Football Spain – La Liga

La Liga
In this article we will analyse the following games: (with blue color are the value bets as estimated by the optimal equations method).
TeamsDateHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Granada - Alaves03-Dec2.543.083.152.461.58
Sevilla - Villarreal04-Dec2.023.453.942.091.78
Barcelona - Betis04-Dec1.54.796.241.52.54
Ath Madrid - Mallorca04-Dec1.345.2710.831.961.93
Vallecano - Espanol05-Dec2.183.263.672.251.67
Levante - Osasuna05-Dec2.53.253.012.231.7
Elche - Cadiz05-Dec2.073.234.22.631.48
Celta - Valencia05-Dec2.123.413.622.111.77
Getafe - Ath Bilbao06-Dec3.523.12.382.861.42

Click here to view the mathematical predictions for today!


Granada vs Alaves at 03 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Granada and Alaves for La Liga (Spain).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.543.083.152.461.58
Ours2.153.833.662.031.97
Value %7.14-6.36-4.428.61-12.53

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Over (7.14 %, 8.61 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Granada
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6132335533
Last 3012112321
At Home123286533
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
26 NovAth BilbaoA22DOGg
21 NovReal MadridH14LOGg
06 NovEspanolA02LUNg
01 NovLevanteA30WONg
28 OctGetafeH11DUGg
22 OctOsasunaA11DUGg
03 OctSevillaH10WUNg
27 SepCeltaA01LUNg
Alaves
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6321616433
Last 3111443330
At Away123283524
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovCeltaH12LOGg
20 NovSevillaA22DOGg
06 NovLevanteH21WOGg
30 OctBarcelonaA11DUGg
26 OctElcheH10WUNg
23 OctCadizA20WUNg
18 OctBetisH01LUNg
01 OctAth BilbaoA01LUNg

Playing style

GranadaShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play10198.31591616.32
From corner1841.883933.73
Set piece1000.691811.88
Direct Freekick400.42700.4
Penalty211.49322.23
AlavesShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play9447.361271212.06
From corner2532.923743.67
Set piece1401.291411.8
Penalty442.97422.97
Direct Freekick400.24800.58
GranadaShGxGShAGAxGA
Own goals000111
Out of box5851.828312.62
Penalty area6668.021301616.52
Six-yard box1132.941244.43
AlavesShGxGShAGAxGA
Out of box3901.197112.08
Penalty area95710.621041114.03
Six-yard box742.971574.98
GranadaShGxGShAGAxGA
1-151741.752822.74
16-301720.663244.58
31-451431.994343.68
46-602802.014454.11
61-752232.523625.38
76+3723.844354.09
AlavesShGxGShAGAxGA
1-152132.591732.27
16-301311.13022.77
31-453202.332522.73
46-602833.844765.42
61-751511.923624.37
76+3233.013543.53
The next graph represents the shots attempted and recieved for the Granada and Alaves within a specific timeframe of the game. The black line is the average and you can interpret it as a Heat Indicator.

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsGranadaAlaves
Form Score-0.2860.259
Home/Away form-0.535-0.237
Off ability0.5051
Def ability-0.626-0.43


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Granada22%33%24%21%
Alaves34%35%20%11%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Granada and the red line for guest team, Alaves.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Granada to score 1.14 goals and Alaves to score 0.99 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.13 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.15 on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Granada to score 1.44 goals and Alaves to score 1.07 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.51 goals in the game and the home team Granada to win by 0.37 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
013.160-13.76
15.262-32.05
24.134+4.03
34.08Ov 1.51.36
46.37Un 1.53.76
514.71Ov 2.52.03
6+43.48Un 2.51.97
Gg1.95Ov 3.54.03
NoG2.04Un 3.51.33
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.383.53.41
2-3 goals2.034.233.69
4+ goals2.163.543.94
Ov 1.52.073.973.77
Un 1.52.383.53.41
Ov 2.51.817.043.26
Un 2.52.612.664.16
Ov 3.52.163.543.94
Un 3.52.143.943.59
Goal-Goal2.562.774.03
No Goal1.836.433.35
G-G+Ov 2.51.985.673.13
NG+Un 2.52.026.433.22

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Sevilla vs Villarreal at 04 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Sevilla and Villarreal for La Liga (Spain).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.023.453.942.091.78
Ours1.814.14.92.041.96
Value %5.74-4.6-4.971.17-5.16

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Over (5.74 %, 1.17 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Sevilla
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6321616433
Last 3111443221
At Home510896342
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
28 NovReal MadridA12LOGg
20 NovAlavesH22DOGg
07 NovBetisA20WUNg
30 OctOsasunaH20WUNg
27 OctMallorcaA11DUGg
24 OctLevanteH53WOGg
17 OctCeltaA10WUNg
03 OctGranadaA01LUNg
Villarreal
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6123285533
Last 3111443212
At Away052243425
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovBarcelonaH13LOGg
20 NovCeltaA11DUGg
07 NovGetafeH10WUNg
30 OctValenciaA02LUNg
26 OctCadizH33DOGg
23 OctAth BilbaoA12LOGg
17 OctOsasunaH12LOGg
03 OctBetisH20WUNg

Playing style

SevillaShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play1461619.59387.98
From corner2642.321611.16
Set piece1331.171411.27
Direct Freekick100.091000.51
Penalty110.74211.49
VillarrealShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play1251515.861061214.05
From corner2011.93101.37
Set piece1102.11911.07
Direct Freekick300.15500.27
Penalty000432.97
SevillaShGxGShAGAxGA
Own goals222000
Out of box6031.796221.89
Penalty area1141816.176768.07
Six-yard box1113.86632.44
VillarrealShGxGShAGAxGA
Own goals000111
Out of box3811.245501.39
Penalty area1111215.02911113.85
Six-yard box1033.77843.49
SevillaShGxGShAGAxGA
1-152653.722121.94
16-302933.52032.35
31-452842.811821.56
46-602754.492934.23
61-752522.881900.76
76+5256.412811.55
VillarrealShGxGShAGAxGA
1-152423.842522.02
16-302013.052523.13
31-453244.131821.33
46-602832.782333.45
61-752132.482612.49
76+3433.743867.31
The next graph represents the shots attempted and recieved for the Sevilla and Villarreal within a specific timeframe of the game. The black line is the average and you can interpret it as a Heat Indicator.

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsSevillaVillarreal
Form Score0.222-0.319
Home/Away form0.734-0.289
Off ability10.626
Def ability-0.217-0.652


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Sevilla18%34%18%28%
Villarreal44%32%16%8%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Sevilla and the red line for guest team, Villarreal.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Sevilla to score 1.47 goals and Villarreal to score 0.91 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.38 goals in the game and the home team Sevilla to win by 0.56 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Sevilla to score 1.57 goals and Villarreal to score 0.89 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.46 goals in the game and the home team Sevilla to win by 0.68 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
012.350-13.44
14.762-32.11
24.524+4.27
33.94Ov 1.51.41
46.71Un 1.53.44
516.13Ov 2.52.05
6+43.48Un 2.51.95
Gg2.18Ov 3.54.27
NoG1.85Un 3.51.31
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals1.933.594.93
2-3 goals1.84.324.7
4+ goals1.74.425.44
Ov 1.51.764.354.92
Un 1.51.933.594.93
Ov 2.51.529.214.28
Un 2.52.212.685.75
Ov 3.51.74.425.44
Un 3.51.854.014.79
Goal-Goal2.342.814.63
No Goal1.526.695.21
G-G+Ov 2.51.786.573.52
NG+Un 2.51.736.694.52

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Barcelona vs Betis at 04 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Barcelona and Betis for La Liga (Spain).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book1.54.796.241.52.54
Ours2.343.853.212.011.99
Value %-23.935.115.13-16.9210.88

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Draw, Away, Under (5.1 %, 15.13 %, 10.88 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Barcelona
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6222445533
Last 3210783221
At Home521718653
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovVillarrealA31WOGg
20 NovEspanolH10WUNg
06 NovCeltaA33DOGg
30 OctAlavesH11DUGg
27 OctVallecanoA01LUNg
24 OctReal MadridH12LOGg
17 OctValenciaH31WOGg
02 OctAth MadridA02LUNg
Betis
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6402674551
Last 3201672221
At Away412625543
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
28 NovLevanteH31WOGg
21 NovElcheA30WONg
07 NovSevillaH02LUNg
31 OctAth MadridA03LONg
27 OctValenciaH41WOGg
24 OctVallecanoH32WOGg
18 OctAlavesA10WUNg
03 OctVillarrealA02LUNg

Playing style

BarcelonaShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play1411819.131051211.39
From corner1802.411731.93
Direct Freekick700.56710.48
Penalty543.72000
Set piece410.411501.08
BetisShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play1711716.851271415.95
From corner2933.522833.5
Set piece1020.58800.63
Direct Freekick700.35600.36
Penalty332.23110.74
BarcelonaShGxGShAGAxGA
Out of box5842.164731.68
Penalty area981416.16871010.07
Six-yard box1957.91033.14
BetisShGxGShAGAxGA
Own goals000222
Out of box8534.065822.06
Penalty area1201715.371011314.8
Six-yard box1554.09912.32
BarcelonaShGxGShAGAxGA
1-152552.791821.46
16-302833.741831.71
31-452123.322022.49
46-604056.342832.18
61-752512.621821.67
76+3677.424245.38
BetisShGxGShAGAxGA
1-152533.122232.79
16-303973.862022.75
31-453314.063344.64
46-604563.773523.98
61-753634.022143.07
76+4254.73933.95
The next graph represents the shots attempted and recieved for the Barcelona and Betis within a specific timeframe of the game. The black line is the average and you can interpret it as a Heat Indicator.

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsBarcelonaBetis
Form Score0.0320.333
Home/Away form0.3940.326
Off ability0.5790.217
Def ability-0.565-0.63


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Barcelona24%32%26%18%
Betis34%30%22%14%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Barcelona and the red line for guest team, Betis.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Barcelona to score 2.34 goals and Betis to score 0.8 goals. So, they expect a total of 3.14 goals in the game and the home team Barcelona to win by 1.54 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Barcelona to score 1.37 goals and Betis to score 1.16 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.53 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.21 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
011.90-13.76
15.492-32.1
24.264+3.92
34.13Ov 1.51.37
46.49Un 1.53.76
513.33Ov 2.52.01
6+38.46Un 2.52
Gg2.02Ov 3.53.92
NoG1.99Un 3.51.35
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.443.173.64
2-3 goals2.125.023.04
4+ goals2.743.153.15
Ov 1.52.34.163.08
Un 1.52.443.173.64
Ov 2.52.156.142.69
Un 2.52.562.83.98
Ov 3.52.743.153.15
Un 3.52.224.153.23
Goal-Goal2.932.813.3
No Goal1.955.993.12
G-G+Ov 2.52.374.942.67
NG+Un 2.52.075.993.22

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Ath Madrid vs Mallorca at 04 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Ath Madrid and Mallorca for La Liga (Spain).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book1.345.2710.831.961.93
Ours1.794.184.952.041.96
Value %-18.764.9510.97-2-0.79

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Draw, Away (4.95 %, 10.97 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Ath Madrid
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6330676451
Last 3210783221
At Home430716234
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
28 NovCadizA41WOGg
20 NovOsasunaH10WUNg
07 NovValenciaA33DOGg
31 OctBetisH30WONg
28 OctLevanteA22DOGg
24 OctSociedadH22DOGg
02 OctBarcelonaH20WUNg
25 SepAlavesA01LUNg
Mallorca
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6051285533
Last 3021222221
At Away124245634
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovGetafeH00DUNg
22 NovVallecanoA13LOGg
07 NovElcheH22DOGg
31 OctCadizA11DUGg
27 OctSevillaH11DUGg
23 OctValenciaA22DOGg
16 OctSociedadA01LUNg
02 OctLevanteH10WUNg

Playing style

Ath MadridShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play1382117.747068.24
From corner4034.711221.45
Set piece1012.081921.9
Direct Freekick200.09610.37
Penalty110.74332.23
MallorcaShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play118810.551411713.76
From corner2453.191801.55
Set piece1501.571121.95
Direct Freekick1200.73610.23
Penalty110.74322.23
Ath MadridShGxGShAGAxGA
Own goals222222
Out of box6021.714311.26
Penalty area1121715.695998.95
Six-yard box1755.96621.97
MallorcaShGxGShAGAxGA
Own goals111000
Out of box8202.445951.69
Penalty area7889.921041312.85
Six-yard box953.421645.18
Ath MadridShGxGShAGAxGA
1-153312.581221.18
16-302632.992101
31-452634.19931.16
46-604155.72544.14
61-753354.711411.45
76+3295.192945.26
MallorcaShGxGShAGAxGA
1-152912.372432.65
16-302653.462432.75
31-451622.73503.47
46-604213.793432.2
61-752622.382263.83
76+3132.074074.83
The next graph represents the shots attempted and recieved for the Ath Madrid and Mallorca within a specific timeframe of the game. The black line is the average and you can interpret it as a Heat Indicator.

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsAth MadridMallorca
Form Score0.508-0.185
Home/Away form0.527-0.437
Off ability10.539
Def ability-0.191-0.607


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Ath Madrid19%32%23%27%
Mallorca46%29%17%9%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Ath Madrid and the red line for guest team, Mallorca.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Ath Madrid to score 2.06 goals and Mallorca to score 0.46 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.52 goals in the game and the home team Ath Madrid to win by 1.6 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Ath Madrid to score 1.58 goals and Mallorca to score 0.88 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.46 goals in the game and the home team Ath Madrid to win by 0.7 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
011.630-13.52
15.052-32.07
24.424+4.29
33.89Ov 1.51.4
46.94Un 1.53.52
515.38Ov 2.52.04
6+41.67Un 2.51.96
Gg2.26Ov 3.54.29
NoG1.79Un 3.51.3
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals1.973.35.26
2-3 goals1.665.314.78
4+ goals1.893.764.85
Ov 1.51.734.684.81
Un 1.51.973.35.26
Ov 2.51.587.94.19
Un 2.52.062.885.93
Ov 3.51.893.764.85
Un 3.51.764.334.95
Goal-Goal2.352.894.38
No Goal1.516.495.47
G-G+Ov 2.51.875.663.48
NG+Un 2.51.76.494.87

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Vallecano vs Espanol at 05 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Vallecano and Espanol for La Liga (Spain).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.183.263.672.251.67
Ours1.774.155.132.021.98
Value %10.63-6.58-7.755.06-9.38

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Over (10.63 %, 5.06 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Vallecano
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6222445433
Last 3111443321
At Home610906352
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovValenciaA11DUGg
22 NovMallorcaH31WOGg
06 NovReal MadridA12LOGg
01 NovCeltaH00DUNg
27 OctBarcelonaH10WUNg
24 OctBetisA23LOGg
17 OctElcheH21WOGg
02 OctOsasunaA01LUNg
Espanol
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6222445424
Last 3201672103
At Away034143634
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
28 NovSociedadH10WUNg
20 NovBarcelonaA01LUNg
06 NovGranadaH20WUNg
31 OctGetafeA12LOGg
26 OctAth BilbaoH11DUGg
23 OctElcheA22DOGg
18 OctCadizH20WUNg
03 OctReal MadridH21WOGg

Playing style

VallecanoShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play1291712.24116913.55
From corner3524.651901.05
Direct Freekick1100.58900.56
Set piece911.061222.38
Penalty332.23755.2
EspanolShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play11599.511671216.71
From corner3443.183401.79
Direct Freekick1400.66500.32
Set piece1301.35811
Penalty221.49110.74
VallecanoShGxGShAGAxGA
Own goals000111
Out of box7622.115821.94
Penalty area891311.41931115.74
Six-yard box2287.241124.07
EspanolShGxGShAGAxGA
Out of box7522.387312.08
Penalty area961110.771261113.46
Six-yard box723.041625.03
VallecanoShGxGShAGAxGA
1-153053.771620.74
16-301741.842753.54
31-452932.692635.17
46-603413.762612.83
61-753043.343124.37
76+4765.353736.11
EspanolShGxGShAGAxGA
1-152411.554113.33
16-302022.262932.24
31-453453.993412.74
46-602342.323444.37
61-753111.593513.8
76+4624.494244.08
The next graph represents the shots attempted and recieved for the Vallecano and Espanol within a specific timeframe of the game. The black line is the average and you can interpret it as a Heat Indicator.

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsVallecanoEspanol
Form Score-0.0480.022
Home/Away form0.809-0.585
Off ability0.5470.565
Def ability-0.278-0.259


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Vallecano18%33%19%30%
Espanol44%33%16%7%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Vallecano and the red line for guest team, Espanol.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Vallecano to score 1.33 goals and Espanol to score 0.93 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.26 goals in the game and the home team Vallecano to win by 0.4 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Vallecano to score 1.6 goals and Espanol to score 0.87 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.47 goals in the game and the home team Vallecano to win by 0.73 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
012.350-13.51
14.92-32.09
24.574+4.24
33.85Ov 1.51.4
46.58Un 1.53.51
516.13Ov 2.52.02
6+45.45Un 2.51.98
Gg2.18Ov 3.54.24
NoG1.85Un 3.51.31
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals1.983.524.75
2-3 goals1.744.484.94
4+ goals1.624.546.21
Ov 1.51.74.55.3
Un 1.51.983.524.75
Ov 2.51.469.544.72
Un 2.52.232.685.6
Ov 3.51.624.546.21
Un 3.51.824.064.87
Goal-Goal2.22.885.03
No Goal1.526.695.21
G-G+Ov 2.51.696.753.86
NG+Un 2.51.766.694.41

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Levante vs Osasuna at 05 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Levante and Osasuna for La Liga (Spain).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.53.253.012.231.7
Ours2.223.683.611.982.02
Value %5.05-3.6-5.525.66-9.32

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Over (5.05 %, 5.66 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Levante
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6024114551
Last 3012112221
At Home052243534
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
28 NovBetisA13LOGg
19 NovAth BilbaoH00DUNg
06 NovAlavesA12LOGg
01 NovGranadaH03LONg
28 OctAth MadridH22DOGg
24 OctSevillaA35LOGg
16 OctGetafeH00DUNg
02 OctMallorcaA01LUNg
Osasuna
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6033172506
Last 3012111303
At Away412624534
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
29 NovElcheH11DUGg
20 NovAth MadridA01LUNg
07 NovSociedadH02LUNg
30 OctSevillaA02LUNg
27 OctReal MadridA00DUNg
22 OctGranadaH11DUGg
17 OctVillarrealA21WOGg
02 OctVallecanoH10WUNg

Playing style

LevanteShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play97810.121411914.15
From corner1810.63574.48
Set piece1111.711000.88
Direct Freekick600.4400.26
Penalty533.72221.49
OsasunaShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play124811.231261011.75
From corner2521.722663.76
Set piece1200.34710.21
Penalty543.72221.49
Direct Freekick210.08600.46
LevanteShGxGShAGAxGA
Out of box5601.827322.05
Penalty area741111.451022014.02
Six-yard box723.281765.2
OsasunaShGxGShAGAxGA
Own goals000111
Out of box7031.697523.21
Penalty area901113.1277119.53
Six-yard box812.291453.94
LevanteShGxGShAGAxGA
1-152421.752063.39
16-302301.623012.88
31-452753.263242.83
46-602042.843522.12
61-751202.253574.68
76+3124.824085.35
OsasunaShGxGShAGAxGA
1-152433.552622.59
16-302732.292332.58
31-453122.552812.09
46-603023.212953.74
61-752101.482532.5
76+3554.013654.17
The next graph represents the shots attempted and recieved for the Levante and Osasuna within a specific timeframe of the game. The black line is the average and you can interpret it as a Heat Indicator.

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsLevanteOsasuna
Form Score-0.786-0.519
Home/Away form-0.5020.215
Off ability0.021-0.565
Def ability-0.565-0.704


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Levante21%34%22%22%
Osasuna27%44%19%10%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Levante and the red line for guest team, Osasuna.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Levante to score 1.22 goals and Osasuna to score 1.07 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.28 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.15 on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Levante to score 1.46 goals and Osasuna to score 1.12 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.58 goals in the game and the home team Levante to win by 0.34 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
017.240-14.1
15.382-32.02
244+3.8
34.1Ov 1.51.32
45.71Un 1.54.1
515.38Ov 2.51.97
6+43.48Un 2.52.02
Gg1.74Ov 3.53.8
NoG2.35Un 3.51.36
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.654.212.6
2-3 goals2.273.293.92
4+ goals1.884.054.53
Ov 1.52.113.524.11
Un 1.52.654.212.6
Ov 2.51.77.83.52
Un 2.53.252.383.69
Ov 3.51.884.054.53
Un 3.52.383.553.35
Goal-Goal2.422.674.71
No Goal2.017.342.73
G-G+Ov 2.51.796.543.48
NG+Un 2.52.267.342.57

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Elche vs Cadiz at 05 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Elche and Cadiz for La Liga (Spain).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.073.234.22.631.48
Ours2.213.733.572.071.93
Value %-3.06-4.154.210.29-15.75

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Away, Over (4.2 %, 10.29 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Elche
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6033174642
Last 3021222321
At Home142335534
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
29 NovOsasunaA11DUGg
21 NovBetisH03LONg
07 NovMallorcaA22DOGg
30 OctReal MadridH12LOGg
26 OctAlavesA01LUNg
23 OctEspanolH22DOGg
17 OctVallecanoA12LOGg
03 OctCeltaH10WUNg
Cadiz
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6123284533
Last 3102332221
At Away223385643
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
28 NovAth MadridH14LOGg
21 NovGetafeA04LONg
05 NovAth BilbaoA10WUNg
31 OctMallorcaH11DUGg
26 OctVillarrealA33DOGg
23 OctAlavesH02LUNg
18 OctEspanolA02LUNg
02 OctValenciaH00DUNg

Playing style

ElcheShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play991110.231541516.09
From corner1911.122922.88
Set piece800.381010.59
Direct Freekick300.22800.43
Penalty000332.23
CadizShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play8768.711451615.59
From corner2602.463164.47
Set piece2042.711511.2
Penalty432.97442.97
Direct Freekick400.25700.43
ElcheShGxGShAGAxGA
Out of box5321.718432.25
Penalty area6798.061071315.15
Six-yard box912.21354.83
CadizShGxGShAGAxGA
Own goals111000
Out of box4601.166522.17
Penalty area84912.161221816.47
Six-yard box1032.781576.04
ElcheShGxGShAGAxGA
1-151521.493234.97
16-302232.352942.57
31-451711.763133.07
46-601911.564255.1
61-752532.32432.84
76+3122.494633.68
CadizShGxGShAGAxGA
1-152141.873033.39
16-302012.092122.29
31-452633.874245.28
46-601911.583733.66
61-752013.042753.65
76+3534.6445106.41
The next graph represents the shots attempted and recieved for the Elche and Cadiz within a specific timeframe of the game. The black line is the average and you can interpret it as a Heat Indicator.

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsElcheCadiz
Form Score-0.603-0.348
Home/Away form-0.386-0.133
Off ability0.0530.243
Def ability-1-0.652


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Elche22%36%20%21%
Cadiz34%36%20%11%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Elche and the red line for guest team, Cadiz.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Elche to score 1.24 goals and Cadiz to score 0.77 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.01 goals in the game and the home team Elche to win by 0.47 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Elche to score 1.41 goals and Cadiz to score 1.08 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.49 goals in the game and the home team Elche to win by 0.33 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
013.330-13.62
14.982-32.08
24.134+4.13
34.18Ov 1.51.38
46.41Un 1.53.62
515.87Ov 2.52.08
6+43.48Un 2.51.93
Gg1.94Ov 3.54.13
NoG2.07Un 3.51.32
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.263.683.49
2-3 goals2.263.73.49
4+ goals2.073.843.9
Ov 1.52.193.753.62
Un 1.52.263.683.49
Ov 2.51.847.633.06
Un 2.52.712.534.25
Ov 3.52.073.843.9
Un 3.52.263.693.49
Goal-Goal2.722.673.88
No Goal1.846.443.31
G-G+Ov 2.52.036.132.9
NG+Un 2.52.036.443.18

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Celta vs Valencia at 05 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Celta and Valencia for La Liga (Spain).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.123.413.622.111.77
Ours2.383.693.2422
Value %-5.15-2.233.242.61-6.5

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Away, Over (3.24 %, 2.61 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Celta
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6231504433
Last 3120563321
At Home125215735
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovAlavesA21WOGg
20 NovVillarrealH11DUGg
06 NovBarcelonaH33DOGg
01 NovVallecanoA00DUNg
28 OctSociedadH02LUNg
25 OctGetafeA30WONg
17 OctSevillaH01LUNg
03 OctElcheA01LUNg
Valencia
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6141395433
Last 3030332212
At Away133295543
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovVallecanoH11DUGg
21 NovSociedadA00DUNg
07 NovAth MadridH33DOGg
30 OctVillarrealH20WUNg
27 OctBetisA14LOGg
23 OctMallorcaH22DOGg
17 OctBarcelonaA13LOGg
02 OctCadizA00DUNg

Playing style

CeltaShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play1311313.011251514.91
From corner2111.711912.06
Set piece911.221021.4
Direct Freekick700.39500.23
Penalty312.23412.97
ValenciaShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play1161314.281291413.72
From corner2032.212332.17
Set piece2021.541222.3
Direct Freekick700.42800.46
Penalty442.97221.49
CeltaShGxGShAGAxGA
Out of box6422.054921.53
Penalty area991113.311031314.93
Six-yard box833.21145.11
ValenciaShGxGShAGAxGA
Own goals222222
Out of box6221.666952.2
Penalty area901212.27931212.19
Six-yard box1365.491023.75
CeltaShGxGShAGAxGA
1-151821.352411.85
16-302112.222252.3
31-452102.363455.75
46-603543.922444.28
61-753365.242022.64
76+4333.483924.76
ValenciaShGxGShAGAxGA
1-151932.082763.26
16-302833.082521.7
31-452222.922843.75
46-603855.43134.73
61-752622.843033.35
76+3475.13333.35
The next graph represents the shots attempted and recieved for the Celta and Valencia within a specific timeframe of the game. The black line is the average and you can interpret it as a Heat Indicator.

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsCeltaValencia
Form Score0.1270.015
Home/Away form-0.71-0.304
Off ability0.1260.565
Def ability-0.304-0.311


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Celta23%35%22%20%
Valencia28%39%21%12%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Celta and the red line for guest team, Valencia.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Celta to score 1.41 goals and Valencia to score 0.96 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.37 goals in the game and the home team Celta to win by 0.45 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Celta to score 1.38 goals and Valencia to score 1.17 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.55 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.21 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
015.150-13.92
15.292-32.05
24.074+3.89
34.13Ov 1.51.34
46.06Un 1.53.92
514.71Ov 2.52
6+41.67Un 2.52
Gg1.82Ov 3.53.89
NoG2.22Un 3.51.35
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.63.862.8
2-3 goals2.383.613.3
4+ goals2.223.673.62
Ov 1.52.323.633.4
Un 1.52.63.862.8
Ov 2.51.937.132.92
Un 2.53.112.493.6
Ov 3.52.223.673.62
Un 3.52.453.73.11
Goal-Goal2.712.683.87
No Goal2.086.822.68
G-G+Ov 2.52.045.932.92
NG+Un 2.52.276.822.63

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Getafe vs Ath Bilbao at 06 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Getafe and Ath Bilbao for La Liga (Spain).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book3.523.12.382.861.42
Ours1.94.14.371.772.3
Value %24.22-7.87-19.1321.53-26.94

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Over (24.22 %, 21.53 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Getafe
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6222443433
Last 3111441112
At Home214334643
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovMallorcaA00DUNg
21 NovCadizH40WONg
07 NovVillarrealA01LUNg
31 OctEspanolH21WOGg
28 OctGranadaA11DUGg
25 OctCeltaH03LONg
16 OctLevanteA00DUNg
03 OctSociedadH11DUGg
Ath Bilbao
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6042223515
Last 3021221212
At Away161384408
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
01 DecReal MadridA01LUNg
26 NovGranadaH22DOGg
19 NovLevanteA00DUNg
05 NovCadizH01LUNg
31 OctSociedadA11DUGg
26 OctEspanolA11DUGg
23 OctVillarrealH21WOGg
01 OctAlavesH10WUNg

Playing style

GetafeShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play11466.111151314.46
From corner2511.262842.58
Direct Freekick1300.68900.42
Set piece1231.06800.27
Penalty100.74322.23
Ath BilbaoShGxGShAGAxGA
Open play128617.0712689.65
From corner4632.762201.14
Set piece1622.881411.27
Direct Freekick610.37600.46
Penalty312.23221.49
GetafeShGxGShAGAxGA
Out of box8402.25602.05
Penalty area77107.251001615.96
Six-yard box400.4731.94
Ath BilbaoShGxGShAGAxGA
Own goals222000
Out of box5311.676902.01
Penalty area131818.1692109.18
Six-yard box1323.48912.83
GetafeShGxGShAGAxGA
1-152611.272152.87
16-302020.882512.07
31-453332.291812.24
46-602621.642133.31
61-752100.752932.51
76+3923.034966.96
Ath BilbaoShGxGShAGAxGA
1-152223.453423.16
16-302802.831811.12
31-453334.173143.75
46-603223.063012.16
61-753745.412110.88
76+4726.383622.94
The next graph represents the shots attempted and recieved for the Getafe and Ath Bilbao within a specific timeframe of the game. The black line is the average and you can interpret it as a Heat Indicator.

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsGetafeAth Bilbao
Form Score-0.032-0.356
Home/Away form-0.378-0.022
Off ability-0.442-0.243
Def ability-0.104-0.652


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Getafe19%25%29%27%
Ath Bilbao26%49%17%9%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Getafe and the red line for guest team, Ath Bilbao.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Getafe to score 0.83 goals and Ath Bilbao to score 1.08 goals. So, they expect a total of 1.91 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is -0.25 on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Getafe to score 1.64 goals and Ath Bilbao to score 1.08 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.72 goals in the game and the home team Getafe to win by 0.56 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
020.410-14.85
16.372-32.01
24.394+3.38
33.72Ov 1.51.26
44.95Un 1.54.85
514.29Ov 2.51.77
6+41.67Un 2.52.3
Gg1.66Ov 3.53.38
NoG2.52Un 3.51.42
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals3.174.22.24
2-3 goals1.744.045.58
4+ goals1.674.116.3
Ov 1.51.724.075.83
Un 1.53.174.22.24
Ov 2.51.467.855.38
Un 2.53.122.523.53
Ov 3.51.674.116.3
Un 3.52.014.093.88
Goal-Goal1.893.096.76
No Goal1.98.12.86
G-G+Ov 2.51.516.655.38
NG+Un 2.52.248.12.53

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