Football Spain – Segunda Division

Segunda Division
In this article we will analyse the following games: (with blue color are the value bets as estimated by the optimal equations method).
TeamsDateHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Huesca - Valladolid03-Dec2.623.162.72.161.72
Fuenlabrada - Almeria04-Dec3.473.272.152.161.71
Sociedad B - Burgos05-Dec2.333.382.531.49
Ponferradina - Mirandes05-Dec1.953.354.042.261.65
Oviedo - Alcorcon05-Dec1.673.415.392.421.55
Malaga - Amorebieta05-Dec1.843.364.712.331.63
Las Palmas - Sp Gijon05-Dec1.973.264.042.391.55
Lugo - Ibiza05-Dec2.672.942.872.541.49
Zaragoza - Eibar06-Dec2.72.982.82.481.51
Cartagena - Tenerife06-Dec2.73.152.652.381.59
Girona - Leganes06-Dec2.433.023.062.491.5

Click here to view the mathematical predictions for today!


Huesca vs Valladolid at 03 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Huesca and Valladolid for Segunda Division (Spain).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.623.162.72.161.72
Ours2.283.563.552.381.73
Value %5.69-3.56-8.87-4.28-0.34

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home (5.69 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Huesca
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6141393306
Last 3120561003
At Home243375427
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovAlmeriaA00DUNg
21 NovIbizaH00DUNg
13 NovMirandesA10WUNg
05 NovLeganesH02LUNg
02 NovPonferradinaA11DUGg
30 OctAmorebietaH11DUGg
24 OctBurgosA13LOGg
19 OctMalagaH00DUNg
Valladolid
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6402676342
Last 3201673121
At Away324417754
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovCartagenaH20WUNg
20 NovAlmeriaA13LOGg
13 NovFuenlabradaH30WONg
06 NovMirandesH31WOGg
03 NovAmorebietaA14LOGg
31 OctEibarH20WUNg
23 OctSp GijonA21WOGg
20 OctIbizaH11DUGg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsHuescaValladolid
Form Score-0.0560.333
Home/Away form-0.3780.037
Off ability-0.5471
Def ability0.3040.015


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Huesca26%35%25%14%
Valladolid36%37%19%8%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Huesca and the red line for guest team, Valladolid.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Huesca to score 1.17 goals and Valladolid to score 1.15 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.32 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.02 on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Huesca to score 1.28 goals and Valladolid to score 1 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.28 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.28 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
010.870-13.21
14.552-32.01
23.754+5.26
34.33Ov 1.51.45
47.69Un 1.53.21
520.83Ov 2.52.38
6+83.33Un 2.51.73
Gg2.09Ov 3.55.26
NoG1.92Un 3.51.23
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.53.393.28
2-3 goals2.153.863.64
4+ goals2.383.173.8
Ov 1.52.213.643.68
Un 1.52.53.393.28
Ov 2.51.897.023.05
Un 2.52.712.624.02
Ov 3.52.383.173.8
Un 3.52.273.673.49
Goal-Goal2.782.534.09
No Goal1.975.673.16
G-G+Ov 2.52.035.822.98
NG+Un 2.52.15.673.12

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Fuenlabrada vs Almeria at 04 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Fuenlabrada and Almeria for Segunda Division (Spain).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book3.473.272.152.161.71
Ours2.893.482.722.421.7
Value %5.78-1.85-9.75-4.970.34

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Under (5.78 %, 0.34 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Fuenlabrada
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6033174533
Last 3021222312
At Home252417745
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovSp GijonA11DUGg
19 NovMirandesH11DUGg
13 NovValladolidA03LONg
06 NovEibarH00DUNg
03 NovLas PalmasA12LOGg
31 OctGironaH12LOGg
23 OctIbizaA13LOGg
20 OctAmorebietaH00DUNg
Almeria
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6510895115
Last 3210782112
At Away603677654
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovHuescaH00DUNg
20 NovValladolidH31WOGg
14 NovIbizaA10WUNg
07 NovBurgosH20WUNg
02 NovSp GijonA10WUNg
29 OctLeganesH10WUNg
24 OctMirandesA41WOGg
21 OctSociedad BH31WOGg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsFuenlabradaAlmeria
Form Score-0.5630.8
Home/Away form-0.1540.319
Off ability0.0530.539
Def ability-0.6260.63


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Fuenlabrada30%38%22%9%
Almeria31%33%25%11%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Fuenlabrada and the red line for guest team, Almeria.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Fuenlabrada to score 0.96 goals and Almeria to score 1.35 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.31 goals in the game and the guest team Almeria to win by 0.39 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Fuenlabrada to score 1.1 goals and Almeria to score 1.15 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.25 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is -0.05 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
010.640-13.17
14.522-31.98
23.664+5.46
34.33Ov 1.51.46
47.87Un 1.53.17
521.74Ov 2.52.42
6+100Un 2.51.7
Gg2.08Ov 3.55.46
NoG1.92Un 3.51.22
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.63.353.15
2-3 goals2.93.942.5
4+ goals3.522.822.77
Ov 1.53.043.562.56
Un 1.52.63.353.15
Ov 2.52.676.372.13
Un 2.53.062.653.38
Ov 3.53.522.822.77
Un 3.52.783.692.71
Goal-Goal3.792.492.99
No Goal2.375.542.52
G-G+Ov 2.52.785.432.19
NG+Un 2.52.45.542.64

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Sociedad B vs Burgos at 05 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Sociedad B and Burgos for Segunda Division (Spain).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.333.382.531.49
Ours2.143.653.862.291.78
Value %3.25-5.94-3.684.14-10.93

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Over (3.25 %, 4.14 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Sociedad B
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6105173524
Last 3102332212
At Home135225727
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
28 NovTenerifeA02LUNg
22 NovGironaH12LOGg
12 NovSp GijonA10WUNg
07 NovIbizaH01LUNg
04 NovMalagaA12LOGg
29 OctLas PalmasH01LUNg
24 OctAmorebietaA21WOGg
21 OctAlmeriaA13LOGg
Burgos
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6204332424
Last 3201672112
At Away126192836
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovMalagaH30WONg
21 NovCartagenaA01LUNg
14 NovPonferradinaH10WUNg
07 NovAlmeriaA02LUNg
04 NovZaragozaH01LUNg
01 NovTenerifeA04LONg
24 OctHuescaH31WOGg
21 OctOviedoA31WOGg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsSociedad BBurgos
Form Score-0.77-0.259
Home/Away form-0.635-0.452
Off ability-0.4-0.478
Def ability-0.591-0.259


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Sociedad B23%35%26%16%
Burgos37%37%19%8%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Sociedad B and the red line for guest team, Burgos.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Sociedad B to score 1.16 goals and Burgos to score 0.89 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.05 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.27 on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Sociedad B to score 1.35 goals and Burgos to score 0.98 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.33 goals in the game and the home team Sociedad B to win by 0.37 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
011.760-13.36
14.692-31.98
23.764+5
34.2Ov 1.51.42
47.35Un 1.53.36
519.61Ov 2.52.28
6+76.92Un 2.51.77
Gg2.05Ov 3.55
NoG1.95Un 3.51.25
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.353.513.47
2-3 goals2.023.943.97
4+ goals2.173.284.26
Ov 1.52.063.724.05
Un 1.52.353.513.47
Ov 2.51.777.183.37
Un 2.52.552.654.34
Ov 3.52.173.284.26
Un 3.52.133.773.77
Goal-Goal2.612.584.36
No Goal1.836.053.47
G-G+Ov 2.51.935.93.21
NG+Un 2.51.976.053.35

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Ponferradina vs Mirandes at 05 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Ponferradina and Mirandes for Segunda Division (Spain).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book1.953.354.042.261.65
Ours1.993.794.292.191.84
Value %-1.03-3.47-1.441.41-6.26

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Over (1.41 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Ponferradina
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6411725424
Last 3201672212
At Home531678554
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
28 NovIbizaA10WUNg
21 NovSp GijonH41WOGg
14 NovBurgosA01LUNg
06 NovLugoA21WOGg
02 NovHuescaH11DUGg
30 OctCartagenaA10WUNg
24 OctOviedoH12LOGg
21 OctZaragozaA11DUGg
Mirandes
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6132335624
Last 3021222303
At Away233386635
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
26 NovOviedoH11DUGg
19 NovFuenlabradaA11DUGg
13 NovHuescaH01LUNg
06 NovValladolidA13LOGg
03 NovLugoH32WOGg
31 OctZaragozaA11DUGg
24 OctAlmeriaH14LOGg
21 OctGironaH12LOGg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsPonferradinaMirandes
Form Score0.468-0.185
Home/Away form0.145-0.104
Off ability0.5050.591
Def ability-0.217-1


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Ponferradina20%34%26%19%
Mirandes38%36%18%7%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Ponferradina and the red line for guest team, Mirandes.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Ponferradina to score 1.4 goals and Mirandes to score 0.84 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.24 goals in the game and the home team Ponferradina to win by 0.56 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Ponferradina to score 1.44 goals and Mirandes to score 0.95 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.39 goals in the game and the home team Ponferradina to win by 0.49 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
012.990-13.56
14.92-31.97
23.824+4.76
34.07Ov 1.51.39
47.04Un 1.53.56
518.52Ov 2.52.19
6+71.43Un 2.51.84
Gg2.02Ov 3.54.76
NoG1.98Un 3.51.27
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.163.653.8
2-3 goals1.94.064.42
4+ goals2.023.394.77
Ov 1.51.933.844.52
Un 1.52.163.653.8
Ov 2.51.687.353.74
Un 2.52.362.694.89
Ov 3.52.023.394.77
Un 3.51.983.914.17
Goal-Goal2.472.644.62
No Goal1.676.564.01
G-G+Ov 2.51.845.953.45
NG+Un 2.51.826.563.77

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Oviedo vs Alcorcon at 05 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Oviedo and Alcorcon for Segunda Division (Spain).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book1.673.415.392.421.55
Ours1.754.085.492.181.85
Value %-2.74-4.82-0.344.55-10.46

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Over (4.55 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Oviedo
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6231504415
Last 3120562103
At Home351527536
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
26 NovMirandesA11DUGg
20 NovAmorebietaH20WUNg
14 NovLeganesA00DUNg
06 NovLas PalmasH11DUGg
03 NovEibarA01LUNg
31 OctMalagaH21WOGg
24 OctPonferradinaA21WOGg
21 OctBurgosH13LOGg
Alcorcon
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6024114633
Last 3012112312
At Away108113945
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
26 NovLugoH11DUGg
21 NovTenerifeA01LUNg
13 NovEibarA12LOGg
07 NovAmorebietaH22DOGg
04 NovGironaA13LOGg
01 NovIbizaH02LUNg
24 OctLas PalmasA03LONg
20 OctLeganesH33DOGg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsOviedoAlcorcon
Form Score0.111-0.644
Home/Away form-0.029-0.704
Off ability0.0840.243
Def ability-0.157-1


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Oviedo18%33%26%24%
Alcorcon45%35%14%6%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Oviedo and the red line for guest team, Alcorcon.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Oviedo to score 1.47 goals and Alcorcon to score 0.65 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.12 goals in the game and the home team Oviedo to win by 0.82 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Oviedo to score 1.55 goals and Alcorcon to score 0.82 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.37 goals in the game and the home team Oviedo to win by 0.73 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
012.820-13.48
14.782-31.97
23.924+4.88
33.95Ov 1.51.4
47.14Un 1.53.48
520Ov 2.52.18
6+66.67Un 2.51.85
Gg2.19Ov 3.54.88
NoG1.84Un 3.51.26
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals1.943.684.7
2-3 goals1.644.426.12
4+ goals1.784.025.26
Ov 1.51.684.35.84
Un 1.51.943.684.7
Ov 2.51.488.984.72
Un 2.52.062.816.3
Ov 3.51.784.025.26
Un 3.51.744.125.52
Goal-Goal2.242.755.3
No Goal1.476.975.61
G-G+Ov 2.51.676.693.97
NG+Un 2.51.626.974.97

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Malaga vs Amorebieta at 05 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Malaga and Amorebieta for Segunda Division (Spain).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book1.843.364.712.331.63
Ours1.8145.082.141.88
Value %0.9-4.76-1.553.81-8.16

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Over (0.9 %, 3.81 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Malaga
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6303505551
Last 3201672221
At Home720858327
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovBurgosA03LONg
20 NovLas PalmasH21WOGg
15 NovTenerifeH10WUNg
07 NovCartagenaA13LOGg
04 NovSociedad BH21WOGg
31 OctOviedoA12LOGg
23 OctLugoH10WUNg
19 OctHuescaA00DUNg
Amorebieta
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6132335633
Last 3012112312
At Away045154827
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
28 NovZaragozaH11DUGg
20 NovOviedoA02LUNg
14 NovLugoH13LOGg
07 NovAlcorconA22DOGg
03 NovValladolidH41WOGg
30 OctHuescaA11DUGg
24 OctSociedad BH12LOGg
20 OctFuenlabradaA00DUNg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsMalagaAmorebieta
Form Score-0.056-0.207
Home/Away form0.668-0.393
Off ability0.4420.565
Def ability-0.591-1


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Malaga17%34%26%22%
Amorebieta42%35%16%7%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Malaga and the red line for guest team, Amorebieta.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Malaga to score 1.45 goals and Amorebieta to score 0.76 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.2 goals in the game and the home team Malaga to win by 0.69 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Malaga to score 1.54 goals and Amorebieta to score 0.88 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.42 goals in the game and the home team Malaga to win by 0.66 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
013.890-13.65
14.952-31.96
23.894+4.67
33.95Ov 1.51.38
46.9Un 1.53.65
518.52Ov 2.52.14
6+66.67Un 2.51.88
Gg2.08Ov 3.54.67
NoG1.93Un 3.51.28
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals1.943.814.49
2-3 goals1.724.295.37
4+ goals1.863.695.22
Ov 1.51.764.095.32
Un 1.51.943.814.49
Ov 2.51.558.054.32
Un 2.52.122.785.97
Ov 3.51.863.695.22
Un 3.51.794.15.03
Goal-Goal2.312.725.01
No Goal1.57.185.12
G-G+Ov 2.51.746.243.77
NG+Un 2.51.647.184.63

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Las Palmas vs Sp Gijon at 05 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Las Palmas and Sp Gijon for Segunda Division (Spain).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book1.973.264.042.391.55
Ours2.043.734.122.231.81
Value %-1.74-3.87-0.483-9.27

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Over (3 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Las Palmas
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6213396542
Last 300303330
At Home621749872
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
28 NovLeganesA14LOGg
20 NovMalagaA12LOGg
13 NovZaragozaH23LOGg
06 NovOviedoA11DUGg
03 NovFuenlabradaH21WOGg
29 OctSociedad BA10WUNg
24 OctAlcorconH30WONg
20 OctLugoA02LUNg
Sp Gijon
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6024113615
Last 3012112312
At Away144266836
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovFuenlabradaH11DUGg
21 NovPonferradinaA14LOGg
12 NovSociedad BH01LUNg
07 NovZaragozaA02LUNg
02 NovAlmeriaH01LUNg
30 OctLugoA11DUGg
23 OctValladolidH12LOGg
19 OctCartagenaA01LUNg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsLas PalmasSp Gijon
Form Score-0.365-0.667
Home/Away form0.685-0.252
Off ability1-0.13
Def ability-0.678-1


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Las Palmas21%34%26%18%
Sp Gijon37%37%18%8%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Las Palmas and the red line for guest team, Sp Gijon.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Las Palmas to score 1.33 goals and Sp Gijon to score 0.8 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.13 goals in the game and the home team Las Palmas to win by 0.53 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Las Palmas to score 1.41 goals and Sp Gijon to score 0.96 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.37 goals in the game and the home team Las Palmas to win by 0.45 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
012.50-13.48
14.832-31.97
23.794+4.83
34.12Ov 1.51.4
47.09Un 1.53.48
518.87Ov 2.52.22
6+76.92Un 2.51.81
Gg2.03Ov 3.54.83
NoG1.97Un 3.51.26
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.223.593.68
2-3 goals1.944.024.23
4+ goals2.093.344.5
Ov 1.51.983.84.3
Un 1.52.223.593.68
Ov 2.51.727.263.57
Un 2.52.432.674.67
Ov 3.52.093.344.5
Un 3.52.043.854.01
Goal-Goal2.532.624.48
No Goal1.736.353.79
G-G+Ov 2.51.885.923.34
NG+Un 2.51.876.353.6

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Lugo vs Ibiza at 05 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Lugo and Ibiza for Segunda Division (Spain).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.672.942.872.541.49
Ours2.323.553.482.41.72
Value %5.65-5.84-6.112.3-8.97

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Over (5.65 %, 2.3 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Lugo
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6132336642
Last 3120563321
At Home342487636
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
26 NovAlcorconA11DUGg
21 NovEibarH22DOGg
14 NovAmorebietaA31WOGg
06 NovPonferradinaH12LOGg
03 NovMirandesA23LOGg
30 OctSp GijonH11DUGg
23 OctMalagaA01LUNg
20 OctLas PalmasH20WUNg
Ibiza
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6222442206
Last 3012110203
At Away342487536
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
28 NovPonferradinaH01LUNg
21 NovHuescaA00DUNg
14 NovAlmeriaH01LUNg
07 NovSociedad BA10WUNg
04 NovTenerifeH00DUNg
01 NovAlcorconA20WUNg
23 OctFuenlabradaH31WOGg
20 OctValladolidA11DUGg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsLugoIbiza
Form Score-0.214-0.074
Home/Away form-0.0290.185
Off ability1-0.652
Def ability-10.259


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Lugo26%35%25%14%
Ibiza36%37%19%8%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Lugo and the red line for guest team, Ibiza.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Lugo to score 1.05 goals and Ibiza to score 1 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.04 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.05 on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Lugo to score 1.26 goals and Ibiza to score 1.01 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.27 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.25 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
010.750-13.17
14.52-32.01
23.734+5.32
34.35Ov 1.51.46
47.81Un 1.53.17
520.83Ov 2.52.39
6+83.33Un 2.51.72
Gg2.1Ov 3.55.32
NoG1.9Un 3.51.23
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.523.393.25
2-3 goals2.183.863.53
4+ goals2.413.133.76
Ov 1.52.243.633.59
Un 1.52.523.393.25
Ov 2.51.926.972.99
Un 2.52.742.633.94
Ov 3.52.413.133.76
Un 3.52.33.663.42
Goal-Goal2.822.524.03
No Goal25.653.09
G-G+Ov 2.52.055.782.94
NG+Un 2.52.135.653.07

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Zaragoza vs Eibar at 06 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Zaragoza and Eibar for Segunda Division (Spain).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.72.982.82.481.51
Ours2.493.483.222.471.68
Value %3.12-4.82-4.660.16-6.7

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Over (3.12 %, 0.16 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Zaragoza
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6321615415
Last 3111442312
At Home162334509
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
28 NovAmorebietaA11DUGg
22 NovLeganesH02LUNg
13 NovLas PalmasA32WOGg
07 NovSp GijonH20WUNg
04 NovBurgosA10WUNg
31 OctMirandesH11DUGg
25 OctGironaA11DUGg
21 OctPonferradinaH11DUGg
Eibar
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6321614433
Last 3210783330
At Away342486636
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
29 NovGironaH42WOGg
21 NovLugoA22DOGg
13 NovAlcorconH21WOGg
06 NovFuenlabradaA00DUNg
03 NovOviedoH10WUNg
31 OctValladolidA02LUNg
22 OctCartagenaH21WOGg
19 OctTenerifeA10WUNg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsZaragozaEibar
Form Score0.2460.385
Home/Away form-0.1040.141
Off ability0.4740.304
Def ability-0.278-0.385


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Zaragoza28%36%24%12%
Eibar35%36%20%9%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Zaragoza and the red line for guest team, Eibar.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Zaragoza to score 1.05 goals and Eibar to score 1.02 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.07 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.03 on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Zaragoza to score 1.19 goals and Eibar to score 1.03 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.22 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.16 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
010.20-13.09
14.422-32.02
23.74+5.56
34.44Ov 1.51.48
48.06Un 1.53.09
522.22Ov 2.52.47
6+90.91Un 2.51.68
Gg2.14Ov 3.55.56
NoG1.88Un 3.51.22
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.633.313.15
2-3 goals2.333.813.24
4+ goals2.653.053.4
Ov 1.52.413.573.28
Un 1.52.633.313.15
Ov 2.52.066.862.72
Un 2.52.882.613.71
Ov 3.52.653.053.4
Un 3.52.443.593.2
Goal-Goal3.022.483.77
No Goal2.145.422.87
G-G+Ov 2.52.185.732.73
NG+Un 2.52.255.422.9

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Cartagena vs Tenerife at 06 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Cartagena and Tenerife for Segunda Division (Spain).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.73.152.652.381.59
Ours2.283.563.552.381.73
Value %6.82-3.66-9.570-5.09

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home (6.82 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Cartagena
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6213393515
Last 3102331203
At Home602757544
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
27 NovValladolidA02LUNg
21 NovBurgosH10WUNg
14 NovGironaA02LUNg
07 NovMalagaH31WOGg
02 NovLeganesA11DUGg
30 OctPonferradinaH01LUNg
22 OctEibarA12LOGg
19 OctSp GijonH10WUNg
Tenerife
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6411724224
Last 3201672103
At Away423526654
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
28 NovSociedad BH20WUNg
21 NovAlcorconH10WUNg
15 NovMalagaA01LUNg
08 NovGironaH21WOGg
04 NovIbizaA00DUNg
01 NovBurgosH40WONg
23 OctLeganesA21WOGg
19 OctEibarH01LUNg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsCartagenaTenerife
Form Score-0.2460.504
Home/Away form0.4850.252
Off ability-0.4420.243
Def ability-0.5650.333


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Cartagena26%35%25%14%
Tenerife36%37%19%8%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Cartagena and the red line for guest team, Tenerife.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Cartagena to score 1.07 goals and Tenerife to score 1.09 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.16 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is -0.02 on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Cartagena to score 1.28 goals and Tenerife to score 1 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.28 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.28 on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
010.870-13.21
14.552-32.01
23.754+5.26
34.33Ov 1.51.45
47.69Un 1.53.21
520.83Ov 2.52.38
6+83.33Un 2.51.73
Gg2.09Ov 3.55.26
NoG1.92Un 3.51.23
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.53.393.28
2-3 goals2.153.863.64
4+ goals2.383.173.8
Ov 1.52.213.643.68
Un 1.52.53.393.28
Ov 2.51.897.023.05
Un 2.52.712.624.02
Ov 3.52.383.173.8
Un 3.52.273.673.49
Goal-Goal2.782.534.09
No Goal1.975.673.16
G-G+Ov 2.52.035.822.98
NG+Un 2.52.15.673.12

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Girona vs Leganes at 06 Dec 2021

In this article I will analyze the game between Girona and Leganes for Segunda Division (Spain).
OddsHomeDrawAwayOverUnder
Book2.433.023.062.491.5
Ours2.173.623.772.311.76
Value %4.93-5.49-6.153.13-9.85

According to optimal equations method we have positive expected value at Home, Over (4.93 %, 3.13 %) so let's further analyze the game.


Basic Data and latest results

Girona
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6402676551
Last 3201673221
At Home423528545
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
29 NovEibarA24LOGg
22 NovSociedad BA21WOGg
14 NovCartagenaH20WUNg
08 NovTenerifeA12LOGg
04 NovAlcorconH31WOGg
31 OctFuenlabradaA21WOGg
25 OctZaragozaH11DUGg
21 OctMirandesA21WOGg
Leganes
GmsWsDsLsPt%ScConOvUn
Last 6321614315
Last 3210782112
At Away324417745
DateVersusAtScConResOUGg
28 NovLas PalmasH41WOGg
22 NovZaragozaA20WUNg
14 NovOviedoH00DUNg
05 NovHuescaA20WUNg
02 NovCartagenaH11DUGg
29 OctAlmeriaA01LUNg
23 OctTenerifeH12LOGg
20 OctAlcorconA33DOGg

Desicive Betting factors

FactorsGironaLeganes
Form Score0.230.407
Home/Away form-0.17-0.163
Off ability10.278
Def ability-0.5910.037


Optimal equations estimations

The probability of the exact goals number for each team are:
TeamNo-G1 gl2 gls3+ gls
Girona24%35%26%16%
Leganes36%37%19%8%

The following graph shows the probabilities for each team to score exactly 0,1,2 or 3+ goals. The blue line is for home team, Girona and the red line for guest team, Leganes.
The next graph shows the probabilities of the total goals in the game.
The red line is the book's estimations and the blue line is our estimations regarding total goals number. The vertical line is the 2.5 goals limit.

According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Girona to score 1.11 goals and Leganes to score 0.95 goals. So, they expect a total of 2.06 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in an very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.16 on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Girona to score 1.33 goals and Leganes to score 0.98 goals. So, we expect a total of 2.31 goals in the game and the home team Girona to win by 0.35 goals margin on average.
The next table presents the estimated fair odds for various goals' scenarios
GoalsOddsGoalsOdds
011.490-13.32
14.672-31.99
23.764+5.08
34.24Ov 1.51.43
47.46Un 1.53.32
520Ov 2.52.31
6+76.92Un 2.51.76
Gg2.07Ov 3.55.08
NoG1.94Un 3.51.25
What are the fair odds for every result in specific goals' scenarios? The next table helps you to find value bets by combining result and goals' number! Use it and get great odds for your choices!
If game ends with-1--X--2-
0-1 goals2.393.463.42
2-3 goals2.053.923.89
4+ goals2.213.234.19
Ov 1.52.093.73.97
Un 1.52.393.463.42
Ov 2.51.87.13.31
Un 2.52.592.644.26
Ov 3.52.213.234.19
Un 3.52.163.733.7
Goal-Goal2.642.564.32
No Goal1.865.933.39
G-G+Ov 2.51.955.843.18
NG+Un 2.525.933.3

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