6 %) so let's further analyze the game.
Basic Data and latest results
PSV Eindhoven
Gms | Ws | Ds | Ls | Pt% | Sc | Con | Ov | Un |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 72 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
Last 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 78 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
At Home | 6 | 0 | 1 | 86 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 1 |
Date | Versus | At | Sc | Con | Res | OU | Gg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 Nov | Heerenveen | A | 1 | 1 | D | U | Gg |
20 Nov | Vitesse | H | 2 | 0 | W | U | Ng |
07 Nov | For Sittard | A | 4 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
30 Oct | Twente | H | 5 | 2 | W | O | Gg |
24 Oct | Ajax | A | 0 | 5 | L | O | Ng |
16 Oct | Zwolle | H | 3 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
03 Oct | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 2 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
25 Sep | Willem II | A | 1 | 2 | L | O | Gg |
Utrecht
Gms | Ws | Ds | Ls | Pt% | Sc | Con | Ov | Un |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 50 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 1 |
Last 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
At Away | 2 | 1 | 4 | 33 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Date | Versus | At | Sc | Con | Res | OU | Gg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 Nov | Heracles | H | 1 | 0 | W | U | Ng |
21 Nov | Cambuur | A | 1 | 2 | L | O | Gg |
07 Nov | Vitesse | A | 1 | 2 | L | O | Gg |
31 Oct | Willem II | H | 5 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
23 Oct | Heerenveen | H | 2 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
17 Oct | AZ Alkmaar | A | 1 | 5 | L | O | Gg |
03 Oct | Ajax | A | 1 | 0 | W | U | Ng |
25 Sep | Zwolle | H | 5 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
Desicive Betting factors
Factors | PSV Eindhoven | Utrecht |
---|---|---|
Form Score | 0.468 | 0.015 |
Home/Away form | 0.693 | -0.311 |
Off ability | 0.579 | 1 |
Def ability | -0.565 | -0.607 |
Optimal equations estimations
The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:Team | No-G | 1 gl | 2 gls | 3+ gls |
---|---|---|---|---|
PSV Eindhoven | 23% | 33% | 21% | 23% |
Utrecht | 25% | 40% | 21% | 14% |
The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, PSV Eindhoven and the red line for guest team, Utrecht.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.
According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) PSV Eindhoven to score 2.23 goals and Utrecht to score 0.91 goals. So, they expect a total of 3.14 goals in the game and the home team PSV Eindhoven to win by 1.32 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) PSV Eindhoven to score 1.45 goals and Utrecht to score 1.24 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.69 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.21 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
Goals | Odds | Goals | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 17.54 | 0-1 | 4.33 |
1 | 5.75 | 2-3 | 2.09 |
2 | 4.27 | 4+ | 3.42 |
3 | 4.1 | Ov 1.5 | 1.3 |
4 | 5.46 | Un 1.5 | 4.33 |
5 | 12.99 | Ov 2.5 | 1.87 |
6+ | 31.25 | Un 2.5 | 2.15 |
Gg | 1.72 | Ov 3.5 | 3.42 |
NoG | 2.38 | Un 3.5 | 1.41 |
If game ends with | -1- | -X- | -2- |
---|---|---|---|
0-1 goals | 2.78 | 4.05 | 2.54 |
2-3 goals | 2.44 | 3.57 | 3.23 |
4+ goals | 2.07 | 3.84 | 3.89 |
Ov 1.5 | 2.28 | 3.67 | 3.45 |
Un 1.5 | 2.78 | 4.05 | 2.54 |
Ov 2.5 | 1.89 | 7.05 | 3.05 |
Un 2.5 | 3.42 | 2.43 | 3.37 |
Ov 3.5 | 2.07 | 3.84 | 3.89 |
Un 3.5 | 2.54 | 3.71 | 2.97 |
Goal-Goal | 2.57 | 2.76 | 4.03 |
No Goal | 2.17 | 7.39 | 2.48 |
G-G+Ov 2.5 | 1.97 | 5.87 | 3.1 |
NG+Un 2.5 | 2.43 | 7.39 | 2.4 |
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Feyenoord vs For Sittard at 05 Dec 2021
In this article I will analyze the game between Feyenoord and For Sittard for Eredivisie (Holland).Odds | Home | Draw | Away | Over | Under |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Book | 1.21 | 6.89 | 14.02 | 1.44 | 2.78 |
Ours | 1.61 | 4.61 | 6.25 | 1.93 | 2.07 |
Value % | -20.53 | 7.18 | 8.87 | -17.63 | 12.34 |
According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Draw, Away, Under (7.18 %, 8.87 %, 12.34 %) so let's further analyze the game.
Basic Data and latest results
Feyenoord
Gms | Ws | Ds | Ls | Pt% | Sc | Con | Ov | Un |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 89 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Last 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 78 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
At Home | 6 | 1 | 0 | 90 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
Date | Versus | At | Sc | Con | Res | OU | Gg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01 Dec | Heracles | H | 2 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
28 Nov | Twente | A | 0 | 0 | D | U | Ng |
21 Nov | Zwolle | H | 4 | 0 | W | O | Ng |
07 Nov | AZ Alkmaar | H | 1 | 0 | W | U | Ng |
31 Oct | Sparta Rotterdam | A | 1 | 0 | W | U | Ng |
24 Oct | Cambuur | A | 3 | 2 | W | O | Gg |
16 Oct | Waalwijk | H | 2 | 2 | D | O | Gg |
03 Oct | Vitesse | A | 1 | 2 | L | O | Gg |
For Sittard
Gms | Ws | Ds | Ls | Pt% | Sc | Con | Ov | Un |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 1 |
Last 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
At Away | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 |
Date | Versus | At | Sc | Con | Res | OU | Gg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02 Dec | AZ Alkmaar | A | 1 | 2 | L | O | Gg |
27 Nov | Groningen | H | 1 | 4 | L | O | Gg |
20 Nov | Heracles | A | 1 | 3 | L | O | Gg |
07 Nov | PSV Eindhoven | H | 1 | 4 | L | O | Gg |
31 Oct | Go Ahead Eagles | A | 3 | 4 | L | O | Gg |
22 Oct | Willem II | A | 1 | 1 | D | U | Gg |
16 Oct | Cambuur | H | 1 | 0 | W | U | Ng |
02 Oct | Nijmegen | H | 1 | 3 | L | O | Gg |
Desicive Betting factors
Factors | Feyenoord | For Sittard |
---|---|---|
Form Score | 0.802 | -0.867 |
Home/Away form | 0.834 | -0.711 |
Off ability | 0.474 | 1 |
Def ability | 0.565 | -1 |
Optimal equations estimations
The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:Team | No-G | 1 gl | 2 gls | 3+ gls |
---|---|---|---|---|
Feyenoord | 21% | 13% | 40% | 26% |
For Sittard | 46% | 32% | 17% | 5% |
The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Feyenoord and the red line for guest team, For Sittard.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.
According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Feyenoord to score 2.84 goals and For Sittard to score 0.45 goals. So, they expect a total of 3.3 goals in the game and the home team Feyenoord to win by 2.39 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Feyenoord to score 1.72 goals and For Sittard to score 0.81 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.53 goals in the game and the home team Feyenoord to win by 0.91 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
Goals | Odds | Goals | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 10.64 | 0-1 | 4.5 |
1 | 7.81 | 2-3 | 1.85 |
2 | 3.85 | 4+ | 4.24 |
3 | 3.55 | Ov 1.5 | 1.29 |
4 | 6.29 | Un 1.5 | 4.5 |
5 | 15.62 | Ov 2.5 | 1.93 |
6+ | 76.92 | Un 2.5 | 2.07 |
Gg | 2.33 | Ov 3.5 | 4.24 |
NoG | 1.75 | Un 3.5 | 1.31 |
If game ends with | -1- | -X- | -2- |
---|---|---|---|
0-1 goals | 3.64 | 2.36 | 3.31 |
2-3 goals | 1.25 | 12.6 | 8.09 |
4+ goals | 1.83 | 2.95 | 8.74 |
Ov 1.5 | 1.39 | 6.33 | 8.28 |
Un 1.5 | 3.64 | 2.36 | 3.31 |
Ov 2.5 | 1.37 | 6.48 | 8.78 |
Un 2.5 | 1.98 | 3.52 | 4.73 |
Ov 3.5 | 1.83 | 2.95 | 8.74 |
Un 3.5 | 1.55 | 5.58 | 5.7 |
Goal-Goal | 1.67 | 3.5 | 8.78 |
No Goal | 1.57 | 6.06 | 5.09 |
G-G+Ov 2.5 | 1.5 | 4.84 | 7.9 |
NG+Un 2.5 | 1.81 | 6.06 | 4.3 |
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Go Ahead Eagles vs Twente at 05 Dec 2021
In this article I will analyze the game between Go Ahead Eagles and Twente for Eredivisie (Holland).Odds | Home | Draw | Away | Over | Under |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Book | 2.94 | 3.43 | 2.37 | 1.97 | 1.89 |
Ours | 2.42 | 3.88 | 3.04 | 1.73 | 2.36 |
Value % | 7.31 | -3.38 | -9.3 | 7.04 | -10.54 |
According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Over (7.31 %, 7.04 %) so let's further analyze the game.
Basic Data and latest results
Go Ahead Eagles
Gms | Ws | Ds | Ls | Pt% | Sc | Con | Ov | Un |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 72 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Last 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 44 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
At Home | 4 | 0 | 3 | 57 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Date | Versus | At | Sc | Con | Res | OU | Gg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 Nov | Willem II | A | 1 | 0 | W | U | Ng |
21 Nov | Groningen | H | 0 | 1 | L | U | Ng |
07 Nov | Ajax | A | 0 | 0 | D | U | Ng |
31 Oct | For Sittard | H | 4 | 3 | W | O | Gg |
24 Oct | Vitesse | A | 2 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
16 Oct | Heracles | H | 4 | 2 | W | O | Gg |
02 Oct | Waalwijk | A | 1 | 1 | D | U | Gg |
26 Sep | AZ Alkmaar | A | 0 | 5 | L | O | Ng |
Twente
Gms | Ws | Ds | Ls | Pt% | Sc | Con | Ov | Un |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 44 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Last 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 78 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
At Away | 3 | 1 | 3 | 48 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
Date | Versus | At | Sc | Con | Res | OU | Gg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 Nov | Feyenoord | H | 0 | 0 | D | U | Ng |
20 Nov | Sparta Rotterdam | A | 1 | 0 | W | U | Ng |
05 Nov | Heracles | H | 1 | 0 | W | U | Ng |
30 Oct | PSV Eindhoven | A | 2 | 5 | L | O | Gg |
24 Oct | Nijmegen | H | 1 | 2 | L | O | Gg |
17 Oct | Willem II | H | 1 | 1 | D | U | Gg |
01 Oct | Groningen | A | 1 | 1 | D | U | Gg |
26 Sep | Heerenveen | A | 3 | 2 | W | O | Gg |
Desicive Betting factors
Factors | Go Ahead Eagles | Twente |
---|---|---|
Form Score | 0.421 | 0.052 |
Home/Away form | 0.004 | 0.089 |
Off ability | -0.021 | 0.539 |
Def ability | -0.13 | 0.111 |
Optimal equations estimations
The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:Team | No-G | 1 gl | 2 gls | 3+ gls |
---|---|---|---|---|
Go Ahead Eagles | 22% | 32% | 22% | 25% |
Twente | 24% | 36% | 23% | 17% |
The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Go Ahead Eagles and the red line for guest team, Twente.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.
According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Go Ahead Eagles to score 1.15 goals and Twente to score 1.35 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.5 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is -0.2 on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Go Ahead Eagles to score 1.5 goals and Twente to score 1.33 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.83 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.17 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
Goals | Odds | Goals | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 19.23 | 0-1 | 4.85 |
1 | 6.49 | 2-3 | 2.15 |
2 | 4.63 | 4+ | 3.04 |
3 | 4.02 | Ov 1.5 | 1.26 |
4 | 5.21 | Un 1.5 | 4.85 |
5 | 10.53 | Ov 2.5 | 1.73 |
6+ | 23.81 | Un 2.5 | 2.37 |
Gg | 1.68 | Ov 3.5 | 3.04 |
NoG | 2.46 | Un 3.5 | 1.49 |
If game ends with | -1- | -X- | -2- |
---|---|---|---|
0-1 goals | 2.68 | 3.96 | 2.68 |
2-3 goals | 2.45 | 4.12 | 2.87 |
4+ goals | 2.25 | 3.54 | 3.66 |
Ov 1.5 | 2.36 | 3.85 | 3.15 |
Un 1.5 | 2.68 | 3.96 | 2.68 |
Ov 2.5 | 2.04 | 6.22 | 2.88 |
Un 2.5 | 3.27 | 2.56 | 3.3 |
Ov 3.5 | 2.25 | 3.54 | 3.66 |
Un 3.5 | 2.51 | 4.07 | 2.81 |
Goal-Goal | 2.65 | 2.88 | 3.62 |
No Goal | 2.15 | 7.81 | 2.46 |
G-G+Ov 2.5 | 2.15 | 5.17 | 2.93 |
NG+Un 2.5 | 2.4 | 7.81 | 2.41 |
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Waalwijk vs Nijmegen at 05 Dec 2021
In this article I will analyze the game between Waalwijk and Nijmegen for Eredivisie (Holland).Odds | Home | Draw | Away | Over | Under |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Book | 2.79 | 3.46 | 2.46 | 1.89 | 1.96 |
Ours | 2.33 | 3.98 | 3.12 | 1.65 | 2.54 |
Value % | 7.08 | -3.78 | -8.6 | 7.7 | -11.65 |
According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Over (7.08 %, 7.7 %) so let's further analyze the game.
Basic Data and latest results
Waalwijk
Gms | Ws | Ds | Ls | Pt% | Sc | Con | Ov | Un |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Last 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
At Home | 2 | 1 | 4 | 33 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Date | Versus | At | Sc | Con | Res | OU | Gg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 Nov | Zwolle | A | 0 | 0 | D | U | Ng |
21 Nov | Ajax | H | 0 | 5 | L | O | Ng |
07 Nov | Groningen | A | 1 | 1 | D | U | Gg |
31 Oct | Cambuur | H | 0 | 1 | L | U | Ng |
23 Oct | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 1 | 0 | W | U | Ng |
16 Oct | Feyenoord | A | 2 | 2 | D | O | Gg |
02 Oct | Go Ahead Eagles | H | 1 | 1 | D | U | Gg |
26 Sep | Heracles | A | 0 | 1 | L | U | Ng |
Nijmegen
Gms | Ws | Ds | Ls | Pt% | Sc | Con | Ov | Un |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 44 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Last 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
At Away | 3 | 2 | 2 | 52 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
Date | Versus | At | Sc | Con | Res | OU | Gg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 Nov | Cambuur | H | 2 | 3 | L | O | Gg |
20 Nov | AZ Alkmaar | A | 1 | 1 | D | U | Gg |
06 Nov | Heerenveen | H | 1 | 1 | D | U | Gg |
31 Oct | Groningen | H | 3 | 0 | W | O | Ng |
24 Oct | Twente | A | 2 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
17 Oct | Vitesse | H | 0 | 1 | L | U | Ng |
02 Oct | For Sittard | A | 3 | 1 | W | O | Gg |
25 Sep | Feyenoord | A | 3 | 5 | L | O | Gg |
Desicive Betting factors
Factors | Waalwijk | Nijmegen |
---|---|---|
Form Score | -0.286 | -0.022 |
Home/Away form | -0.544 | 0.23 |
Off ability | -0.547 | 0.678 |
Def ability | -0.191 | -0.681 |
Optimal equations estimations
The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:Team | No-G | 1 gl | 2 gls | 3+ gls |
---|---|---|---|---|
Waalwijk | 22% | 26% | 28% | 25% |
Nijmegen | 23% | 36% | 24% | 17% |
The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Waalwijk and the red line for guest team, Nijmegen.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.
According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Waalwijk to score 1.23 goals and Nijmegen to score 1.35 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.58 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is -0.12 on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Waalwijk to score 1.56 goals and Nijmegen to score 1.35 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.91 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.21 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
Goals | Odds | Goals | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 20 | 0-1 | 5.38 |
1 | 7.35 | 2-3 | 2.15 |
2 | 4.81 | 4+ | 2.85 |
3 | 3.89 | Ov 1.5 | 1.23 |
4 | 5 | Un 1.5 | 5.38 |
5 | 9.26 | Ov 2.5 | 1.64 |
6+ | 23.26 | Un 2.5 | 2.54 |
Gg | 1.66 | Ov 3.5 | 2.85 |
NoG | 2.51 | Un 3.5 | 1.54 |
If game ends with | -1- | -X- | -2- |
---|---|---|---|
0-1 goals | 3.15 | 3.72 | 2.42 |
2-3 goals | 2.09 | 5.11 | 3.08 |
4+ goals | 2.37 | 3.19 | 3.77 |
Ov 1.5 | 2.2 | 4.06 | 3.34 |
Un 1.5 | 3.15 | 3.72 | 2.42 |
Ov 2.5 | 1.99 | 5.53 | 3.17 |
Un 2.5 | 3.18 | 2.79 | 3.05 |
Ov 3.5 | 2.37 | 3.19 | 3.77 |
Un 3.5 | 2.31 | 4.62 | 2.86 |
Goal-Goal | 2.43 | 3 | 3.92 |
No Goal | 2.19 | 7.98 | 2.39 |
G-G+Ov 2.5 | 2.06 | 4.65 | 3.32 |
NG+Un 2.5 | 2.44 | 7.98 | 2.35 |